Pricing Volatility 2015. DISCLAIMER The information and opinions presented are of a general nature only and do not take into account the particular needs.

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Presentation transcript:

Pricing Volatility 2015

DISCLAIMER The information and opinions presented are of a general nature only and do not take into account the particular needs or individual circumstances of investors. The material does not constitute any investment recommendation or advice nor does it constitute legal or taxation advice. All information is copyright to Ten Tigers Pty Ltd. Ten Tigers Pty Ltd (ABN ) trading as Ten Tigers Consulting does not give any warranty, whether express or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability or otherwise of the information and opinions contained herein and to the maximum extent permissible by law, accepts no liability in contract, tort (including negligence) or otherwise for any loss or damages suffered as a result of reliance on such information or opinions. Ten Tigers Pty Ltd does not endorse any third parties that may have provided information included in the material. Authorisation for derivatives advice (futures and foreign exchange) is held by: Chris Tonkin, Authorised Representative No with Australian Financial Services License No held by Ten Tigers Grain Marketing Pty Ltd. (ABN ). PO Box 1475, Geraldton, WA, 6531

Wheat – Understanding this movement is vital. If I lock in at $300, on average what is the upside?

What is happening to maximums and minimums? What would it take to get back to 2010 volatility?

On average, what months are best, to avoid locking in the lowest cash price?

Barley – Look at the highs, See a pattern? What is happening to the lows?

Lows and highs are better second half and the “August” thing also applicable.

Non GM Canola – Look at the highs !! Volatility is still large look at the scale.

Best time to avoid lowest lows? End of year. This doesn’t mean the best prices are end of year

Remember that this data is on average and doesn’t mean it will happen every year - (Guide only) Don’t keep those large numbers from 2010 in your head as goals. – this shows that it doesn’t happen anymore. Set realistic good numbers as targets. Marketing Rule for 2015 – Sell more at the good numbers. Thought- sometimes a washout is better than a harvest sale. Final thought – When it is all finished and didn’t work – Learn from it! Notes