State of the Future and the Global Futures Collective Intelligence System Jerome C. Glenn The Millennium Project

UN Organizations NGOs Universities Governments Corporations Millennium Project … May become a TransInstitution

46 Millennium Project Nodes... are groups of experts and institutions that connect global and local views in: Nodes identify participants, translate questionnaires and reports, and conduct interviews, special research, workshops, symposiums, and advanced training.

39 Chapters 1,300 pages Largest collection of Internationally peer-reviewed methods to explore the future ever assembled in one source

How can sustainable development be achieved for all while addressing global climate change? 1 How can everyone have sufficient clean water without conflict? 2 How can population growth and resources be brought into balance? 3 How can genuine democracy emerge from authoritarian regimes? 4 How can policymaking be made more sensitive to global long-term perspectives? 5 How can the global convergence of information and communications technologies work for everyone? 6 How can ethical market economies be encouraged to help reduce the gap between rich and poor? 7 How can the threat of new and reemerging diseases and immune microorganisms be reduced? 8 How can the capacity to decide be improved as the nature of work and institutions change? 9 How can shared values and new security strategies reduce ethnic conflicts, terrorism, and the use of weapons of mass destruction? 10 How can the changing status of women improve the human condition? 11 How can transnational organized crime networks be stopped from becoming more powerful and sophisticated global enterprises? 12 How can growing energy demands be met safely and efficiently? 13 How can scientific and technological breakthroughs be accelerated to improve the human condition? 14 How can ethical considerations become more routinely incorporated into global decisions? 15 How can sustainable development be achieved for all while addressing global climate change? How can everyone have sufficient clean water without conflict? How can population growth and resources be brought into balance? How can genuine democracy emerge from authoritarian regimes? How can policymaking be made more sensitive to global long-term perspectives? How can the global convergence of information and communications technologies work for everyone? How can ethical market economies be encouraged to help reduce the gap between rich and poor? How can the threat of new and reemerging diseases and immune microorganisms be reduced? How can the capacity to decide be improved as the nature of work and institutions change? How can shared values and new security strategies reduce ethnic conflicts, terrorism, and the use of weapons of mass destruction? How can the changing status of women improve the human condition? How can growing energy demands be met safely and efficiently? How can scientific and technological breakthroughs be accelerated to improve the human condition? How can ethical considerations become more routinely incorporated into global decisions? How can transnational organized crime networks be stopped from becoming more powerful and sophisticated global enterprises? 15 Global Challenges

2012 State of the Future Index

Where are we winning? 1.Access to water 2.Literacy rate 3.Life expectancy at birth 4.Poverty $1.25 a day 5.Infant mortality 6.Wars 7.HIV prevalence 8.Internet users 9.GDP/capita 10.Women in parliaments 11.School enrollment, secondary 12.Energy efficiency 13.Population growth 14.Undernourishment prevalence 15.Nuclear proliferation

Where are we losing? 1.Total debt 2.Unemployment 3.Income inequality 4.Ecological footprint/ biocapacity ratio 5.GHG emissions 6.Terrorist attacks 7.Voter turnout

Where there is no significant change or change is not clear 1.Corruption 2.Freedom rights 3.Electricity from renewables 4.Forest lands 5.R&D expenditures 6.Physicians per capita

Overly Optimistic

Overly Pessimistic

Too Optimistic

Too Pessimistic

Collective Intelligence It is an emergent property from synergies among data/info/knowledge software/hardware experts and others with insight that continually learns from feedback to produce (nearly) just in time knowledge for better decisions than these elements acting alone.

Each can change the other

Global Futures CIS Interoperable, Searchable, Editable For each of the 15 Global Challenges Expert Discussion Groups Bookmarklet scanning system Use of RSS News Feeds Aggregator Key web resources Situation Chart to update and improve Short and Long text to update and Improve Related computer models Futures Research Methodology 39 Chapters with groups to update and improve All previous MP research Software (Models, Delphi, Futures Wheel, SOFI, Papers, briefings, Video)

For further information Jerome C. Glenn The Millennium Project 4421 Garrison Street, NW, Washington, D.C USA phone/fax