Risk of HPC Investment vs Return on HPC Investment April 1, 2015 Kim F. Wong Center for Simulation and Modeling University of Pittsburgh.

Slides:

Advertisements

Similar presentations

[Title] [Date of Exercise]. Exercise Type Tabletop exercise (TTX) –Discussion based Exercise play is not a simulation Players will discuss their agencies.

Advertisements

P u t y o u r h e a d o n m y s h o u l d e r.

GPU Supercomputer Simulation of Complete H1N1 virus Brandon Abbott.

Neil Ferguson Dept. of Infectious Disease Epidemiology Faculty of Medicine Imperial College Antiviral use in a pandemic: predicting impact and the risk.

Pandemic Influenza Are you prepared? Susan Hudson, MPH student Walden University PH Environmental Health Instructor: Dr. Raymond W. Thron Fall Quarter,

CANADIAN DIVISION Pandemic Planning Update H1N1 Flu Virus (Human Swine Influenza) May 2009 Group Benefits.

Between the extremes of panic and complacency lies the solid ground of vigilance. Margaret Chen Director General of WHO.

George A. Ralls M.D. Dave Freeman Health Services Department September 1st, 2009 INFLUENZA UPDATE.

H1N1 Local Level Response Gibbie Harris Health Director Buncombe County.

Pandemic Influenza Preparedness Kentucky Department for Public Health Department for Public Health.

Pandemic Flu ‘The Bigger Picture’ Response! Shayne Ward Emergency Planning Officer NHS Lincolnshire.

Swine Flu update Jacob Kool Communicable Disease Surveillance and Response WHO South Pacific 29 April 2009 WHO/WPRO.

Why Return on Investment (ROI) Matters Raimo Vuorinen presenting for: James P. Sampson, Jr. Florida State University.

DISASTER PREPAREDNESS: PANDEMIC INFLUENZA OUTBREAK Vanessa Tatoy COH 440.

Developing a vaccine and how a pandemic could occur.

Pandemic Influenza Planning

1 ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF A PANDEMIC Dr. Mike Walden Reynolds Distinguished Professor & Extension Economist North Carolina State University.

Part VI—Influenza and EMTALA & Part VII– Planning Considerations A “Just-in-Time” Primer on H1N1 Influenza A and Pandemic Influenza provided by the National.

ATP NVAC PIWG Report Pandemic Influenza Antiviral Strategies and Priority Groups Andrew T. Pavia M.D. University of Utah.

1 ‘School Closing’ as a Potential Means to Counter Pandemic Influenza Table Top Exercise (TTX)

Immunization in the Time of H1N1 Anne Schuchat, MD Rear Admiral, US Public Health Service Director, National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases.

What is Pandemic Influenza?. Pandemic Influenza A global outbreak of disease that occurs when a new influenza virus appears or “emerges” in the human.

Pandemic Influenza; A Harbinger of Things to Come Michael T Osterholm PhD, MPH Director, Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy Associate Director,

Stanislaus County It’s Not Flu as Usual It’s Not Flu as Usual Pandemic Influenza Preparedness Renee Cartier Emergency Preparedness Manager Health Services.

Lessons from the European Experience with A(H1N1) 2009 Angus Nicoll CBE European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control 3 rd meeting of the National.

April 25, 2009 Mexico Shuts Some Schools Amid Deadly Flu Outbreak Mexico’s flu season is usually over by now, but health officials have noticed a significant.

Review and Discussion Time line courtesy of:

Dr. Zhen XU Branch of Respiratory Disease Prevention and Control Division for Disease Control and Emergency Response Chinese Center for Disease Control.

THE COMMONWEALTH FUND “Science” of Pandemic Influenza Stephen C. Schoenbaum, MD, MPH Executive Vice President for Programs June 15,

Food and Drug Administration

PRE-PANDEMIC VACCINATION MAY HALT THE SPREAD OF A PANDEMIC MATHEMATIC MODELING.

Pandemic Flu Planning Influenza: Seasonal and Pandemic Steven Moore Emergency Planning Officer East of England Ambulance Service This presentation is taken.

How can we effectively communicate with the general public on pandemic influenza? Mark Davis (Monash University) Niamh Stephenson (University of NSW) Paul.

A Potential Influenza Pandemic: Possible Macroeconomic Effects and Policy Issues Julie Somers Congressional Budget Office Prepared for the Ninth Annual.

Response to Influenza (H1N1) 2009 in Thailand Dr. Unchalee Siripitayakunkit NVCO, DDC, MoPH 3 rd NIC meeting Yuyang Hotel, Beijing August 19, 2009.

May 5, 2009 H1N1 Influenza Preparedness Workforce Protection.

Swine Influenza (2009) Influenza A (H1N1) Lecture presented by Dr Ghassan Awar 02 May 2009.

Swine Flu Presenter: Ali Azarashk. Overview Introduction Classification History Transmission Signs and Symptoms Treatment.

Influenza Vaccination Update for Jeanne M. Santoli, MD, MPH Deputy Director, Immunization Services Division National Center for Immunization and.

The Vermont Department of Health Overview of Pandemic Influenza Regional Pandemic Planning Summits 2006 Guidance Support Prevention Protection.

H1N1 Flu Update Jason Eberhart-Phillips, MD, MPH Director of Health and Kansas State Health Officer CHAC Immunization Advisory Committee February 19, 2010.

Decadal Scale Climate Information, Climate Risk Management & Adaptation.

Agree Disagree 1._______ ________ 2._______ ________ 3._______ ________ 5._______ ________ 4._______ ________ An epidemic is worse than a pandemic. The.

Background: A 2007 survey of Midwestern LTCF suggested that less than 25% had a written pandemic influenza response plan. Upon request from a rural nursing.

ANTIVIRAL AGENTS FOR THE PREVENTION AND TREATMENT ON INFLUENZA.

The New Influenza A/H1N1 Isabelle Thomas May 28-29, 2009 Brussels,

The Vermont Department of Health Update on Pandemic Threat Cort Lohff, MD, MPH State Epidemiologist Guidance Support Prevention Protection.

What Is H1N1 (Swine Flu) Pandemic Influenza? Colorized image of H1N1 from a transmission electron micrograph. Source: CDC.

Epidemiology of Swine Influenza H1N1 Amman 5/5/2009 Dr. Labib Sharif Associate Prof. Of Epidemiology Faculty of Veterinary Medicine Jordan University of.

Preparing for Pandemic Influenza Public Health - Seattle & King County.

Center for Health & Risk Communication The University of Georgia Determinants of Support for Government Actions in a Flu Pandemic Hye-Jin Paek Karen Hilyard.

1 Considerations in the Pre- and Early Pandemic Use of Influenza Vaccine Jesse L. Goodman, MD, MPH Center for Biologics Evaluation and Research, VRBPAC,

By Leo Ortel and A.J. Nash. Q. Is there a medicine for swine flu? A. Not yet, they are trying to make a Swine Flu vaccine to help prevent it.

CVD Testing the H1N1 Pandemic Flu Vaccines Mini-Med School Karen Kotloff, MD University of Maryland School of Medicine Center for Vaccine Development September.

Pandemic Flu Tabletop Exercise (TTX) [insert date of exercise] Public Health – Seattle & King County [insert your agency logo]

Preparing for Pandemic Flu Algean Garner II, Psy.D. Director, Health and Human Services Village of Hoffman Estates.

Building a Business as Great as Our Product 1 PANDEMIC INFLUENZA IN THE WORKPLACE WILLIAM CANDLER, D.O., M.T.M.& H. Medical Director John Deere Harvester.

Higher Affinity Heptapeptides Against Influenza Hemagglutinin-Sialic Acid Identification for Treating Flu Virus Disease Ahmed ”e” Al Qaffas.

H1N1 Local Level Response

Battling the Flu: Latest Advances in the Influenza Treatment Arsenal

Matthew S. Miller, Peter Palese Cell

U.S. Influenza Sentinel Provider Surveillance Network

Sliding scale that measures how well you are.

Rich Feifer, MD, MPH, FACP April 27, 2009

Schematic representation of the progress in the development of vaccines against the most recent pandemic and seasonal H1N1 influenza virus strains. Schematic.

Figure 3: Possible effects of seasonality on a novel influenza strain.

Broader Horizons for Immunization:

Presentation transcript:

Risk of HPC Investment vs Return on HPC Investment April 1, 2015 Kim F. Wong Center for Simulation and Modeling University of Pittsburgh

What keeps me up at night? Bugs in Amber Bugs in Superbugs

Science scales  (R,r,t)  elec (r;R)V(R,{  i }) ({i})({i}) Quantum Classical Continuum Agent-based A(*, kitchen sink)

Relation to humanity scales  (R,r,t)  elec (r;R)V(R,{  i }) ({i})({i}) Quantum Classical Continuum Agent-based A(*, kitchen sink) mom can appreciate thismom does not know the importance

Risk OI vs Return OI Unable to deliver the promise Flu vaccine prediction. Vaccine is ~23% effective for season. Pandemic modeling. Most modeling examined the impact of the emergence of a virulent influenza strain  results suggest stockpiling of antivirals H1N1 pandemic proved mild. Policy makers and modelers got criticized for wasting antivirals ($) and causing panic. Climate models. Computation drug design. Questions: How can we better communicate to the general public on the limitations of modeling and simulation and yet still get investment in our pursuits? Are we trying too hard (promising too much) to create ROI? What is the balanced metric for measuring ROI and relating what we do back to humanity?