Hot Data Points ASA Leadership Meeting May 2015 Participants: Gail O’Kane, CAO at MCTC Tom Williamson, Director of Academic Operations at MCTC Tabatha Miller, Research Analyst at MCTC Craig Schoenecker, Director of Research at System Office John Asmussen, Asmussen Research David Jones, MSU Mankato Peter Weilinski, Minnesota State Community and Technical College

Student Enrollment/Success

Which Prospects Convert? 50% of applicants enroll Math and (especially) Reading placements predict conversion - MCTC IR

Low-Income Students Are Now “Overrepresented” *could be due to change in Pell eligibility standards SOURCE: MCTC IR

Transfer Students Are Much More College Ready SOURCE: Asmussen Rearch 28% of Transfer Students were College Ready 6% of First Time were College Ready

High school class rank better predictor of course completion than Accuplacer 90% of students in top quartile of their high school class completed 2/3 of their first-term courses at MnSCU 2-year Colleges (compared to 45% of students in the bottom quartile).* * preliminary results SOURCE: Asmussen Research

Many “Full-Time” Students Are Part-Time Students (First-Time Students-excluding ELL, MCTC, Fall ) 347 Earned 0 credits 15% Left without earning a credit! SOURCE: Asmussen Research ONLY 52% of FT/FT students (our IPEDS cohort) were actually full-time

Getting Off to a Good Start Is Critical 71% of students who complete 67% of their first-term credits end up graduating, retained, or transferred compared to 15% of those who don’t -- regardless of placement level and credit load English is a gateway to an associate’s degree. Students who complete college English have a success rate of 70%, compared to 30% for those who don’t. o Takeaway: One key approach closing completion gap – close course success gaps in gateway English courses SOURCE: Asmussen Research

Continuously enrolled students outperform stop-outs at all departure points Success includes graduation with any credential or transfer after making satisfactory academic progress. SOURCE: Asmussen Research

On average student earn 12 unproductive credits on their way to an Associate’s degree SOURCE: MCTC IR

Prerequisite decisions as a social justice issue SOURCE: Asmussen Research % of Black/African American new students placing into lowest levels of Math 72% of males 85% of females

Predictive Analytics in Action: MSU Mankato - David P. Jones (Vice President for Student Affairs & Enrollment Management)

Predictive Analytics in Action: MSU Mankato

Financial Issues – Students and Institutions

SOURCE: MCTC Academic Operations MCTC 1% increase of course saturation (fill rate) in lower division and developmental courses yields an additional $360,000 per fiscal year in revenue MnSCU 1% increase of course saturation (fill rate) in lower division and developmental courses could yield approximately $12.5 million per fiscal year in additional revenue for MnSCU institutions

MnSCU is ranked 38 th out of 51 states and DC in administrative spending per FYE 19

One in 3 MnSCU graduates attend more than one college or university 20 Source: System Office Research – Academic and Student Affairs

State support per FYE has begun to improve in constant dollars … but is still 32% below 2002 levels 21 Source: System Office Research – Academic and Student Affairs

Students now paying 56% of college costs vs. 34% in FY02 22 Source: System Office Research – Academic and Student Affairs

Affordability: Tuition & fees as a percent of median income Source: System Office Research – Academic and Student Affairs

More MnSCU students are eligible for and are receiving financial aid 24 Source: System Office Research – Academic and Student Affairs

MnSCU students are receiving increasing amounts of financial aid 25 Source: System Office Research – Academic and Student Affairs

MnSCU % with No Debt MnSCU % with Debt Median Debt for those with Debt Median Debt for all Graduates Certificates46.4%53.6%$11,028$2,778 Associates Degrees34.3%65.7%$15,940$8,777 Baccalaureate Degree26.3%73.7%$26,057$19,064 Student Loan Debt at Graduation Varies Greatly by Award (FY 2014 Graduates) 26 Source: System Office Research – Academic and Student Affairs

Private institution graduates have more student loan debt 27 Source: System Office Research – Academic and Student Affairs Percent of Graduates With Student Loan Debt Median Student Loan Debt at Graduation

Student borrowing has outpaced cost of attendance Student cost/FYE: Fin Aid/FYE: SOURCE: MCTC Finance Division *data from Borrowing has led to ~doubling of default rates 2008 Cohort2009 Cohort2010 Cohort 7.8%12.1%14.1% 11.7% 47.1%

Using Data to Target Marketing

Using Data to Target Marketing Efforts SOURCE: Peter Weilinski, Minnesota State Community and Technical College

Career Coach Source Career WagesJob Openings OutlookGrowth Percentage Retirement Year Placement Average Involvement Ranking Average Fall2SpringFall2FallAcademic PerformanceGraduation RatePlacement Rate OO OKOOna Accounting, Accounting Clerk $ %18246%n/aWAGE OKJOB OPENINGS OKINOKOOOK OO Accounting, Accounting Clerk $ %18246%n/aWAGE OKJOB OPENINGS OKINOK na Secretary and Administrative Assistant $ %10683%3.5WAGE OKOOOK OO Architechtural Drafter $ %061%4.5WAGE OKOKOOOK OO Master Mechanic - Automotive $ %3393%4OKOO Automotive Body and Related Repair $ %773%2WAGE OKOKOOOKOO n/a #VALUE!n/a 67%4WAGE OK#VALUE! OO General Operations Manager $ %4875%4WAGE OKOO Teacher Assistant $ %8975%3.5JOB OPENINGS OKOO OK Network and Computer Systems Administrator $ %079%3.5WAGE OKOO OKOO SOURCE: Peter Weilinski, Minnesota State Community and Technical College Using Data to Target Marketing Efforts

What are your hot data points?