National Weather Service FY 2002 Annual Operating Plan National Centers for Environmental Prediction October 11, 2001

Agenda FY 2001 Milestone Summary Budget/Resource Information FY 2002 Milestones Management Information Information Technology Expenditures

FY 2001 Milestone Summary 43 of 45 FY 2001 Milestones completed FY 2001 Milestones not completed –Make IIDA product available to the FAA and airlines Planned for completion in 1 st Quarter 2002 Aviation Weather Technology Transfer Board to decide operational status in November 2001 –Establish technology infusion group at World Weather Building for climate modeling services Dropped GFDL resources are not available

FMC Budget/Resource Information FY 2001 allocation with FY 2002 labor inflation: $42.06M FY 2002 FTE Level: 375

Main Goals Address Seamless Suite of Products –Collaborative Forecast Process –Chat Room Capitalize on Investment in IBM SP/IT –Model enhancements –Communications enhancements

NCEP FY 2002 Milestones Deliver Better Products and Services –Make the Day 3 Convective Outlook operational, by issuing the text and probability graphic via AWIPS. SPC – 1 st Quarter –Provide experimental winter weather products and services through collaborative forecast process with ER. HPC – 1 st Quarter –Implement Flood Potential Outlook operationally. HPC – 1 st Quarter –Provide Heat Index product suite for Days 4-7. HPC – 3 rd Quarter

NCEP FY 2002 Milestones Deliver Better Products and Services –Further automate the Collaborative Surface analysis project. HPC/MPC/TPC – 3 rd Quarter –Create an operational ADDS. AWC – 4 th Quarter –Collaborate with the Southern Region in holding a National Severe Thunderstorm Workshop for a mixed audience of emergency managers and weathercasters. SPC – 3 rd Quarter

NCEP FY 2002 Milestones Capitalize on Scientific and Technological Advances –Implement 12 km Eta forecast system for North American domain. EMC – 1 st Quarter –Implement new version of GFDL hurricane forecast model designed to be consistent with improved resolution global forecast system. EMC – 2 nd Quarter –Implement T254/L60 (55 km) global forecast system. EMC – 4 th Quarter

NCEP FY 2002 Milestones Capitalize on Scientific and Technological Advances –Implement non-hydrostatic 8 km Mesoscale Threats model for CONUS, Alaska, Hawaii and Puerto Rico. EMC – 2 nd Quarter –Implement high resolution wave forecast model for the West Coast, including Hawaii. EMC – 4 th Quarter –Implement WRF Common Modeling Infrastructure into Non-hydrostatic Mesoscale Threats model run. EMC – 4 th Quarter

NCEP FY 2002 Milestones Capitalize on Scientific and Technological Advances –Implement weekly global ocean data assimilation system for climate forecasting. EMC – 3 rd Quarter –Implement Pacific Ocean coupled atmosphere- ocean model for seasonal forecasting. EMC – 4 th Quarter

NCEP FY 2002 Milestones Capitalize on Scientific and Technological Advances –Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation Implement JCSDA community fast radiative transfer model in NCEP global data assimilation system. EMC – 3 rd Quarter Initiate AIRS assessment. EMC – 4 th Quarter

NCEP FY 2002 Milestones Capitalize on Scientific and Technological Advances –Establish and complete first year activities for USWRP sponsored hurricane test bed, including facilitating transition to operations of qualifying FY01 and FY02 projects. TPC – 4 th Quarter –Generate and verify experimental in-house 4 and 5 day tropical cyclone forecasts. TPC – 4 th Quarter

NCEP FY 2002 Milestones Exercise Global Leadership –Begin production of mid-level (10, ,000 ft) aviation chart for South America in support of ICAO and IATA aviation needs. AWC – 2 nd Quarter –Enhance and conduct a Regional Area IV workshop on hurricane forecasting and warning for meteorologists from English, Spanish, French and Dutch speaking countries. TPC – 2 nd Quarter

NCEP FY 2002 Milestones Exercise Global Leadership –Conduct a hurricane awareness tour to Caribbean countries and Mexico with emphasis on outreach and public education about NHC warning program. TPC – 3 rd Quarter –Host 18 meteorologists from Latin America, Saudi Arabia and Africa at International Training Desks. HPC/CPC – 4 th Quarter –Promote regional model-based short-range ensemble forecasting internationally – 4 th Quarter

NCEP FY 2002 Milestones Change the NWS Organizational Culture –Develop an individual development plan for each AWC employee. AWC – 4 th Quarter –Develop a student intern program with the University of Oklahoma to give minorities, females, and those with disabilities NWS experience before graduation. SPC – 2 nd Quarter

NCEP FY 2002 Milestones Manage NWS Resources –Recommend a facility location for the Central Computing System. NCO – 2 nd Quarter –Award contract for the next Central Computer System NCO – 3 rd Quarter –Begin Installation of next Central Computer System. NCO – 4 th Quarter

NCEP FY 2002 Milestones Manage NWS Resources –Implement end-to-end redundancy in the NCEP local and wide area networks. NCO – 2 nd Quarter –Extend the secure NCEP network architecture to encompass the remote centers. NCO – 3 rd Quarter –Install, test and, if successful, implement four- headed LINUX workstation. AWC – 2 nd Quarter

NCEP FY 2002 Milestones Manage NWS Resources –Implement NOAA/USDA Joint Agricultural Weather Facility end state staffing - reduce CPC on-site staff at USDA from four to two with no degradation of service to USDA. CPC – 4 th Quarter

Management Information Diversity Survey Feedback Action (SFA) for 2002 will be released shortly after the new year. –To be administered via the Web (facilitates participation by shift-workers) NCEP plans to participate fully in SFA 2002.

Management Information Affirmative Action/EEO NCEP plans to continue its relationship with GoHFAS, to identify a pool of minority and women candidates for NWS employment.

Management Information Minority Serving Institutions In FY 02, NOAA and the National Weather Service will establish an Atmospheric Cooperative Science Center at Howard University, a Minority Service Institute. NCEP will work with Howard University to develop research and training opportunities for Howard’s Atmospheric Science faculty and students.

Management Information Environmental Compliance No Environmental Compliance and Safety Assessments at NCEP centers in In FY2002 will develop training modules for NCEP based upon the the 32 Safety and Health Standards listed in the Engineering Handbook 15. Will expand the safety video library and ensure availability 24 hours per day. Will ensure information is shared with outlying NCEP Centers.

Management Information Organizational Issues Location selection process for new computer

Information Technology Expenditures Available 10/12/01