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Presentation transcript:

THERE ARE NO WARRANTIES, EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED, AS TO ACCURACY, COMPLETENESS, OR RESULTS OBTAINED FROM ANY INFORMATION DISCUSSED DURING HAWKTRADE MEETINGS. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investment returns and principal value will fluctuate, so that investors' shares, when sold, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Investing in any financial instruments does not guarantee that an investor will make money, avoid losing capital, or indicate that the investment is risk-free. There are no absolute guarantees in investing. HAWKTRADE and its members do not bear any responsibility for losses or gains made by members trading on their personal accounts based on analysis from HAWKTRADE meetings.

 Investment Competition  Economic Data  Buy or Sell Stocks?  Glencore/Xstrata Merger  M&A in mining

Top 5 portfolio balances will be awarded

1 st Place Philczech22 $300 towards BestBuy

Bdass020 Google TV

 Possible 4 th & 5 th place prizes

 Europe  U.S.  China/Asia

No Fiscal Union High Debt/Low Growth Most EU Economies Are Not Competitive EU needs a new Constitution Some countries like Greece might have to leave Less Gov’t interference in economy

 Black Rock CEO suggests investing 100% in Stocks  World’s Largest Money Manager: Over $3.5 Trillion in Assets  Very Bullish Call

Be 100% in stocks: BlackRock’s CEO Wed Feb 8th 2012 | 12:00 PM ET

 BlackRock very Bullish  Many traders/investors have taken profits off the table  20% since October lows  Cautious, possible negative surprise (Europe?)  Other traders still 75%-80% in stocks  Sold “high beta stocks,” staying in low beta  Traders believe more liquidity coming into the market from central banks later this year

Glencore-Xstrata Merger: $90 billion deal, largest mining M&A deal ever

 World’s largest commodity trader  50% of business is commodity trading (Metals, Energy & Agriculture)  50% mining: copper, coal, zinc, aluminum etc  One of the world’s largest private companies before IPO  Very secretive company, employee owned  2010 Revenue: $145 billion  Xstrata’s largest shareholder, 35% stake  Ticker: GLEN on LSE or GLCNF on Pink Sheets

 4 th largest mining company in the world  Market Cap: $70 billion  Bought Canadian copper & nickel producer Falconbridge in 2006  Great management, low cost producer  World’s largest exporter of coal  4 th largest copper producer in the world  Copper was 50% of 2010 operating profit, and coal 29%, nickel, zinc, & alloys 21%  Trades on the LSE ticker: XTA  Pink sheets ticker (XSRAF) & (XSRAY)

Merger will create a mining power house that will rival BHP Billition, Vale, Rio Tinto

Glencore-Xstrata Deal creates full integration along the commodity value chain

Glencore Deal Leading to Copper Inflation? Mon Feb 6th 2012 | 12:00 PM ET

Global Commodity Supply in Fewer Hands Now

 Glencore-Xstrata deal means global commodities are now in fewer hands  More pricing power for the producers  Allows producers to have a stronger ability to put a floor in commodity prices such as iron ore, copper, and coal  Very bad for the consumer  Good for Investors!

Will Glencore’s Merger Prompt Other Takeover Bids? Tues Feb 7th 2012 | 4:00 PM ET

 Glencore-Xstrata deal likely to spark more M&A/consolidation in the mining industry  BHP, VALE, RIO might go for FCX, CLF, AA  The big will continue to get bigger, too expensive for small players to expand/develop new mines