Ilie Dumitrescu National Institute of Statistics Third International Conference on Agricultural Statistics MEXSAI-ICAS-III Cancun- Mexico, 2-4 November 2004 Lessons learnt from the General Agricultural Census in Romania
Content I. General Environment - Romanian Agriculture II General Agricultural Census (GAC) a. Main Objectives b. Legal Basis III. GAC ; Lessons learnt (SWOT Analysis) IV. Conclusions ROMANIA
Maps
I. General Environment ROMANIA
Structural Dynamics in Romanian Agriculture: Reform program started in the 1990’s. Privatisation of the land resources started with the 1991 land reform. From a planned, centralised farming system, practised on large agricultural areas, the whole system shifted to a shattered one. At present, small-scale farming prevails on most of agricultural area, accompanied by a widespread land fragmentation. I. General Environment ROMANIA
a. Main Objectives 1. to obtain an exhaustive picture of the structural characteristics of the national agricultural system; 2. to built a data base, comparable at international level, regarding the key agricultural variables; 3. to provide a sampling frame for the agricultural sample surveys to be carried out between censuses. II General Census of Agriculture ROMANIA
b. Premises, requirements and standards ? FAO recommendations, provided in the Programme for the World Census of Agriculture 2000: –to conduct a general census of agriculture in 1996 – 2005; –to apply, for harmonisation criteria, the definitions, concepts and characteristics foreseen into the FAO Program for the World Census of Agriculture ? List of characteristics by Eurostat for the FSS 2003; ? National requests, other than the ones mentioned above. II General Census of Agriculture ROMANIA
! Data Collection Methods: –Territory of each municipality divided into census sections (max 200 units/enumerator) –Separate census sections, for units with legal status, set up at the level of each locality; responsible: the chief enumerator) ! Registration Procedure : - by direct interview for holdings/individual agricultural households (physical persons), by enumerators within the distributed sector; - by self-registering for the units with legal status, under the direct supervision of the chief enumerators. II. The Romanian GAC – 2002 ROMANIA
STRENGHTS Institutional willingness to build up, on new basis, the national agricultural statistical system, in compliance with the statistical requirements of Eurostat. NIS experience in the methodological approach to agricultural censuses. III. SWOT Analysis ROMANIA
STRENGHTS Progressive improvement of competence and accumulation of know-how for NIS census staff (international working groups + seminars + Phare multi- country programmes + FAO training 2002). Bilateral technical assistance by EU through the Twinning Program, under national Phare III. SWOT Analysis ROMANIA
STRENGHTS High skilled top managers, at county level, in conducting and co-ordinating statistical surveys. Effective training sessions + internal debate on GAC technical instruments. Efficient utilisation of limited staff and financial resources. Young persons, skilled in IT and foreign languages, hired at NIS central level. III. SWOT Analysis ROMANIA
STRENGHTS Pilot Census in August 2002: testing of census tools and of organisational issues. Control Survey in February 2003, certified the census coverage and the data quality. Cost advantages and good skills in census specific activities (Population Census, March 2002): facilities, at territorial level, improved communication. Technical and organisational solutions aimed to raise GAC overall quality Institutional effort for a proper IT endowment. III. SWOT Analysis ROMANIA
WEAKNESSES Lack of structural information on Romanian agriculture -> impossibility to set a size threshold before census operations. Land fragmentation. -> very large number of units for enumeration (preliminary results of the census: 4,760 thou. units, of which 4,737 thou. individual holdings/ households). III. SWOT Analysis ROMANIA
WEAKNESSES Lack of clear definition of the agricultural holding, as a statistical observation unit. Lack of harmonisation between the methodological approach used in the census and the one used in the current statistical surveys. NO Statistical Farm Register available -> impact on census registering lists. Lack of an accurate Cadastre register -> impact on census registering lists. Large number of persons living in other locality than the location of the agr. unit (land owners in urban areas). III. SWOT Analysis ROMANIA
WEAKNESSES Existence of three levels of census co-ordination (MAFF, NIS, and MPA). Lack of a national network of specialised enumerators. Short time intervals between census milestones (designing, printing and delivering of census tools). Overlapping of census activities with other projects. Limited time for the census know-how implementation. Limited staff, both in term of quantity and skills. III. SWOT Analysis ROMANIA
OPPORTUNITIES Experience gained by the Romanian staff involved in census activities Know-how transfer from the Twinning Project under the National Phare 2000 for compliance of the Romanian agricultural statistical system with EU norms and standards Harmonisation of national census methodology with EU requirements and FAO recommendations. Obtaining indicators comparable at international level, for the main agricultural variables. III. SWOT Analysis ROMANIA
OPPORTUNITIES Set up the sampling frame needed for the development of the statistical system of surveys in agriculture Set up the basis for defining a proper threshold, in order to define the Romanian agricultural holding, as statistical observation unit, according to EU requirements and national constraints. Set up the Statistical Farm Register. Set up of the global database for the development of the system of agricultural statistics. Data reconciliation: census results vs. current statistics III. SWOT Analysis ROMANIA
OPPORTUNITIES Setting up a national network of specialised trainers and enumerators Awareness of other Romanian institutional bodies for the need of using the new set of indicators developed under the agricultural census. Get the interest of the users in the census results and increase their trust in agricultural statistical data. III. SWOT Analysis ROMANIA
THREATS Burden of implementing new requirements at once in all the agricultural statistical domains. Insufficient human resources for developing on new foundations all the agricultural statistical system, considering the milestones imposed by the EU accession process. Updating of the Farm Register. Breaks in time series, as other methodological approaches were in place up to present. III. SWOT Analysis ROMANIA