The Severn Estuary and Climate Change 1st Severn Estuary Forum 8th June 2006. Dr Roger Wade Environment Agency Wales.

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Presentation transcript:

The Severn Estuary and Climate Change 1st Severn Estuary Forum 8th June Dr Roger Wade Environment Agency Wales.

My talk…... Direct Impacts of climate change –Flood Risk Management/ Coastal erosion –Habitats –Water resources Indirect impacts –Renewable energy resource –Aggregates (new build) –Leisure.

The changes….

Damage from Flooding at 700ppm CO2 and 550ppm CO2.

Coastal Erosion-High Emissions 2080.

fisheries

Changes in bird numbers

What is in or out? Ten year trends % Dunlin-23 Bewick Swan-75 Whooper Swan22 Shellduck-59 Redshank-1 Gadwall82

Water resources- Lower Summer flows? Salt ingress Dredging costs Oxygen depletion Salmon Migration

Renewable Energy- Barrage ???

Aggregates dredging Domestic energy reduction = new houses= aggregates Welsh demand largely from Bristol Channel Possible erosion to beaches and cliffs Further pressure inland

Warmer- good for holidays?