Integrating Statistics in Development PLANNING 18 June 2014 High Level Seminar and Workshop on ACSS Strategic Plan Hotel Salak, Bogor Indonesia National Economic and Development Authority Philippines

Planning The rational process of identifying and defining the best manner with which to achieve certain goals with the available means.

Goal, Objective and Target Setting Policy and Strategy Formulation Program/ Project Identification Investment Programming Plan Implementation Monitoring and Evaluation Situation Analysis and Problem Identification Plan Formulation Steps in Planning

Goal, Objective and Target Setting Policy and Strategy Formulation Program/ Project Identification Situation Analysis and Problem Identification Plan Formulation Steps in Planning Analysis of current situation Describe the overall condition Problems Opportunities Constraints Potentials Factors influencing the above items

Goal, Objective and Target Setting Policy and Strategy Formulation Program/ Project Identification Situation Analysis and Problem Identification Plan Formulation Steps in Planning Problem situations Unacceptable outcomes Economic Social Political Environmental Demographic Identify the root cause of the problem Prioritize the problems - gravity, extent of negative impacts, number of people affected

Goal, Objective and Target Setting Policy and Strategy Formulation Program/ Project Identification Situation Analysis and Problem Identification Plan Formulation Steps in Planning General goal and specific objectives Based on the identified problems Improve the situation Targets Quantified goals and objectives

Goal, Objective and Target Setting Policy and Strategy Formulation Program/ Project Identification Situation Analysis and Problem Identification Plan Formulation Steps in Planning Policies and Strategies Intervention points as pointed out by the factors causing the problem Appropriateness of policies and strategies depends on comprehensiveness of the situation analysis

Goal, Objective and Target Setting Policy and Strategy Formulation Program/ Project Identification Situation Analysis and Problem Identification Plan Formulation Steps in Planning Programs and Projects Translation of the policies and strategies Scope of programs and projects depends on the same set of determinants of the problem

Investment Programming Plan Implementation Monitoring and Evaluation Steps in Planning Investment Programming and Budgeting Resource generation and resources allocation Where to get funds How much is needed Which activities to fund Support activities that generate maximum benefits and wide coverage of needy beneficiaries

Investment Programming Plan Implementation Monitoring and Evaluation Steps in Planning Plan Implementation Implement the plan in coordination with other institutions Government Private organizations Community organizations No overlap of activities and functions Minimize waste of resources

Investment Programming Plan Implementation Monitoring and Evaluation Steps in Planning Plan Monitoring and Evaluation Goals and objectives are attained as programmed Resources are efficiently utilized Policies and programs are appropriately identified Intended direct impacts of programs and projects are achieved Target beneficiaries are reached Unintended impacts are identified

Goal, Objective and Target Setting Policy and Strategy Formulation Program/ Project Identification Investment Programming Plan Implementation Monitoring and Evaluation Situation Analysis and Problem Identification Plan Formulation Steps in Planning “re-calibrate if an element of the plan is not met

Potential Gains from Improved Development Planning Greater effectiveness of development policies and programs/projects Hmm…policies/programs/projects… Will I choose one or a combination of two or more will do good? What will be the direct/indirect impacts? Any unintended consequences

Greater efficiency in resource allocation What are the direct and indirect costs and benefits? Who should be responsible for what? Potential Gains from Improved Development Planning

Greater equity Who are the target population? How many are they? Where are they? What is the extent of their problem? Are they reached by government intervention? Potential Gains from Improved Development Planning

Key Words For Integrating Statistics in Development Planning INTENDED DIRECT IMPACT BENEFICIARIES ARE REACHED TARGETS ARE ATTAINED PRUDENT FOREIGN BORROWING PROBLEMSAPPROPRIATEWIDER VIEWPOTENTIAL OPPORTUNITIESRATIONAL PROCESSCOORDINATIONMINIMIZE WASTE CONSTRAINTSNEGATIVE IMPACTROOT CAUSERE-CALIBRATION POTENTIALSPOSSIBLE AREAMAXIMUM BENEFITCOVERAGE UNACCEPTABLE OUTCOMES NUMBER OF AFECTED PEOPLE INTERVENTION POINTS OVERLAPPING ACTIVITIES EFFECTIVENESSEFFICIENCYEQUITYDECISION PRIORITIZE THE PROBLEMS QUANTIFIED TARGET SCOPE OF PROGRAMS & PROJECTS AVAILABLE DOMESTIC RESOURCES GRAVITY OF THE PROBLEM COMPREHENSIVE ANALYSIS RESOURCE GENERATION RESOURCE ALLOCATION

FRAMEWORK FOR DEVELOPMENT PLANNING APPROACH A General Perspective Development Intervention A VIEW OF HOW THE REAL WORLD BEHAVES Development Outcomes Development Policy/ Strategy/Program / Project (Y) Population Policy Strategy/Program /Project (X) Desired Development Outcomes Population Outcomes Development Processes Population Processes X Y Development Outcomes

External Factors Social, Economic and Environmental Development Projects: Other sources of change Community Environment -Agricultural & Natural resource base -Structure of market & price of factor inputs and products Household Characteristics -Physical assets -Human capital -Size, age-sex composition of members HOUSEHOLD DECISIONS -Savings & consumption -Investment in physical & human capital -Labor utilization -Fertility -migration - physical, social and economic infrastructure - social structure and organization - population size and age-sex composition Framework for Development Planning: Analyzing Interactions at the Household Level Source: Herrin, 1983

Integrating Statistics in Development PLANNING 18 June 2014 High Level Seminar and Workshop on ACSS Strategic Plan Hotel Salak, Bogor Indonesia National Economic and Development Authority Philippines