Strategic Plan Quantitative Data February 13, 2006

Strategic Plan Quantitative Data Summary of Data Types Trends in Higher Education Workforce Trends Demographic Trends Enrollment Trends Retention and Success Rates Educational Attainment Funding Trends K-12 Trends Facilities Inventory

Strategic Plan Quantitative Data Trends in Higher Education  Increase of 478,000+ students by 2013  Under-funded as compared to K-12/ 4-YR  Lack of K-12 preparation  Growing numbers of traditionally underrepresented minority students  0ne in every three students enrolling in basic skills  Weak linkages across educational sectors

Strategic Plan Quantitative Data Workforce Trend Analysis Fastest Growing Occupations – Orange County Architecture, Engineering and Construction Education Administration and Teaching Information Technology Health Care Occupations with the Most Job Openings – Orange County Retail, Sales, Cashiers Food Preparation and Serving Office Work Education Healthcare Employment Projections for Occupations Requiring AA/AS or Post Secondary Vocational Program Completion – Orange County Average Wage is $18.98/Hours Support staff in many occupations including:  Healthcare  Law  Offices  Education  Computers

Strategic Plan Quantitative Data Demographic Trend Analysis  Population in O.C. has grown 5.9% since 2000, expected to grow by 23.6% by 2020 which is less than California growth rate (28.8%) and more than the U.S. growth rate (19.3%)  By 2040, ethnic makeup will change with Hispanic growth by 20%, Asian/Pacific Islander growth by 2.2%, American Indian growth by.5%, White decrease by 21/% and African American decrease by.3%  By 2010, age of residents will decrease by 3%, will increase by 3%, 55+ will increase by 32%  Population density will be highest in Anaheim, Stanton and Cypress with lower density in Fullerton, Buena Park and Los Alamitos

Strategic Plan Quantitative Data Enrollment Trend Analysis WSCH is expected to grow 1-1.5% per year for the next 10 years based on current WSCH/Enrollment For the District as a whole, growth in Enrollment and FTES has slowed, particularly since the budget cuts which forced reduced offerings in 2003 Projected FTES for based on P-1 Report is 33,820.57, less than targeted

Strategic Plan Quantitative Data Retention and Success Rate Analysis  Success Rates are similar (50-90%) for Cypress and Fullerton and vary similarly by Division  Retention Rates are similar (60-95%) for Cypress and Fullerton and vary similarly by Division

Strategic Plan Quantitative Data Educational Attainment Analysis  The number of people without a High School Diploma will grow 5.5% over the next four years  The number of people with some college, but no degree or certificate will grow 4.5% over the next four years  Those with no diploma and only some college are located in the mid-area of our district

Strategic Plan Quantitative Data Funding Trends Analysis  Revenues to the district have increased from $146M in 2002/03 to $167M in 2005/06, an increase of 14%  Expenditures have increased from $144M in 2002/03 to $171M in 2005/06, an increase of 18.8% (This includes unspent reserves from previous years)  Approximately 80% of our General Fund budget is expended on salaries and benefits

Strategic Plan Quantitative Data Trends in K-12  Based on enrollment by grade in Orange County and enrollments in NOCCCD feeder high schools, the number of High School graduates will continue to grow for the next 4 years and then will steadily decrease thereafter  For the period , public K-12 enrollments will decrease more than 10% in Los Angeles and Orange counties; will increase up to 10% in San Bernardino and San Diego counties; and will increase more than 10% in Riverside county  For the five county area, public K-12 projected number of high school graduates will go from 189,220 students to 203,265 students over the next 10 years

Strategic Plan Quantitative Data  Gross Square Footage has decreased since mainly due to purchase and sale of District properties