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Eric Rasmussen, MD, MDM, FACP CEO, InSTEDD Disaster Response and Civil-Military Cooperation 3

This is the standard guide. 4

Comprehensive reference. 200 pages of detail. Free download. And I have a copy for you. 5

“Stability Operations…shall be given priority comparable to combat operations…” US DoD Directive November

Smart Power in Humanitarian Support Power projection Irregular conflicts, reactive transformation –Millennium Challenge 2002 CIA 2015 Report –Resource Wars Contextual Intelligence –Afghanistan Ring Road –Tajik Road construction Chinese, Iranian, Turkish Disaster Response in Failed States

8 Refugee trauma management Cholera outbreak Katrina response In my view, collaboration in disaster response is the single most critical unmet need. In my view, collaboration in disaster response is the single most critical unmet need.

Collaboration Directory Federation Social NetworkingVirtual Teaming Reliable Messaging Social Metadata Information Flow Forms Design Shared Ontologies Schema Evolution Translation Deep Field Collection Geocoding Analysis Data Fusion Anomaly Detection Complex Adaptive Systems Network Analysis Text Mining Spatio- temporal Analysis Sensor Integration Decision Support Geospatial Visualization Autonomous Agents Predictive Modeling Distributed Workflow Alerting Report Generation Mesh Synchronization Storage Abstraction Offline Work Conflict Resolution SMS Integration SecurityIdentity Adapters & Transformers What disaster information flow requires (technically)… 9

Likely partners in a disaster response: UN –DPKO (18 current Peacekeeping Operations) –UNDP (166 of 192 countries) –UN-OCHA UNHCR, WFP, WHO, UNICEF NGO –44,000 and counting ICRC –Prisoners and disrupted families –Afghanistan: 88 intl /1200 national staff IFRC World Bank, IMF, DFID, ECHO, USAID, GTZ… 10

Casual, distilled 10 Commandments 20 Recommendations 30 Advisories 11

A subset of recognized Civ-Mil disaster response needs: 1.Language support 2.Independent and sustainable power 3.Tracking of people, processes, and things 4.Visualized information distributed broadly 5.Sustainable transition plans with milestones 6.Communication one-to-one, one-to-many, many-to-one 7.Collaborative processes between agencies and organizations 8.Operational guidelines and organizational charter accessibility 9.Objective indicators (and impact metrics) so we know we’re progressing 10.Information collection, analysis, and dissemination, vertical and horizontal

Information flow is almost as vital as water 13

Six-fold communication redundancy has sometimes proved inadequate, yet… “Nothing worked until you guys arrived” Navy Theater Surgeon (Forward) Belle Chasse, New Orleans Joint Task Force Katrina 14

Perhaps the dominant medium-term national security issue and disaster response preparedness requirement. Now made more acute by the global economic crisis. Climate Change 15 September 2008

Population affected by water disasters (millions/year) UNDP, 2007

Disasters by Origin Origin Water Geological Biological Total “Data Against Natural Disasters”, UN-OCHA, 2008

Natural disasters (5) Socio-economic loss (40%) Emerging infections Climate Change Religious extremism Narcotic trafficking Poverty / Brain Drain Post-Soviet disintegration Tajikistan Compound Crisis 19

Singapore MINDEF Dave Snowdon’s Cynefin model of System Dynamics Far beyond scenario planning 20

Ghani-Lockhart Reconstruction Standards Fixing Failed States 21

Eric Rasmussen, MD, MDM, FACP +1 – 360 – 621 – 3592 InSTEDD.org 1.Collaboration tools 2.Climate change impact 3.Cynefin and Complexity models 4.Civ-Mil Field Coordinator Handbook 22