INTERNARTIONAL SYMPOSIUM ON AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT IN THE EAC PARTNER STATES 4-7 Nov 2013 Closing Remarks by Joseph K Mukiibi Chair Kilimo Trust 1

THE FARMER OF THE PAST EVIDENCE FROM PRESENTATIONS AND DISCUSSIONS SHOWED THAT: 1.FARMING WAS A WAY OF LIFE. FARMING WAS BY FATE AND NOT BY CHOICE 2.THE FARMER:  Had little or no formal education  Was mall scale  Was almost wholly un-mechanised  Had multitude of enterprises  Used Little or no inputs  Had limited access to technology  Produced largely for own consumption  Was not competitive in local, regional and global markets  WORKKED VERY HARD BUT REMAINS POOR! 2

THE FARMER OF THE PAST Roza Nakate 3

FARMER OF THE FUTURE: 2063 FARMING WILL BE BY CHOICE AND A BUSINESS Good education Economies of scale Production enterprise specialisation High level of mechanisation High levels of access to all inputs including credit Will produce almost entirely for the market Will has access to local and regional markets WILL WORK HARD. WILL BECOME WEALTHY. 4

PROFILE OF THE FARMER OF THE FUTURE Mr Bruno Matovu 5

PROSPECTS? One school of thought: NO! It is impossible! Why? THE MINDSET. 1.Their way of life will be disrupted and it may cause a political and social crisis 2.It will cause environmental disaster! Fertilisers, GMO’s! Machines. Forests and wetlands will disappear 3.Oh my God; what will NGO’s do without peasants?! 4.Smallholders are producing organic foods for the rich in Europe (yet they themselves remain poor!) 5.Africans can’t change! 6

PROSPECTS? Other school of thought: YES. It is possible. Why? 1.We want to transform a system from low productivity into a system of higher productivity - not human beings 2.The youth (the future) want change. Chantals! 3.Our Governments say so in all their development documents 4.Transformation is already under way 5.The task of governments is to manage this transformation in a way that minimises social risks 7

TRANSFORMATION IS ALREADY HAPPENNING! Table 1: Monetary and Non-Monetary Agriculture GDP in Uganda Source: MFPED (2013) 8 Sub-sectorMonetaryNon-Monetary Agriculture - Total 60.6%60.5% 39.4%39.5% Food crops47.6% 52.4% Livestock80.2%80.1% 19.8%19.9% Forestry39.7%45.1% 60.3%54.9% Fisheries97.6%97.1% 2.4%2.9%

TRANSFORMATION CAN BE SCALE AND GENDER NEUTRAL Small scale already commercial  Tea sub-sector: Kenya, Rwanda, Uganda  Sugar subsector: Mumias, Kakira, Kinyara  Rice sub-sector: Mwea, Olweny, Doho.  Dairy sub-sector: W. Uganda, C. Kenya, Rwanda  Poultry, vegetables, flowers etc. Common Features:  Specialisation (single enterprise)  An off taker  Central Processing facility 9

THIS SUCCESSFUL MODEL CAN BE INTENSIFIED OR ROLLED OUT CENTRAL FACILITY Farmers Group A Farmers Group B Farmers Group C Farmers Group D Farmers Group E Farmers Group F Farmers Group G 10

ROLL OUT MODEL TO OTHER POTENTIAL VALUE CHAINS  Cereals – Maize, Sorghum, Millets  Root crops – Cassava, Sweet potatoes  Bananas  Other Fruits  Beef  Others IT CAN BE DONE! 11

THE FARMER OF THE FUTURE Will require:  A policy shift to Agriculture-led Economic Development – Kilimo Kwanza  Greater investment in agriculture and rural development to create jobs in rural areas  Infrastructure and Institutions that promote a competitive Ag sector and inclusive economic growth 12

JOURNEY TO

WHEN WE ARRIVE WE WILL CELEBRATE! 14

ASANTENI SANA. SEE YOU IN 2063! 15