CONFIDENCE IN THE CITRUS INDUSTRY REPLANTING ON THE RIDGE
Situation In Florida HLB in Florida for 10 years Disease endemic in most groves Statewide for over five years – Inconsistent results across farms Massive Research Effort is Producing Results – No ‘Silver Bullet’ on the horizon – We must be realistic about the time needed for research – We must combat the disease using conventional methods while researchers look for better options
Situation In Florida High Price Environment – Prices not high enough for many groves due to low production and high costs – Very Attractive Returns with good yields Consumers Want What We Grow! – OJ is a staple item – Three major brands invested – Opportunity in Fresh Sector with new varieties
Situation In Florida Consolidation is Accelerating – Farms are getting larger Large Farms have advantage with Psyllid Control Abandoned Acreage is increasing Some growers are exiting the business Vertical Integration is Accelerating – Brands, Processors, & Packers are offering incentives to growers to replant Contracts with long term floor pricing Tree Planting Incentive Plans
Growers Must Replant for Farms to be Sustainable Yields will continue to decline on the existing infected stand of trees Fruit Quality will continue to be a challenge on the existing infected stand of trees Other problems remain – Root Weevils – Nematodes – Blight Continuous Improvement: Learn something new every day!
We learn more with every generation Varying Tolerance among both scions and rootstocks Soil Drench Application Strategies Increasing planting densities is driving early yields Enhanced nutrition is resulting in harvestable yields as much as a year earlier than expected HLB detection is at manageable levels
We must combat the disease with the tools we have available
CHMAS Work! Low psyllid numbers are normal in areas where growers work together with coordinated sprays Easier when fewer growers control large acreages More difficult but just as effective in areas with fragmented ownership Aerial, low-volume, and air-blast sprays all can contribute Your CHMA can be a competitive advantage for your farm!
CHMAS Work! Yields Compared to Pre-HLB 2007/2008 Production: – Statewide Orange Production Down 37.8% – Peace River Orange Yields Up 3.4% Aggressive Best Management Practices High Density Plantings Peace River Mature Grove Production, Compared to 2007/08 – Well Organized CHMA: Yields down 22.1% – Below Average CHMA: Yields down 35.2%
High Density Works! Traditional Density – Prior to 1980: 70 Trees / Acre – Prior to HLB: Trees / Acre Current Plantings: 225 – 363 Trees / Acre – 18’ – 20’ Row Spacing Allow Use of Conventional Equipment – Shorter Economic Life New Plant Material New Technologies
Intensive Management Psyllid Scouting – There are more out there than you think! – Detect Issues Early Application Issues Weather Influences on Spray performance Aggressive Soil Drench Program Intense Spray Program – 2-week interval on young trees – Reapply early based on scouting
Intensive Management Eliminate Stress – Soil Moisture Monitoring – Automation: Irrigation & Fertigation New Fertilization Approaches – Constant Feed – Time Release
New Plantings are a Good Investment! Pro-Forma Internal Rate of Return with 4 Years Pre-Production – 7.5% without Leverage – 11.5% with 65% Debt: Equity Pro-Forma Internal Rate of Return with 3 Years Pre-Production – 12.4% without Leverage – 26.4% with 65% Debt: Equity IRR increases by 3% with Tree Planting Incentive
New Seedless Varieties are Critical to the Fresh Sector California Industry – Over 46,000 Acres of Mandarins Planted – Successfully branding Halos, Cuties, & Dandy – Revenue per Acre Approaching $10,000 for some farms Florida Investment in Breeding & Variety Development – IFAS Fast Track – USDA – License of Varieties Developed Worldwide Tango from California – Revenue per Acre Approaching $10,000 for some farms
Tango Planted in 2012
Peace River’s Approach: All In! Investment with Duda in SW Florida Juice Planting Fresh Fruit Strategic Purchases on the Ridge Eliminate Challenging Neighbors Improved Psyllid Control Increased Operational Efficiencies Long-Term Real Estate Opportunities Replant the losers Low density blocks: Middles over 25’ Dual Issues HLB & Variety HLB & Blight
The Opportunity is Ours…. Stakeholder Financial Commitment – Shareholders – Financial Partners New Management Intensity Convert a ‘loser’ to a successful and profitable modern grove Start Now!
CONFIDENCE IN THE CITRUS INDUSTRY REPLANTING ON THE RIDGE