International Telecommunication Union Committed to Connecting the World The World in 2009: ICT Facts and Figures Jaroslaw K. PONDER Strategy and Policy Coordinator International Telecommunication Union infoDev/UNCTAD workshop on “Measuring the Broadband Economy” Hammamet, Tunisia 23 November 2009

October 2009 Committed to Connecting the World 2 A decade of ICT growth

October 2009 Committed to Connecting the World 3 Mobile in the developing world  Between 2008 and 2009, mobile cellular penetration in developing countries surpassed the 50% mark to reach an estimated 56% end 2009  There are now more than twice as many mobile subscriptions in the developing world than in the developed world (3.2 billion vs. 1.4 billion)  China 750 million, India 480 million

October 2009 Committed to Connecting the World 4 Mobile: catching up quickly

October 2009 Committed to Connecting the World 5 Internet and fixed broadband  26% of world population (1.7 billion people) are using the Internet (64% in developed, 17.5% in developing countries)  1 billion Internet users in developing countries, one third of which in China  Almost 500 million fixed broadband subscribers globally, China overtook US in 2008 as largest market  Half of the 200 million broadband subscribers in the developing countries are in China  23.3% broadband penetration in developed countries; 3.5 % penetration in developing countries

October 2009 Committed to Connecting the World 6

October 2009 Committed to Connecting the World 7 In the developing countries, the monthly cost of fixed broadband is on average 289 PPP$. This corresponds to about 300% of average monthly GNI per capita. In the developed countries, fixed broadband prices correspond to about 2% of average monthly income. Expensive broadband

October 2009 Committed to Connecting the World 8 The rise of mobile broadband …

October 2009 Committed to Connecting the World 9 … but not everywhere (yet)  38.7% mobile broadband penetration in developed countries; 3% penetration in developing countries  Out of 600 million mobile broadband subscriptions, only 160 million in developing countries  Europe: 220 million subscriptions Africa: 13 million subscriptions  Many developing countries have not yet launched 3G licenses  Growing rapidly – numbers will change quickly

October 2009 Committed to Connecting the World 10 Mobile broadband today Enablers of growth: - Competition - New market players - New business models - Falling prices - Growing speeds - Improved QoS - Bundled packages - Flat rates - Cheaper devices Source: ITU World Telecommunication/ICT Indicators Database Top 20 mobile broadband economies (total numbers), 2008

October 2009 Committed to Connecting the World 11 Competition  A competitive market environment is key to promote investment, spur growth and extend connectivity  Removing market entry barriers & open access policies may speed up market development and provide a win-win scenario for investors, service providers & consumers  Additional reforms could ensure a level-playing field for all market players Competition in selected services, 2008 Source: ITU Telecommunication Regulatory Database

October 2009 Committed to Connecting the World 12 ICTs at home, 2009 People Households

October 2009 Committed to Connecting the World 13 IMT on the rise Growing variety of:  Technologies  Operators  Commercial IMT networks  Business models (MVNOs, operators sharing network elements, etc.)  Service offers  Subscribers  Networks coverage  Cheaper handsets Source: ITU Trends in Telecommunication Reform 2007: The Road to NGN

October 2009 Committed to Connecting the World 14 Is there still room for growth? Note: Prediction based on one network deployment Source: ITU (2007), "CPM Report on technical, operational and regulatory/procedural matters to be considered by the 2007 World Radiocommunication Conference" Predicted Total 1280 MHz Low 1720 MHz High Identified Low Demand Net Additional MHz needed High Demand Net Additional MHz needed Region One (Europe, Africa and Middle East) 693 MHz587 MHz1027 MHz Region Two (Americas)723 MHz557 MHz997 MHz Region Three (Asia)749 MHz531 MHz971 MHz Predicted spectrum requirements by the year 2020 for IMT Major new subscribers during 2007 came from BRIC economies Brazil: 15 million Russia: 20 million India: 45 million China: 80 million

October 2009 Committed to Connecting the World 15 Regulatory incentives to promote BWA in developing Countries  Market liberalization -- competition drives investment  Need to develop/enforce pro-competition regulations  Support entry by all interested parties and technologies  Wireless access technologies likely to play a key role  Encourage small-scale market operation, especially for rural areas  More flexible licensing practices, e.g. unified licenses/general authorizations  Innovative spectrum practices  Infrastructure sharing/Open Access to promote fibre backbones  Tax incentives  Subsidies: grants for community planning efforts, subsidized or low- interest loans

October 2009 Committed to Connecting the World 16 Services delivered over BWA platforms  Voice  High-speed Internet access  Mobile VoIP  Mobile TV, mobile IPTV and multimedia Applications:  M-education  M-health  M-business

October 2009 Committed to Connecting the World 17 More Information