1 ERF Infrastructure Safety Forum Workshop: Tuesday 11 October 2005 Preventive Hazard Identification Michael Höppner, FGS Berlin Risk assessment in urban.

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Presentation transcript:

1 ERF Infrastructure Safety Forum Workshop: Tuesday 11 October 2005 Preventive Hazard Identification Michael Höppner, FGS Berlin Risk assessment in urban areas

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 2 Risk assessment in urban areas What are the safety problems in urban areas? Can we identify special areas? Do we know the backgrounds? Can we get active preventatively?

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 3 One remark before.... Driving and walking is very simple, everybody can do it, even without a special education

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 4 Three rules for safe travelling : 1. Use the predefined road way

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 5 Three rules for safe travelling : 2. Avoid touching obstacles or stop before (including moving obstacles!) Area of safe travel and stopping line (Gibson&Crooks 1938)

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 6 Three rules for safe travelling : 3. Have confidence, but not to much

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 7

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 8

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 9

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 10

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 11

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 12

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 13

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 14

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 15

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 16

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 17

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 18

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 19 Accident location in road net with BASta Using an accident data management system

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 20 Accidents in Brandenburg 2004

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 21 Accidents 2004 in urban situations

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 22 Ranking „suspicious“ urban road sections

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 23 Rank #1 in 2004

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 24 Accidents of the years

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 25 6 examples: urban sections with problems

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 26 Example #1: Divide road in subsections

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 27 Example #1: Accidents with cyclists drinks cash-and-carry restaurant

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 28 Example #1: accidents with cyclists and cars

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 29 Example #1: where is the problem?

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 30 Example #1: a proposal for redevelopment

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 31 Example #2: single accidents, no clusters

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 32 Example #2: looks normal

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 33 Example #2: again problems of sight

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 34 Example #2: a proposal of road redevelopment

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 35 Example #3: a real black spot

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 36 Example #3: accidents with cyclists

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 37 Example #3: road construction plan

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 38 Example #3: looks normal

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 39 Example #3: but no view again hedge

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 40 Example #3: no view... hedge cars

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 41 Example #3: redevelopment

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 42 Example #3: cheaper redevelopment

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 43 Example #4: cycling in wrong direction

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 44 Example #4: every thing is ok....

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 45 Example #4: but outside the town....

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 46 Example #4:

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 47 Example #4:

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 48 Example #4:

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 49 Example #4:

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 50 Example #4: wrong direction and no view

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 51 What did we see? Statistical results don‘t lead directly to solutions -Only reviewing the locations will help

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 52 What did we see? Problems of sight are risky.... -should be checked preventively, -best in an plan audit, -looking at more than the pure road side

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 53 What did we see: Problems of sight may develop with time: -road inspections are needed as a standard maintenance -Building permission act and plan safety audit should join more

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 54 What did we see? Road users develop there own „safety strategies“ -Road planners have to do their job... and remember that the road offers behavior setting to the user -If you can not avoid wrong behavior allow it and support it

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 55 What did we see? Road functions might change with new neighbors -Road inspections have to realize the new situations and react -Redevelopment of roads is a permanent process, as part of normal maintenance

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 56 Risk assessment in urban areas What are the safety problems in urban areas? -Car drivers at intersections -Cyclists at intersections -Pedestrians crossing the road -Driving to fast without sight -Behavior setting road design disregarding users sight and possibilities -traffic planning missing actual changes

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 57 Risk assessment in urban areas Can we identify special areas? -Not really -Always need local approach -Traffic load determines number of conflicts

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 58 Risk assessment in urban areas Do we know the backgrounds? -We can only look at obviously wrong or misleading road design -If we find some of these places we have done a lot -Good idea to consider personal “safety strategies”

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 59 Risk assessment in urban areas Can we get active preventatively? -Yes, we can with standarised regular road inspections -Yes, we can with review of suspicous road sections

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 60 Improvement in near future With support of EC an Expert Assistence System will be developed Name of Project:RANKERS name of the tool: EXPERTAS.eBook

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 61 EXPERTAS.eBook Starting research by accident data Place to study

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 62 EXPERTAS.eBook: tool determines problem issues Accident data User input ruralurban intersectionsection traffic lightNo Traffic light pedestrian cyclists cars lorrys

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 63 Urban road – intersection without traffic light Accident types EXPERTAS.eBook: tool determines problem issues

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 64 EXPERTAS.eBook: tool makes proposals Source: GDV, Berlin

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 65 EXPERTAS.eBook: tool makes proposals Source: GDV, Berlin

© FGS Research- and Planning Group for town and traffic Date: www.FGSBerlin.de Michael Höppner 66 Final paradoxon All that we are doing with road safety is based on repetition of accidents All that what we want is to stop repetition of accidents Preventive road inspections may help...