Sound Navigation requires... Sound Measurement “Money has not been generated by law. In its origin it is a social, and not a state institution.” Carl Menger.

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Presentation transcript:

Sound Navigation requires... Sound Measurement “Money has not been generated by law. In its origin it is a social, and not a state institution.” Carl Menger New Zealand Society of Actuaries Conference 2010 Presentation by Louis Boulanger & Professor Antal Fekete

2

On the origins of money...  Carl Menger’s essay (1892) is the most important reading source to fully grasp and understand the true origins of money  a social phenomenon of practice/habit  money is... a social (not a state) institution  a gradual realisation of the different degrees of saleableness of goods and commodities  money is the “unpremeditated resultant” and “spontaneous outcome” of human actions 3

The role of the state...  Came much later...  Precious metals became money before ‘coins’  Not as a rule, but because of their saleableness  No accident or state compulsion effected this  State recognition and state regulation of what people had already decided was money:  caused the state to coin (administrative role)  perfecting use of precious metals as money 4

What is money? Money is anything that is generally accepted as payment for goods and services and repayment of debts. The main uses of money are: 1. as a medium of exchange; 2. as a unit of account; and 3. as a store of value. 5

Is this ‘good’ (sound) money? 6 An example of fiat paper money

What of the ‘unit of account’?  A standard numerical unit of measurement  Used to describe economic activity (e.g. GDP)  SO, maybe:  Our measurement of economic performance is only as good or reliable as our ‘money’ is  IF SO, then:  How good is our currency as a measure? 7

Measures of money  Lots of aggregate measures of its supply  M0, M1, M2, MZM, M3, etc  But what of the basic unit (of measure) itself?  Nothing to be found in absolute terms  Abundance of data/speculation in relative terms: Currency exchange rates Price level in terms of currencies 8

Scientific measurement?  In all scientific endeavours, precision in the definition of the unit of measure has improved  The ONLY exception is economics and, in particular, monetary economics  ‘Money’ today, as far as its value is concerned, is based on government fiat, which is itself a highly elastic measure 9

Aggregate measure of money 10

Final thoughts  The present financial crisis is far from over  At its roots it’s a belated gold crisis  Gold has been exiled internationally from the monetary system and prevented from discharging its natural function  So it is prudent to measure one’s net worth in gold units rather than legal tender units 11