Germany and IIASA Highlights ( ) June 2014

CONTENTS 1.Summary 2.National Member Organization 3.Some Leading German Personalities Associated with IIASA 4.Research Partners 5.Research Collaborations: Selected Highlights 6.Capacity Building 7.Further Information

SUMMARY ( ) National Member Organization Association for the Advancement of IIASA Membership start date 1984 But since 1972 as Max Planck Society for the Advancement of Sciences, Federal Republic of Germany ( ); & Academy of Sciences of the German Democratic Republic (1972 to 1990) Research partners 73 organizations in Germany Areas of research collaborations Transitions toward a sustainable energy future Research collaborations to tackle climate change Projecting demographic change in Germany The carbon cycle, farmland, and forests Increasing resilience to natural disasters Basic research: Advancing the methods of systems analysis The future of fisheries Analyzing global and European water challenges Capacity Building 21 doctoral student from Germany have participated in IIASA’s Young Scientists Summer Program Publication output 691 publications

NATIONAL MEMBER ORGANIZATION Association for the Advancement of IIASA Professor Dr Peter Lemke, Head, Climate Sciences Research Division, Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research in Bremerhaven, is the IIASA Council Member for Germany as well as the current Chair of the IIASA Council ( ) Executive Advisory Board to the German NMO: –Professor Dr. Ulrich Cubasch, Free University of Berlin –Dr. Jürgen-Friedrich Hake, Institute for Energy and Climate Research –Professor Dr. Claudia Kemfert, German Institute for Economic Research (DIW Berlin) –Professor Dr. Peter Lemke (Chair), Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research –Professor Dr. Claudia Pahl-Wostl, University of Osnabrück –Professor Dr. Ortwin Renn (Vice Chair), University of Stuttgart –Professor Dr. Helga Weisz (Chair as of 1 January 2015), Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research and Humboldt University of Berlin The NMO Secretary for Germany is Professor Dr. Meinhard Schulz-Baldes, Coordinator, Klimastadt Bremerhaven, and as of January 2015 will be Professor Dr. Hermann Lotze- Campen, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research and Humboldt University of Berlin.

SOME LEADING PERSONALITIES IN GERMANY AND ASSOCIATED WITH IIASA Hans Joachim Schellnhuber Ortwin Renn James W Vaupel Claudia Kemfert Dirk Messner Ottmar Edenhofer

RESEARCH PARTNERS 73 institutions in Germany, including: Friedrich Schiller University Jena German Aerospace Agency Johann Heinrich von Thünen Institute Karlsruhe Institute of Technology Leibniz Institute for Freshwater Ecology and Inland Fisheries Max Planck Institutes (various) Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research University of Bonn University of Freiburg University of Hamburg

RESEARCH COLLABORATIONS Selected Highlights: Germany, the Global Energy Assessment, and Transitions Toward a Sustainable Energy Future German Advisory Council on Global Change Identifying Climate Impact Hotspots Climate Change and Farmland Increasing Resilience to Extreme Weather Advancing Research Methods Projecting Changing Population in Germany

GLOBAL ENERGY ASSESSMENT AND GERMANY 8 Source: GEA, 2012: Global Energy Assessment - Toward a Sustainable Future, Cambridge University Press and IIASA Over 50 German authors and reviewers Launched in 2012 at the Federal Ministry for the Environment in Berlin Outcomes include defining the aspirational yet feasible objectives for the UN Secretary- General’s Sustainable Energy For All Initiative: 1.Ensure universal access to modern energy services by Double the global rate of improvements in energy efficiency by Double the share of renewable energy in the global energy mix by 2030

TRANSITIONS TOWARD A SUSTAINABLE ENERGY FUTURE 9 Source: GEA, 2012: Global Energy Assessment - Toward a Sustainable Future, Cambridge University Press and IIASA

GERMAN ADVISORY COUNCIL ON GLOBAL CHANGE (WBGU) WBGU advises German government IIASA Deputy Director member since 2008 with contributions to reports including: global energy system transformation sustainability global climate negotiations

EUROPEAN CLIMATE & ENERGY GOALS FOR 2030 Source: European Commission (2013) EU Energy, Transport and GHG Emissions Trends To 2050 Reference Scenario Authorship includes IIASA’s GAINS and GLOBIOM modeling teams Non-CO 2 GHGs by major sectors in EU to 2050 Non-CO 2 GHGs of the agriculture sector in EU 28 by source 2005 to 2050

IDENTIFYING CLIMATE IMPACT HOTSPOTS Source: Piontek, F., Müller, C., Pugh, T.A.M, et al. (2013): Multisectoral climate impacts in a warming world. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

CLIMATE CHANGE AND FARMLAND The impact of 2°C warming on winter wheat yields (left), and average soil moisture (right) under conventional crop cultivation; both compared to the 2000s. Source: EU-funded IMPACT2C project ( ) which includes the following German partners: Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht - Centre for Materials and Coastal Research (HZG), Global Climate Forum, and Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK).

INCREASING RESILIENCE TO EXTREME WEATHER Source: Linnerooth-Bayer,J. Bals,C. Mechler,R. (2009) Climate Change and Extreme Events: What Role for Insurance? IIASA Policy Brief #4

ADVANCING RESEARCH METHODS As part of the Geo-Wiki project, IIASA and partners including the University of Freiburg have been leading a team of citizen scientists to improve maps of different land uses by examining satellite data to identify exactly how people use the land. Source: See, et al., Comparing the quality of crowdsourced data contributed by experts and non-experts. PLOS ONE.

PROJECTING CHANGING POPULATION IN GERMANY

PROJECTING CHANGING POPULATION IN GERMANY SUSTAINABILITY

PROJECTING CHANGING POPULATION IN GERMANY

PROJECTING CHANGING POPULATION IN GERMANY FRAGMENTATION

CAPACITY BUILDING 17 doctoral students from Germany won places on IIASA’s Young Scientists Summer Program between 2008 and Plus 3 students from developing countries were sponsored by the German NMO

Southern-African Young Scientist Summer Program: (SA-YSSP) Noor Jamal (SA-YSSP & University of Flensburg) Emnet Tadesse Woldegiorgis (SA- YSSP & University of Bayreuth) Verena Helen van Zyl-Bulitta (SA- YSSP & University of Leipzig/University of Stellenbosch) CAPACITY BUILDING

FURTHER INFORMATION IIASA and Germany Association for the Advancement of IIASA