NH Gaming Study Commission Fall, 2009 Granite State Poll Findings Andrew E. Smith University of New Hampshire Survey Center Department of Political Science.

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Presentation transcript:

NH Gaming Study Commission Fall, 2009 Granite State Poll Findings Andrew E. Smith University of New Hampshire Survey Center Department of Political Science

Methodology Granite State Poll – quarterly survey of randomly selected NH adults N=502 (MSE = +/- 4.4%) Conducted October 2-9, 2009 RDD Questions developed in conjunction with commission members –Focused on beliefs about pros & cons of expanded gaming

“I’d like to change the subject to the lottery and other kinds of gambling. Please tell me if you have participated in any of the following kinds of gambling in the past 3 months, that is, since the 4th of July. In the past 3 months, have you …

“As you may have heard, the state of New Hampshire is considering expanding legal gambling in New Hampshire beyond the lottery, racetracks, and charitable poker games that are already permitted. Based on your experiences, and what you have seen or heard, what would be the greatest benefits of expanding legal gambling in New Hampshire?” Tax / Revenues: 45% Jobs / Growth 16%

“And based on your experience and what you have seen or heard, what would be the greatest problems that would be caused by expanding legal gambling in New Hampshire?” Crime Related: 28% Money Related: 33%

“As you may know, the legislature is considering expanding legal gambling in New Hampshire beyond the lottery, racetracks, and charitable poker games. There has not been any decision made about what specific type of gambling could be legalized, if any. In general, do you support or oppose expanding legalized gambling in New Hampshire beyond the types that are currently legal? 49% Support 36% Oppose

People Most in Favor of Expanded Gaming

People Most Opposed to Expanded Gaming

Intensity of Support / Opposition 10% 23% Intensely Held Opinions

Conclusions Considerable legal gambling currently occurs in NH –Primarily NH Lottery Major perceived benefits of expanding gambling: –Increased tax revenues for State (45%) –Jobs & Economic growth (16%) –None, no benefits (23%) Major perceived drawbacks of expanding gambling: –Crime, etc. (28%) –People hurt by loss of $$, gambling addiction (33%) –None, no drawbacks (14%)

Conclusions (cont.) Modest support for expanded gambling –49% support, 36% oppose Opponents are more intense in their opposition –70%+ of opponents strongly oppose, 51% of supporters strongly favor –Intense opponents outnumber intense proponents by 2.5 to 1 (26% to 10% of population)