October 23, 2002

Overview Introduction Introduction Where we are? Where we are? Where we go? Where we go? What is the fourth wave? What is the fourth wave? What is education for the fourth wave? What is education for the fourth wave? Conclusions Conclusions

PART 1 Introduction?

“IMAGINATION, ” said Albert Einstein, “is more important than knowledge.” SCIENCE FICTION Imagination and fantasy often point the way to real- world developments. Many inventions, such as airplanes, radio, robots, the laser, and television, were first described in science fiction.

1 st Wave: Agricultural Age (29,500 Years) Goal Produce Food 2 nd wave: Industrial Age (500 Years) Goal Produce Material 3 rd wave: Information Age ( 25 Years) Goal Produce Information What is the 4 th wave of change? ? 4 th wave: ? Age ( 20 Years ahead!)

Alvin Toffler and the Third Wave He has written about society, culture, the media, organizations, science, computers, politics, and economics. Third wave, based not on muscle but on mind. It is what we variously call the information or the knowledge age. ARE THESE CATEGORIES STILL RELEVANT?

Why Subject is Important During periods of great change (like now), we must know about the future. We must be able to prepare for what’s ahead. We should know the function of each age. We should know the role of breakthrough technologies in that process.

Today, only %17 of the workfource is directly involved in the material production of physical goods Simple workers will be reduced to 2% in the USA by year % 17% 2%

What is the Fourth Wave? Education for the Fourth Wave Space Age

What is the Fourth Wave? Education for the Fourth Wave Genetic Engineering Age

Education for the Fourth Wave

What is the Fourth Wave? Education for the Fourth Wave Nanotechnology Age

PART 2 Where we are? Internet Smell Detector Home Management Internet Refrigerator Internet Car

EDUCATION SCIENCESCULTURE COMMUNICATION WORKING FOR PEACE AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT UNESCO ’ S unique contribution: mobilizing the major intellectual sectors to prevent and solve problems, through coordinated action.

World Population from to 2000

World Population Population (in billion) Reduction of natural resources

World Population % of the W. P. are under 25 years old. The W. P. will be increased one billion each 12 years till the year The land used for farming has been reduced by 50% from 50 years ago. Population (in billion)

lamp radio1906laser1960 plastic1909industrial robot1961 refrigerator1913microscope1970 lamp television1923video recorder1971 radar1940scanner1972 atomic bomb1945GPS1973 transistor1947genetic engineering1974 computer1948high speed train1978 optic fiber1955walk-man1979 lamp radio1906laser1960 plastic1909industrial robot1961 refrigerator1913microscope1970 lamp television1923video recorder1971 radar1940scanner1972 atomic bomb1945GPS1973 transistor1947genetic engineering1974 computer1948high speed train1978 optic fiber1955walk-man1979 Inventions from

COMPUTERS WILL BE MORE HUMAN

SOFTWARE WILL GET SMARTER

THE WEB WILL BE SMART WORLD WIDE WEB

Life Sciences - Re-Engineering of Life Itself Tele-diagnostics Technologies Implantable Integrated Biodevices Recombinant DNA – Genopharmacology Bio-engineered Organisms, Tissue Systems, Organs

PART 2 Where we go?

Primary Elements of The Emergent Operational Ecology Infotech Biotech Nanotech

THE THREE MOST IMPORTANT TECHNOLOGICAL ELEMENTS IN CHANGING THE WORLD High Speed CPU ’ s Large Capacity Memories High Speed Media

Transistor Count Versus Year for Microprocessors Production of Transistors are 5000 billion for a day! Production of Transistors are 5000 billion for a day! Million Year High Speed CPU ’ s

THE FOUR CRUCIAL TECHNOLOGICAL COMPONENTS IN CHANGING THE WORLD High Speed CPU ’ s Large Capacity Memories High Speed Media

Transistor Count Versus Year for Microprocessors Production of Transistors are 5000 billion for a day! Production of Transistors are 5000 billion for a day! Million Year High Speed CPU ’ s

Transistor Count Versus Year for Microprocessors Year Introduced Version Approximate Number of Transistors Pentium Pentium Pro Pentium II Pentium III ULSI ? 29, Million 3.1 Million 5.5 Million 7.5 Million 9.5 Million 200 Million 1 Billion

The ULSI chip in the year 2005 Minimum feature size of process technology0.1 micro m Total number of transistors200 million Chip size550 mm^2 Clock frequency GHz Number of I/O connections4000 Number of wiring levels7-8 Supply voltage V By the year 2011 there will be one billion transistor on a single chip. By the year 2011 there will be one billion transistor on a single chip.