South Africa and IIASA Highlights ( ) January 2015

CONTENTS 1.Summary 2.National Member Organization 3.Leading South African Personalities Associated with IIASA 4.Research Partners 5.Capacity Building 6.Research Collaborations: Selected Highlights 7.Prospects for future IIASA-South African activities 8.Further Information

SUMMARY ( ) National Member Organization National Research Foundation Membership start date 2007 Research partners 27 organizations in South Africa Areas of research collaborations Toward a sustainable energy system for all in South Africa Projecting demographic change in South Africa Improving food security in South Africa Advancing the methods of systems analysis Capacity building 44 doctoral students from South Africa have taken part in the Young Scientists Summer Program and its Southern African version Publication output 34 publications have resulted from IIASA-South African collaborations Other interactions Researchers, advisors, and diplomats from South Africa have visited IIASA 42 times, while IIASA scientists have visited South Africa over 80 times

NATIONAL MEMBER ORGANIZATION National Research Foundation Dr Dorsamy (Gansen) Pillay, Deputy CEO (RISA: Research and Innovation Support and Advancement) at NRF, is the IIASA Council Member for South Africa. Dr Aldo Stroebel, Executive Director, International Relations & Cooperation at NRF is the NMO Secretary for South Africa. IIASA-South African NMO Committee strengthens links between IIASA and South Africa, and is made up of representatives from the South African government, funding agencies, research institutions, and universities.

SOME LEADING PERSONALITIES IN SOUTH AFRICA AND ASSOCIATED WITH IIASA Albert van Jaarsveld Mary Scholes Derek Hanekom Zanele Magwaza-Msibi Coleen Vogel Phil Mjwara Naledi Pandor Bob Scholes

RESEARCH PARTNERS 26 institutions in South Africa, including: Central University of Technology (CUT) Council for Scientific and Industrial Research (CSIR) Department of Science and Technology (DST) Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University (NMMU) North-West University (NWU) Stellenbosch University (SU) University of Cape Town (UCT) University of Johannesburg (UJ) University of KwaZulu-Natal (UKZN) University of the Free State (UFS)

CAPACITY BUILDING 9 doctoral students from South Africa have won places on IIASA’s Young Scientists Summer Program since 2008.

REGIONAL YSSP: SOUTHERN AFRICA 8 YSSP 2012/13 19 doctoral students from 16 countries YSSP 2013/14 36 doctoral students from 21 countries YSSP 2014/15 28 doctoral students from 17 countries

RESEARCH COLLABORATIONS Projecting changing population in South Africa Global Energy Assessment and South Africa Rural energy sustainability index Better livestock diets to combat climate change and improve food security Developing more accurate maps of cropland in Africa Developing systems analysis in South Africa

PROJECTING CHANGING POPULATION IN SOUTH AFRICA To update with Finland TO UPDATE

PROJECTING CHANGING POPULATION IN SOUTH AFRICA SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT TO UPDATE

PROJECTING CHANGING POPULATION IN SOUTH AFRICA SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT TO UPDATE

PROJECTING CHANGING POPULATION IN SOUTH AFRICA To update with Finland TO UPDATE

PROJECTING CHANGING POPULATION IN SOUTH AFRICA STALLED DEVELOPMENT TO UPDATE

PROJECTING CHANGING POPULATION IN SOUTH AFRICA STALLED DEVELOPMENT TO UPDATE

GLOBAL ENERGY ASSESSMENT AND SOUTH AFRICA 16 Source: GEA, 2012: Global Energy Assessment - Toward a Sustainable Future, Cambridge University Press and IIASA : GEA defines a new global energy policy agenda—one that transforms the way society thinks about, uses, and delivers energy. South African contribution: –Five South African scientists contributed with research and analysis on energy access and energy transformations. One notable outcome: GEA guides targets of UN Secretary-General’s Sustainable Energy For All Initiative

CHANGES IN RESIDENTIAL ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION AND ACCESS Source: Global Energy Assessment (2012) Chapter 19

RURAL ENERGY SUSTAINABILITY INDEX Source: Brijesh Mainali, Shonali Pachauri, Narasimha D. Rao, Semida Silveira Assessing rural energy sustainability in developing countries. Energy for Sustainable Development, 19:15-28

BETTER LIVESTOCK DIETS TO COMBAT CLIMATE CHANGE AND IMPROVE FOOD SECURITY Source: Havlík P et al. PNAS 2014;111:

DEVELOPING MORE ACCURATE MAPS OF CROPLAND IN AFRICA

PROVIDING IMPROVED DATA TO FARMERS The Growers Nation App is available on iTunes and Google Play 21 A new app designed at IIASA makes agricultural data available for gardeners and smallholder farmers in Kenya and Tanzania to help boost crop yields and production. It also allows the farmers to share tips and information about pests and disease. In turn all this data helps further inform IIASA research.

PROSPECTS FOR FUTURE IIASA- SOUTH AFRICAN ACTIVITIES New Research Partnerships –South African versions of IIASA models –South African roles in Futures initiatives –To win grants from international research funders New Capacity Building Activities –For postdoctoral scholars –For policy makers Systems Analysis Research Professorship

FUTURE IIASA-SOUTH AFRICAN ACTIVITIES (Example 1) 23 Henrik Sj ӧ din (Sweden) Wei Liu (China) Carl Salk (US) 23 Artem Baklanov (Russia) Daniel Jessie (US) Luzma Nava Jiménez (Mexico) Fulvio di Fulvio (Italy/ Sweden) Matthias Wildemersch (Austria) Lisa Scholten (Germany) Starting in 2015 Develop skills in systems analysis as a postdoc at IIASA and join:

FUTURE IIASA-SOUTH AFRICAN ACTIVITIES (Example 2) Dec 2013: European Commission proposed a new package of measures to reduce air pollution. Poor air quality is the number one environmental cause of premature death in the European Union. By 2030, the package will: 24 Avoid an extra 58,000 premature deaths Protect an extra 123,000 km 2 of ecosystems from nitrogen pollution (more than half the area of Romania) Save km 2 forests from acidification by the year IIASA’s GAINS model guided European policymakers at every step of this process. IIASA, University of Johannesburg, CSIR, and North-West University discussing how to develop the GAINS model for the South African region over the next few years.

FURTHER INFORMATION IIASA National Research Foundation