UK Construction Prospects Presented by: Allan Wilén, Economics Director Date: 23 rd October 2012
Market Conditions Double dip recession Sharp falls in private sector construction in 2008 & 2009 Renewed pressure from public sector cuts in 2011 & 2012 Gradual private sector recovery
Construction’s clients Government funded work has supported output Recession hit private sector workload hard Private non-residential building still a third of output Private housing stabilised Infrastructure & Utilities growth sectors
Government Policy: Key Department Spending 4
Government Policy Looking to private sector investment to lead recovery Government prioritising investment in infrastructure Value of publicly funded new builds to fall over coming years Focus on refurbishment and improvements Return of PFI to bridge the gap
Social Housing
Education
Brighter Consumer Prospects? ■Consumers hard hit since 2007 ■Households hit by: ■Weak earnings growth ■Tax rises ■Higher inflation ■Debt levels remain high ■Uncertain employment prospects ■Restricted bank lending ■Improved consumer confidence from late 2012? ■Lower inflation ■Moving out of recession
Housebuilders revisit sites
Private Housing ■Sharp fall in project starts during 2008 & 2009 ■Hesitant recovery in 2010 faded last year ■Positive start to 2012 ■Further recovery anticipated ■Gradual rise in household incomes and confidence ■Improved mortgage finance availability ■Government initiatives to lift market
Office Construction
Industry Prospects Public sector squeeze as capital funding cut Slow private recovery –Offices, retail and industrial upturn –Increase in private housing starts Private sector recovery hampered by access to capital Improved consumer confidence Refurbishment & retro-fit Regional divide
Customer Satisfaction
On time & to budget
Any Questions?