Brigitte Dias Ferreira AACCLA's 47th Annual Meeting and "Forecast on Latin America and the Caribbean" Conference September 29, 2014 Washington, DC Food Security in Latin America

Population & Income Growth Urbanization & Ecosystem Impacts Natural Resource Constraints Increasing Food Demand Agriculture is at the Intersection of Global Challenges – LAC with Critical Role AGRICULTURE 21 st Century Challenge: Produce enough food, feed, fiber and fuel from the same or fewer resources

9.6B B 7.2B 6.1B 2000 Source: International Monetary Fund (IMF), World Economic Outlook; UN, January % 49% 4% 7% -1% Agriculture is at the Intersection of Global Challenges By 2050, 80% of the world’s population will live in cities UN predicts By 2050, the world’s population will grow by 2.4 billion people +2.4B +80% Water Land Labor Climate Change Resource Constraints :

Major Grain Exporter Market Shares Shifting 4 Source: Foreign Agricultural Service, Official USDA Estimates, August 2014

Soy Market Shares Also Shifting 5 Source: Foreign Agricultural Service, Official USDA Estimates, August 2014

Brazil Gains Preeminence as Global Agriculture Exporter (circa 2000) Captures much of global soy trade growth Rapidly expands grain, meat, poultry export sales 3 rd largest agricultural exporter (value) after US and EU #1 exporter: coffee, soy, beef, sugar, ethanol and frozen chickens 6 Source: Foreign Agricultural Service, Official USDA Estimates, August 2014

Productivity Growth Must Accelerate to Meet Global Food Challenge 7 Source: Global Harvest Initiative, GAP Report 2010 Global Agricultural Productivity Index™

Measures to Increase Food Security in LAC 8  Partnership between LAC governments and private sector (create an attractive environment for FDIs)  Invest in the future (R&D, innovation, smart- agriculture, right equipment)  Reduce trade barriers, minimize government intervention in markets