CapX 2020 Transmission Initiative Progress Through An Alliance Approach American Public Power Association E & O Technical Conference Atlanta, Georgia April.

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Presentation transcript:

CapX 2020 Transmission Initiative Progress Through An Alliance Approach American Public Power Association E & O Technical Conference Atlanta, Georgia April 17, 2007 Terry Grove, P.E., CapX Utilities

CapX 2020 Transmission Initiative Current CapX Projects Alliance Approach to Project Implementation Minnesota Renewable Energy Portfolio Planning for Future

3 CapX 2020 Capacity Expansion Needed by 2020 Formed Spring 2004 Alliance of 11 electric cooperatives, municipal and investor-owned utilities Why new transmission?: reliability; implement state and federal energy policies; long term economic vitality CapX Mission: Collaborative approach to assure timely and efficient projects; influence state and federal policy; and coordinate common efforts Participating utilities - Central MN Municipal Power Agency - Dairyland Power Cooperative - Great River Energy - Minnesota Power - Minnkota Power Cooperative - Missouri River Energy Services - Otter Tail Power Company - Rochester Public Utilities - Southern Minnesota Municipal Power Agency - Wisconsin Public Power Incorporated - Xcel Energy

Historical growth from : 2.64%/year Projected future growth to year 2020: 2.5%/year Customer Use Is Growing

CapX 2020 Utilities Serve Minnesota and the Region 6,300 MW of load growth in the region through 2020

Rigorous Process Yielded Flexible Plan Process Modeled three potential future generation development scenarios Assessed transmission required under each scenario Many facilities were common to all three scenarios A Generation Development Scenario

Initial Vision Study - Need for 345-kV Backbone System by 2020

CapX Project Groups Project GroupDesired In-Service Group I – Est. $1.3 billion, 600+ miles of new lines SE Twin Cities-Rochester-LaCrosse, WI 345kV Bemidji-Grand Rapids 230 kV Fargo, ND-St. Cloud/Monticello 345kV Brookings, SD-SE Twin Cities 345 kV Group II – Additional 345 kV facilities in Twin Cities area, and possibly to west Group III – Remote Generation Outlet Timing and characteristics of Group II and Group III will be defined by generation development and further studies 2014 to 2020 Total cost of all Groups est. to exceed $3.5 billion

Group I Projects Underway Four lines work together to ensure regional reliability Enables 1,000+ MW renewable energy Lines are essential building blocks for any future generation or energy policy scenario 3-5 year review & permitting period; and multi-year construction period if approved (shaded areas generally indicate broad route corridors)

Project Participants and Development Managers Fargo ND / St. Cloud Monticello Xcel Energy Great River Missouri River MN Power Otter Tail Power Bemidji / Grand Rapids Otter Tail Power Great River Minnkota MN Power Xcel Energy SE Twin Cities / Rochester / LaCrosse WI Xcel Energy Dairyland Rochester Public Utilities SMMPA WI Public Power Brookings SD / SE Twin Cities Great River Missouri River MMTG Otter Tail Power Xcel Energy

Regional Cost Recovery Cost allocation methodology for Group 1 reliability projects is set –MISO members – tariff-based allocation –Non-members – negotiated benefit area Group 1 projects submitted to MISO for classification, decision expected summer ’07 MISO regional pricing methodology continues to progress – RECB II filing for economically beneficial projects –“Post-transition pricing” for existing and possibly new facilities Uncertainty in classification affects who pays, not whether costs will be recovered 

Public Meetings WI, ND, SD: Need, Route Permits Federal Environmental Review MN Route Permits Routes Analyses 2006 Regulatory Plan: Projected Timeline Exemption Filing Exemption Filing MN Certificate of Need – 345kV Projects Bemidji 230kV Project Need and Route

Assuring Efficiency and Consistency Across Multiple Projects Regulatory: state Certificate of Need-type and federal permits Planning: project details, regional & Group 2 and 3 plans Communications: key messages, outreach process, media Standards: design standards, new technology, sourcing Governmental Affairs: legislative and local government Agreements: interim and long-term contractual agreements Inter-utility teams develop strategies, analysis, techniques & templates that become “standards”

CapX 2020 Networked Organization Support & Project Team Coordination Regulatory Communications Standards Government Affairs Agreements Planning CapX2020 Staff CapX2020 Vision Team LaCrosse Fargo Brookings Bemidji Project -Project Management -Routing -Project Communications -Right-of-Way -Engineering -Construction Management -Accounting M.C. - LaCrosse M.C. - Fargo M.C. - Brookings Management Committee Bemidji

Analysis Starting for “Build” Phase Issues Plan for sequencing construction of individual segments Choose model for project management, engineering, procurement, construction Define sourcing strategies Develop human resources, especially skilled trades

CapX Organization Neighboring Transmission Providers Fargo Bemidji LaCrosseBrookings Broad Array of Interested Parties State Legislatures, Regulators Regional Transmission Entities Generation Development Advocates

Policy Issues Generation choices, policies Renewable Energy Objective Transmission as “non-denominational” Cost allocation, recovery –State regulators implementation of “real-time” cost recovery –FERC policy changes? Incentives, ? –MISO RECB I & II and successor uncertainties National level – energy security, reliability, siting Long time horizon of plan and solution

Minnesota Renewable Portfolio Standard – Role of Transmission Wind Integration Study completed late 2006 – incremental integration costs of 25% wind by 2020 –Costs to schedule & operate conventional resources to accommodate variability and uncertainty of wind –Key assumptions: Large balancing area, adequate transmission –Costs range from $ $4.41 per MWh CapX Transmission Consortium providing transmission information, considerations Uncertainty in getting needed transmission in place by 2020 –CapX continue to lead planning effort, with MISO and stakeholder involvement –CapX lead future transmission implementation Legislation allows Public Utilties Commission oversight role, may reduce a utility’s RPS for specific reasons

Implications of 25 % Renewable Portfolio Standard by 2020 Renewable Portfolio Standard of 25% (30% for Xcel Energy) by 2020 equals about 6,000 MW wind capacity for MN Current efforts will result in about 2000 MW wind installed by 2010 CapX Group 1 transmission projects will enable additional 1,000+ MW of new wind Approximately 4,000 MW additional wind resources by 2020 to meet only the MN 25% RPS! 

Planning For the Future Update Vision study, reflecting MN Renewable Portfolio Standard Analyze Minnesota-wide penetration of Community Based Energy Development (CBED) projects Reconcile plans with MISO and other transmission providers Define Group 2 & 3 individual projects

Ensuring a Successful CapX Collaboration “When organizations do establish a strong, collaborative working relationship with a partner, they realize an average of 73% more value from the alliance.” “More than half of alliance managers report their companies under-invest in working relationships with partners” Harvard Study “Managing Alliances for Business Results” Lessons Learned from 350 companies

Thank you!