Cocaine Trafficking Network within the United States LT Young LT Foster LT Carline

 Primary means are private and commercial vehicles.  Favor particular routes to supply U.S drug markets.

 Cocaine is widely available throughout the country.  Demand for illicit drugs in United States is rising.

 Major city distribution hubs have a maximum limitation on the quantity of metric tons of cocaine which can remain in the city for distribution.  City’s demand for drugs is a function of its metro population and the total population of destination cities.

> 1 Million.5-1 Million >.5 Million

 The cartel has well-developed transportation and distribution networks within the U.S.  Extensive network of cities to facilitate the the cartel’s trafficking operations within the U.S.  Destination cities represent the network nodes.

 Interdictions by the Drug Enforcement Agency  Attacks for the cartel to use alternate routes for distribution of the supply to the final destination major city.

 Maximize distribution  Maximize profit  Minimize interdiction

PrimalDual

 278 metric tons  Overall expected seizure percentage is approximately 10%

 Border seizures  Drug distribution to cities  Constant seizure rate

Update 7 June Start San Diego San Diego LA End Tucson TUDAL Dallas SDLA

interdiction plan with 0 Attacks: flow with interdictions in place = 251.2

interdiction plan with 1 Attacks: attack arc: San Diego -> LA flow with interdictions in place = 245.6

interdiction plan with 2 Attacks: attack arc: San Diego -> LA attack arc: San Diego -> DEN flow with interdictions in place = 215.7

interdiction plan with 3 Attacks: attack arc: Laredo -> HOU attack arc: San Diego -> LA attack arc: San Diego -> DEN flow with interdictions in place = 213.2

interdiction plan with 4 Attacks: attack arc: Chicago -> NY attack arc: Jacksonville -> NY attack arc: SanDiego -> LA attack arc: Tucson -> PHX flow with interdictions in place = 206.7

interdiction plan with 5 Attacks: attack arc: Chicago -> NY attack arc: ElPaso -> HOU attack arc: Jacksonville -> NY attack arc: Laredo -> HOU attack arc: SanDiego -> LA flow with interdictions in place = 197.9

interdiction plan with 6 Attacks: attack arc: Chicago -> NY attack arc: ElPaso -> HOU attack arc: Jacksonville -> NY attack arc: Laredo -> HOU attack arc: SanDiego -> LA attack arc: Tucson -> PHX flow with interdictions in place = 176.8

 All cases: Maximize Chicago, Dallas, Detroit  If no pending attacks, maximize Los Angeles  1-3 attacks, maximize Houston, New York  4-6 attacks maximize Washington DC

 Fails to display all possible transit paths for the cartel, i.e. back roads.  Does not account for the time for the routes to transit drugs  Does not account for alternative methods such as noncommercial vessels, ultralight aircraft, freight trains, and tunnels

 Smuggling routes within Mexico  Production of the drugs within the United States  Drug distribution operations gangs migrating to areas in Great Lakes, Pacific, and west central regions to expand drug distribution

 National Drug Threat Assessment 2011 ◦ National Drug Intelligence Center ◦ 

QUESTIONS?