1 INVESTING IN RUSSIA IN 2011/2012: IT IS NEVER TOO LATE.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Fundamental Analysis Workshop Series Session Two – Art of Reading Annual Reports.
Advertisements

Strategies for Managing your Agency’s Investments
Hedge fund flows on pace to nearly double 2012
CONFIDENTIAL AND PROPRIETARY. Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the written approval of Standard & Poor’s.
Introduction Self–directed investors are becoming increasingly sophisticated in terms of how they invest and what they demand of service providers HNW.
Taiwan Treasure at Tough Times Nicholas Kwan Regional Head of Research, Asia
McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Asset Classes and Financial Instruments CHAPTER 2.
- Telecom Services Equity Research FCC Capital Formation Field Hearing October 1, 2009 Christopher C. King All relevant.
Irish recovery? Pär Magnusson
Futures and Options Expo 2002 – Chicago November 7, 2002 The European Futures Market: Overview and Applications C:\WINNT\Profiles\msc15\Desktop\ ppt\05.
February 2008 Impact of the liquidity crisis on the Russian mortgage market Omega Hatfield*
13 September 2007] Vurdering af grunnfondsbeviset og grunnfondsbevisbankerne set fra London.
McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2007 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Financial Securities CHAPTER 2.
Saxo Bank OUTLOOK 2011 Saxo Bank’s HQ in Copenhagen June 24, 2015.
Investments, 8 th edition Bodie, Kane and Marcus Slides by Susan Hine McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights.
McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Asset Classes and Financial Instruments CHAPTER 2.
WisdomTree Emerging Markets Funds Performance Attribution December 2013.
ETF Sales & Trading Toronto | Montreal | Exchange Traded Funds Structure and Market Making September 2014.
Martin Arnold Director - Research Analyst ETF Securities.
FX market program for ranking market makers in EURUSD_TOM May 2014, Moscow Viktoriya Gulavskaya Head of trading technologies and market making.
- 1 - Roadshows – A Broker’s Perspective Companies, brokers and investors Company A Company B Company C Broker E Investor X Investor Y Investor Z.
An Equity Perspective Paul Malan Global Markets 21 January 2004.
FOR INSTITUTIONAL USE ONLY NOT FOR PUBLIC DISTRIBUTION An introduction to the capital markets J.P. Morgan Investment Academy.
©2007, The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved Chapter One Introduction.
Copyright © 2007 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McGraw-Hill /Irwin Chapter One Introduction.
Warren Jestin SVP & Chief Economist As The World Turns Presentation to: International Society of Hospitality Consultants Quebec City, October 2, 2009.
Russian Trading System Stock Exchange Opportunities of Derivatives market for foreign investors.
McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2007 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Financial Securities CHAPTER 2.
İş Yatırım Menkul Değerler A.Ş. Ocak 2005 PERFORMANCE & FINANCIAL RESULTS 2008/Q3 December, 2008.
Eugene Ellmen, National Director, Oikocredit Canada Canadian Responsible Investment Conference, June 18, 2013 Investing for Global Impact.
 Financial Instruments © Copyright 2012 MUTIS. All rights reserved 2012.
Current status and development of MICEX currency market Sergey Savitsky., Vice-president of MICEX 2010 October.
Maximising Investment Opportunities: releasing value from estates Barclays Private Equity 15 th May 2008.
Friedrich Plassmann ‌ SETF Moscow ‌‌‌ Commerzbank Eurasija Recent developments HERMES-covered Financing in Russia.
Essentials of Investments © 2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Fourth Edition Irwin / McGraw-Hill Bodie Kane Marcus 1 Chapters 1.
PRODUCTIVITY – THE PICTURE FOR THE UK & THE WEST MIDLANDS SUSTAINING COMPETITIVENESS CONFERENCE – THE BELFRY RHYS HERBERT SENIOR ECONOMIST 6 JULY 2012.
Saxo Bank OUTLOOK 2011 Saxo Bank’s HQ in Copenhagen October 14, 2015.
Kuwait Financial Centre ‘Markaz’ Sukuk Presentation - Update June 2009
McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Asset Classes and Financial Instruments CHAPTER 2.
Satch Chada, Structured & Alternatives Solutions, Merrill Lynch Michael Forstl, Structured Products Consulting Group, Nuveen Investments April 16, 2008.
McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2007 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Financial Securities CHAPTER 2.
National Bank TRUST 1st Quarter 2007 Status Update.
Prudential Balanced Fund (PRUBF1) November 2011 Fixed information Licensed Date: 5 October 2006 Listing date: 4 December 2006 Base Currency: VND Tenure:
Baring Asset Management (Asia) Limited 19/F, Edinburgh Tower, 15 Queen’s Road Central, Hong Kong Tel Authorised and regulated.
John Butler Managing Partner of Amphora Ltd #soundmoneyco nf.
Place Client Logo Here Oil Market Outlook Paul Horsnell Head of Commodities Research, Barclays Capital Intertanko Singapore Tanker Event 30 March 2006.
CHAPTER 2 Investments Asset Classes and Financial Instruments Slides by Richard D. Johnson Copyright © 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights.
Municipal Issuer Defaults Global Investment Strategy Group July 2010 Confidential Presentation.
Class Business Homework – Solution Solution Group debates/presentations Stock-Trak – Clip Clip.
February 2016 Outlook for Financial Markets Jack Ablin, CFA Chief Investment Officer (312) What to do Now? – Navigating Wall Street Volatility.
Innovation driven by regulation The changing face of cash investment 23 February 2016 Leigh Mahoney and Matthew Byrne ANZ Bank.
1 Experience of a Russian bank in collaboration with Chinese partners Evgeny Kravchenko Head of Export Finance 29 th January 2015.
THESE MATERIALS MAY NOT BE USED OR RELIED UPON FOR ANY PURPOSE OTHER THAN AS SPECIFICALLY CONTEMPLATED BY A WRITTEN AGREEMENT WITH CREDIT SUISSE FIRST.
The economic outlook. 2 Greece Russia 3 The deflation-ghost.
October 2012 Admission of professional participants – non-credit institutions to trading on the Moscow Exchange FX market.
To us there are no foreign markets. ™ Understanding Your Employee Stock Option Plan June 2014 To us there are no foreign markets. ™
Moscow, 2016 SPONSORED ACCESS TO MOSCOW EXCHANGE.
Institutions & Derivative Instruments
‘Diversified Growth Funds’ have become the go-to strategy
Murray International Trust PLC
Financing the cashew sector
Russian Banking system
NCSHA 2016 MRB’s – Now and In the Future
Under-rated assets in an over-priced world
Asset Classes and Financial Instruments
Pamplona Credit Opportunities Fund
Market linked debentures
The Banking Sector in Turkey
Environmental Upgrade Finance
IASA Northeastern Annual Regional Conference Economic and Capital Markets Overview November 2018 The material contained in this presentation has been.
Presentation transcript:

1 INVESTING IN RUSSIA IN 2011/2012: IT IS NEVER TOO LATE

2 1.WHAT RUSSIAN MARKET ACTUALLY IS 2.SBERBANK: RUSSIA’S OLDEST & LARGEST In this presentation:

3 1.WHAT RUSSIAN MARKET ACTUALLY IS

4 WHAT RUSSIAN MARKET ACTUALLY IS: by size Global Equity Market Capitalization, USD bn MCap% of total World % USA % UK3.496% Germany1.643% Japan3.697% BRICS8.3115% - Brazil1.463% - Russia0.992% - India1.463% - China3.907% - South Africa0.501% Sources: Bloomberg, Sberbank

5 WHAT RUSSIAN MARKET ACTUALLY IS: just facts local average daily total turnover USD 2.5 bn ADRs traded at LSE, NYSE & NASDAQ, daily turnover at USD 1.1 bn MCap at USD 986 bn (beginning of May) the largest in Eastern Europe by cap 73% of total turnover performed at MICEX main benchmarks: MICEX (RUB-denom.), RTS (USD-denom.), RTS Standard (RUB-denom.) indices MICEX index breakdown: 50% oil & gas (9 issuers), 22% metallurgy and mining (7 issuers), 16% financials (3 issuers) 10 top stocks make up to 80% of turnover and 53% of total MCap

6 WHAT RUSSIAN MARKET ACTUALLY IS: still undervalued vs. peers and its pre-crisis self

7 WHAT RUSSIAN MARKET ACTUALLY IS: correlations MICEX Index vs. Brent Crude PxMICEX Index vs. S&P500

8 WHAT RUSSIAN MARKET ACTUALLY IS: top 10 equities (80% of daily volume, >50% of MCap) TOP 10 Russian Equity by liquidity Daily Trading Turnover, 6 months average, USD mn MCap as of April, 2011, USD bn Sberbank Gazprom Norilsk Nickel14948 LUKoil12952 Rosneft11086 VTB9131 Sberbank priv.742 Severstal3117 RusHydro3020 SurgutNefteGaz2734 % of Total Market3%0% Sources: MICEX, Sberbank

9 WHAT RUSSIAN MARKET ACTUALLY IS: fixed income governmental debt market par volume outstanding at USD 84 bn local corporate debt at USD 117 bn at par (as of late April, 2011) average issue par amount USD 150 mn, 380 issuers so far corp.total return index up 12% over 2010, up 3.5% this year (end of May) more facts: 3 m USD/RUB NDF yield 3.5-4% annual CPI within 7-9% range Russia’s public external debt/GDP at 2.3%, total ext.debt/GDP at 33%

10 WHAT RUSSIAN MARKET ACTUALLY IS: fixed income Basic curves:

11 WHAT RUSSIAN MARKET ACTUALLY IS: summary as of May 16, 2011CurrentYTD change 12 mnth change change vs. Jun.2007 MICEX Stock Index 1, % USD/RUB nominal rate % CB RF Currency Basket rate, (EUR+USD)/RUB % USD/RUB NDF 3m IY bps USD/RUB NDF 1Y IY bps MosPRIME o/n bps MosPRIME 3M bps

12 2.SBERBANK: RUSSIA’S OLDEST & LARGEST

13 SBERBANK: Russia’s Oldest & Largest Commercial Bank about 50% of national retail deposits, 30% of corporate credit 3 times larger by assets than VTB, Russia’s second largest, and 4.5 times larger than GazpromBank, Russia’s third by size a top 100 world bank by assets and capital a top 100 world bank by brand value (MBO), ahead of GS, MS and JPM MCap at USD 80 bn, comparable to Credit Suisse and SocGen 57.6% of equity owned by Central Bank of Russia, 7.58% set to be privatized this year SBRF is Russian top equity by liquidity at exchanges

14 SBERBANK Global Comparison: 20 World ‘Strongest’ Banks Total Score 1-Tier Capital to Risk Weighted Assets Non- Performing Loans, % of total Loss Provisions to Non- Performing Loans Total deposits to Total Funding Costs to Income 1Oversea-Chinese Banking (Singapore) Svenska Handelsbanken (Sweden) National Bank Of Canada Fifth Third Bancorp (US) Banco Bradesco (Brazil) UBS Switzfrland Credit Suisse Group (Switzerland) JPMorgan Chase (US) Standard Chartered (U.K) Citigroup (US) Sberbank (Russia) Bloomberg Markets ranking

15 SBERBANK: performance

16 SBERBANK: performance

17 SBERBANK: financial market client operations a top 10 MICEX exchange operator (fx) fx operations: >20 currencies (RUB, USD, EUR, AUD, BYR, CAD, CHF, CNY, CZK, DKK, EEK, GBP, JPY, KZT, LTL, LVL, NOK, PLN, SEK, UAH): TOD, TOM, SPOT hedging: delivery forwards, NDFs, futures, options DCM, ECM asset management retail brokerage, mutual funds, private pension funds expanding corporate investment banking in 2011/2012 via Troika Dialog acquisition (Russia’s oldest investment company and brokerage): services for institutional investors and corporates, more sophisticated products

18 SBERBANK: portfolio for Petrogrand open in July, 2010, expires July, 2011; base currency: Russian ruble conservative portfolio: max. 15% equity + bonds and cash municipal and sub-federal bonds only, one year to maturity or less; rated by at least one of the three world agencies; with rating no more than four notches below Russian sovereign; active inter-market arbitrage operations (going cash and hard currency and back to papers again) as of late May, yields 11% annual return in RUB terms, 22% USD and 8.2% EUR (because of EUR appreciation vs. USD)

19 SBERBANK: contacts Sberbank Of Russia Treasury & Financial Market Department Asset Management 19 Vavilova Str., Moscow, Russia Sales: +7 (495) Vladimir Zelenov, Irina Finokhina, Svetlana Yashina

20 Disclaimer This report is not an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or related financial instruments or to participate in any trading strategy. Although the information and opinions expressed in this report are believed to be accurate as of this date, no express or implied warranties or representation are being made as to accuracy or completeness. The information and opinions presented have not been tailored to any specific transaction of any third party and are not a detailed analysis of a specific situation of any third party. Our opinions may change without further notice. The information and opinions expressed in this report are not a substitute for an independent assessment of an individual’s investment needs and goals. Opinions expressed in this report may differ or be contrary to the opinions of other units of Sberbank (hereinafter referred to as the Bank) as a result of using different assumptions or criteria or analysis of information for different purposes. This document is for information purposes only. Descriptions of any company or companies or their securities or the markets or developments mentioned herein are not intended to be complete. Any statements regarding past performance are not necessarily indicative of future performance. The Bank, its affiliates, officers and/or employees and/or related parties may hold interests in or may have performed services for one or more of the companies mentioned in this report and/or may hold such interests and perform or seek to perform such services in the future subject to the Bank’s internal procedures aimed at avoidance of conflict of interest. The Bank or any of its affiliates may act or have acted as market-makers in securities or other financial instruments mentioned herein or securities underlying such financial instruments or related to those securities. Furthermore, the Bank may have or have had a relationship with or provide or have provided investment banking, capital markets and/or other financial services to the relevant companies. Employees of the Bank or its affiliates may serve or have served as officers or directors of the relevant companies subject to the Bank’s internal procedures aimed at avoidance of conflict of interest. Neither the Bank nor any of its affiliates accept any liability arising from the use of any of the information or opinions expressed in this report. This report may not be reproduced, distributed or published, in whole or in part, for any purpose without the express written permission of the Bank. This report may be used by investors within the Russian Federation subject to Russian laws. Foreign investors (including but not limited to those from Switzerland, the Netherlands, Germany, Italy, France, Sweden, Denmark, and Austria) may use this report provided they are deemed to be institutional investors under the laws of the country of registration. This report was prepared by the Bank, which is not registered as a broker-dealer by the SEC and is distributed to persons who by their acceptance thereof confirm that they are a major institutional investor in the US as defined in Regulation 15a–16 of the US Securities Act of 1934 and understand the risks involved in executing transactions in securities. This report was prepared by the Bank, which is not registered by the FSA and is not available to private customers in the United Kingdom. Analyst certification Each research analyst primarily responsible for the content, in whole or in part, of this research report, certifies that with respect to each security or issuer that the analyst covered in this report: (1) all of the views expressed accurately reflect his or her personal views about those securities or issuers; and (2) no part of his or her compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed by that research analyst in the research report and (3) such research analyst does not perform transactions in securities issued by companies that he or she covers. The Bank accepts no responsibility for any use of information based on the views of any research analyst in relation to any relevant securities.