Study of Parolees Released in 2005 OPM/CJPPD - Research Unit Presented April 8, 2010 CJPAC.

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Presentation transcript:

Study of Parolees Released in 2005 OPM/CJPPD - Research Unit Presented April 8, 2010 CJPAC

2 Using the 2010 Prisoner Recidivism Study as a departure point, CJPPD has begun an analysis of Recidivism among specific offender groups. 2,522 offenders were released to parole during Using the same datasets we used for the offender study, now we can track parolees, exclusively. The 2005 Parolee Study

Why parolees? We do not have a good, macro-level understanding of how parolees perform while they are on supervised parole. The 2010 Recidivism Report tracked offenders from the date of their first 2005 release. As a result we only captured 1,899 offenders who were released to parole and another 746 who EOS’d from parole. This study will allow us to track 2,500 parolees from the date of their 2005 release.

The parolees in the study We know Where they came from (facility or halfway house) Where they went (parole office, officer) Their movements over the next three years Their criminal histories following release The study should allow us to gain some new insights into the process. One limitation – These releases occurred pre-Cheshire. Further study will be required to determine if subsequent structural changes have had a positive impact.

System analysis (1) The graphic represents the 6 major pathways taken by offenders who were released to parole during 2005.

System analysis (2) 1,370 parolees (54%) EOS from parole with no apparent problem.

System analysis (2) Approximately 465 (18%) appear to return with new charges or a new prison sentence.

System analysis (3) Excluding parolees who EOS or return with new sentences or charges, were are left with 488 who returned to prison for Technical Violations and 152 absconders.

System analysis, absconders

System analysis, Tech violators (1)

System analysis, Tech violators (2)

12 Recidivism rates by pathway Sex offenders’ pathways MH offenders’ pathways Outcomes by parole office/officer The halfway house effect Risk profile: pathways and outcomes Some questions we intend to address

13 John Forbes, Assistant Division Director Ivan Kuzyk, Director CT Statistical Analysis Center