The Economic Effects of a Dredging and Maintenance Program for the AIWW in NC Chris Dumas, UNC Wilmington Jim Herstine, UNC Wilmington John Whitehead,

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Presentation transcript:

The Economic Effects of a Dredging and Maintenance Program for the AIWW in NC Chris Dumas, UNC Wilmington Jim Herstine, UNC Wilmington John Whitehead, Appalachian State University

Acknowledgements

Atlantic Intracoastal Waterway 3,000-mile recreational and commercial waterway Natural inlets, rivers, bays, sounds and manmade canals Maintained by the US Army Corps of Engineers. Legislated minimum depth of 12 ft Shoaling or shallow water are problems along several sections of the waterway.

Senator Dole, 2006 "Overall, I believe the President has submitted a good budget that funds critical national priorities, …, while at the same time holding the line on wasteful spending. However, I believe it falls short with regard to specific North Carolina needs. In particular, I am disappointed that crucial projects including … [the] Atlantic Intracoastal Waterway, and North Carolina’s Shallow Draft Navigation Inlets were under-funded."

Shoaling Areas in NC

Recreational Benefits and Impacts $ Trips Trip cost Benefits Impacts

Change in Benefits and Impacts $ Trips Trip cost Change in Benefits Change in Impacts

Recreational Boaters’ Survey LocationCountyField SurveysPercent Coinjock Midway MarinaCurrituck Coinjock MarinaCurrituck Great Dismal Swamp Visitors' CenterCamden40.34 OrientalPamlico272.3 Beaufort WaterfrontCarteret Beaufort Radio IslandCarteret Morehead City 70 West MarinaCarteret Swansboro Dudley's MarinaOnslow Swansboro Casper's MarinaOnslow Scott's Hill MarinaPender Wrightsville Beach Seapath MarinaNew Hanover Carolina Bch State ParkNew Hanover50.43 Southport MarinaBrunswick

Recreational Boaters’ Survey StateNumberPercentage NC FL VA MD SC PA NY/NJ GA CT90.65 MA states represented. Results for the “top ten” states are presented in the table to the left. One-in-five boaters on the AIWW is out of state.

Willingness to Pay Federal government funds for dredging of the Atlantic Intracoastal Waterway in NC are threatened. If dredging completely stops, the average depth of the NC portion of the Atlantic Intracoastal Waterway would be about 4 feet. A NC dredging and maintenance program would provide enough funding to maintain an average depth of 12 feet in the NC portion of the Atlantic Intracoastal Waterway.

Willingness to Pay, cont. The dredging and maintenance program would be funded by a $A surcharge on your annual boating registration fee. Each registered boater with a boat longer than 16 feet using the NC portion of the Atlantic Intracoastal Waterway would be required to purchase a sticker each year to be placed alongside the registration number on the boat. Would you be willing to pay $A in additional annual boating registration fees each year for this program?

Willing to Pay $A? $AWTP $1087% $2576% $5063% $7559% $10047%

Determinants of WTP Income elasticity = 0.39 Credible scenario = + $20 ΔWTP/Δtrip = $0.48

Aggregate Willingness to Pay 355,453 boats registered in NC (2003) 211,318 with length greater than 16 ft 203,953 with zip codes in the range of AIWW sample Average WTP = $90 Aggregate annual WTP = $18 million

Expenditures Average per Vessel SampleTotalWithin NCWithin County NC Residents1099$514$463$383 Non-NC Residents301$1,718$384$195

Expenditures by Category CategoryAverage Per Vessel Gas to Site$51 Launch Fees$11 Boat Fuel$318 Lodging$74 Restaurants$115 Groceries$89 Bait/Tackle$46 Other Supplies$69 Total$773

Baseline Economic Impacts (millions) DirectIndirectInducedTotal Output$114$19$124$256 Labor Income $67$6$50$124

AIWW Revealed and Stated Preference Boating Trips Trips Last year38 Next year42 Next year (12 ft)42 Next year (4 ft)23

Change in Economic Impacts with a 4 ft AIWW (millions) Total Output-$103 Labor Income -$50

Economic effects of a change in AIWW depth from 4 ft to 12 ft (millions) Benefits$18 Impacts (output)$103

Maintenance Costs $11 million Source: Atlantic Intracoastal Waterway Association

Conclusions Net benefits are about $7 million Local economic impacts are large