STATISTICS For Research. Why Statistics? 1. Quantitatively describe and summarize data A Researcher Can:

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Presentation transcript:

STATISTICS For Research

Why Statistics?

1. Quantitatively describe and summarize data A Researcher Can:

2. Draw conclusions about large sets of data by sampling only small portions of them

3. Objectively measure differences and relationships between sets of data. A Researcher Can:

Samples should be taken at randomSamples should be taken at random Each measurement has an equal opportunity of being selectedEach measurement has an equal opportunity of being selected Otherwise, sampling procedures may be biasedOtherwise, sampling procedures may be biased Random Sampling

A characteristic CANNOT be estimated from a single data pointA characteristic CANNOT be estimated from a single data point Replicated measurements should be taken, at least 10.Replicated measurements should be taken, at least 10. Sampling Replication

Mechanics 1. Write down a formula 2. Substitute numbers into the formula 3. Solve for the unknown.

The Null Hypothesis H o = There is no difference between 2 or more sets of dataH o = There is no difference between 2 or more sets of data – any difference is due to chance alone – Commonly set at a probability of 95% (P .05)

The Alternative Hypothesis H A = There is a difference between 2 or more sets of dataH A = There is a difference between 2 or more sets of data –the difference is due to more than just chance –Commonly set at a probability of 95% (P .05)

Averages Population Average = mean ( x )Population Average = mean ( x ) a Population mean = (  )a Population mean = (  ) – take the mean of a random sample from the population ( n )

Population Means To find the population mean (  ), add up (  ) the valuesadd up (  ) the values (x = grasshopper mass, tree height) (x = grasshopper mass, tree height) divide by the number of values (n):  =  xdivide by the number of values (n):  =  x — — n

Measures of Variability Calculating a mean gives only a partial description of a set of dataCalculating a mean gives only a partial description of a set of data – Set A = 1, 6, 11, 16, 21 – Set B = 10, 11, 11, 11, 12 Means for A & B ??????Means for A & B ?????? Need a measure of how variable the data are.Need a measure of how variable the data are.

Range Difference between the largest and smallest valuesDifference between the largest and smallest values – Set A = 1, 6, 11, 16, 21 Range = ???Range = ??? – Set B = 10, 11, 11, 11, 12 Range = ???Range = ???

Standard Deviation

A measure of the deviation of data from their mean.A measure of the deviation of data from their mean.

The Formula __________ SD =  N ∑ X 2 - ( ∑ X) 2 ________ N (N-1) N (N-1)

SD Symbols SD = Standard Dev  = Square Root ∑ X 2 = Sum of x 2 ’d ∑ (X) 2 = Sum of x’s, then squared N = # of samples

The Formula __________ SD =  N ∑ X 2 - ( ∑ X) 2 ________ N (N-1) N (N-1)

X X 2 X X , , , , , , , , , ,500  X = 3,185  X 2 = 1,016,797

You can use your calculator to find SD! Once You’ve got the Idea:

The Normal Curve

SD & the Bell Curve

% Increments

Skewed Curves median

Critical Values Standard Deviations  2 SD above or below the mean = due to MORE THAN CHANCE ALONE.

Critical Values The data lies outside the 95% confidence limits for probability.

Chi-Square 2 Chi-Square  2

Chi-Square Test Requirements Quantitative dataQuantitative data Simple random sampleSimple random sample One or more categoriesOne or more categories Data in frequency (%) formData in frequency (%) form

Chi-Square Test Requirements Independent observationsIndependent observations All observations must be usedAll observations must be used Adequate sample size (  10)Adequate sample size (  10)

Example

Chi-Square Symbols 2 =  (O - E) 2  2 =  (O - E) 2 E O = Observed Frequency E = Expected Frequency  = sum of d f = degrees of freedom (n-1) 2 = Chi Square  2 = Chi Square

Chi-Square Worksheet

Chi-Square Analysis Table value for Chi Square = d f 4 d f P=.05 level of significance P=.05 level of significance Is there a significant difference in car preference????

SD & the Bell Curve

T-Tests

T-Tests For populations that do follow a normal distribution

T-Tests Drawing conclusions about similarities or differences similarities or differences between population means (  )

T-Tests Is average plant biomass the same in two different geographical areas ???Is average plant biomass the same in two different geographical areas ??? Two different seasons ???Two different seasons ???

T-Tests COMPLETELY confident answer =COMPLETELY confident answer = – measure all plant biomass in each area Is this PRACTICAL?????Is this PRACTICAL?????

Instead: Take one sample from each populationTake one sample from each population Infer from the sample means and SD whether the populations have the same or different means.Infer from the sample means and SD whether the populations have the same or different means.

Analysis SMALL t values = high probability that the two population means are the sameSMALL t values = high probability that the two population means are the same LARGE t values = low probability (means are different)LARGE t values = low probability (means are different)

Analysis T calculated > t critical = reject H o T calculated > t critical = reject H o t critical t critical t critical t critical

We will be using computer analysis to perform the t- test

Simpson’s Diversity Index

Nonparametric Testing For populations that do NOT follow a normal distributionFor populations that do NOT follow a normal distribution – includes most wild populations

Answers the Question If 2 indiv are taken at RANDOM from a community, what is the probability that they will be the SAME species????If 2 indiv are taken at RANDOM from a community, what is the probability that they will be the SAME species????

The Formula D = 1 -  n i (n i - 1) D = 1 -  n i (n i - 1) ————— ————— N (N-1) N (N-1)

Example

Example D = 1- 50(49)+25(24)+10(9) D = 1- 50(49)+25(24)+10(9)———————————85(84) D = 0.56 D = 0.56

Analysis Closer to 1.0 = Closer to 1.0 = – more Homogeneous community Farther away from 1.0 = Farther away from 1.0 = – more Heterogeneous community

You can calculate by hand to find “D”You can calculate by hand to find “D” School Stats package MAY calculate it.School Stats package MAY calculate it.

© 2000 Anne F. Maben All rights reserved