Anwar Sadat Chair for Peace and Development University of Maryland 2011 Public Opinion Polls of Jewish and Arab Citizens of Israel Poll of Jewish citizens.

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Presentation transcript:

Anwar Sadat Chair for Peace and Development University of Maryland 2011 Public Opinion Polls of Jewish and Arab Citizens of Israel Poll of Jewish citizens conducted with Dahaf Institute, Nov , 2011 Sample size: 510, Margin of error +/- 4.4% Poll of Arab/Palestinian citizens conducted with JZ Analytics, Nov , 2011 Sample size: 500, Margin of error +/- 4.5% Professor Shibley Telhami, Principal Investigator Special thanks to the Carnegie Corporation of New York Mike Lebson, Evan Lewis and Abe Medoff assisted in preparation of this study EMBARGOED UNTIL THURSDAY, DEC. 1, 2011 AT 2:00 PM

Jewish Citizens of Israel

Arab Awakening

United States & the Middle East How would you describe your views of President Barack Obama of the United States?

United States & the Middle East How would you describe your attitudes toward the Obama administration policy in the Middle East so far? 2011

Global Perceptions Which world leader (outside your own country) do you admire most? Barack Obama Winston Churchill Angela Merkel Bill Clinton George Bush

Arab-Israeli Conflict

Which of the following statements is closest to your view about the prospects of lasting peace between Israel and the Palestinians? Don’t believe it will ever happen Inevitable, but it will take more time Will happen in the next five years

Arab-Israeli Conflict Which of the following statements is closer to your view: Neither Even if all Arab states accept and recognize Israel, I still oppose withdrawing from territories occupied in 1967 I am prepared for a just and comprehensive peace with the Arabs based on the 1967 borders, with agreed modifications

Arab-Israeli Conflict Which of the following is closer to your position on the demand that the Palestinians accept Israel as a Jewish state: I support it and demand as a precondition for negotiations or settlement freeze I support it but would accept as part of a final peace agreement I do not support this demand

Arab-Israeli Conflict Given that 25% of Israelis are non-Jews, which of the following is closer to your position on defining Israel as “the homeland of the Jewish people and all its citizens”: I reject it I support it

Arab-Israeli Conflict Should or shouldn’t Israel do more than it does today to promote comprehensive peace with the Arabs based on the 1967 borders with agreed modifications and the establishment of a peaceful Palestinian state? Israel shouldn’t Israel should

Arab-Israeli Conflict What do you believe is the likely outcome if prospects of a two-state solution to the Palestinian-Israeli conflict collapse: Palestinians will eventually surrender to Israeli power & integrate into other societies One-state solution in which Israelis and Palestinians are equal State of intense conflict for years to come Status quo will continue with little change

Iran & Nuclear Weapons* * The section on Iran’s nuclear weapons is part of a joint project of the Sadat Chair at the University of Maryland and the Program on International Policy Attitudes and its director, Dr. Steven Kull

Iran & Nuclear Weapons

How likely do you think it is that Iran will eventually develop nuclear weapons? 2011

Iran & Nuclear Weapons So in total, do you support or oppose the idea of having a nuclear weapons- free zone in the Middle East that would include both Islamic countries and Israel? 2011

Which of the following is your most important identity? Israeli Identity Jewish My family’s country of origin Citizen of the world

Arab/Palestinian Citizens of Israel

There is international pressure on Iran to curtail its nuclear program. What is your opinion? Iran has the right to its nuclear program Iran should be pressured to stop its nuclear program 5 Arab Countries Arab/Palestinian Israelis Iran & Nuclear Weapons

Name TWO countries that you think pose the biggest threat to you. Arab/Palestinian Israelis Israel 5 Arab Countries United States United Kingdom Iran France China Iran & Nuclear Weapons

There is talk of a possible Israeli attack on Iran’s nuclear facilities. Do you: Arab/Palestinian Israelis Jewish Israelis

Global Perceptions Which world leader (outside your own country) do you admire most? Recep Erdogan Fidel Castro Hassan Nasrallah Yasser Arafat Nicolas Sarkozy Hugo Chavez Saddam Hussein Mahmoud Ahmadinejad Arab/Palestinian Israelis Barack Obama Hillary Clinton 5 Arab Countries N/A

Which of the following is your most important identity? Religious identity (Muslim or Jew) Identity Citizen of your country Arab Citizen of the world Arab/Palestinian Israelis Israeli Jews5 Arab Countries Palestinian

Arab-Israeli Conflict Sadat Chair YesNo Would you accept the transfer of some Arab/Palestinian towns currently in Israel to a new Palestinian state, when established?

Your opinion of possible recruitment of Israeli Arab/Palestinian citizens into non-military national service program: Sadat Chair Reject under any circumstances Accept if Arabs granted equal rights to Jews Accept only after Palestinian state established Arab-Israeli Conflict

How do you feel about Palestinian refugees’ right to return? Sadat Chair Not too important Important but a compromise should be found Important and cannot be compromised in any way Arab-Israeli Conflict

How would you describe the current status of Arabs in Israel? Arab/Palestinian Israelis Jewish Israelis

Arab Awakening Looking at the international reaction to the events in the Arab world in the past few months, which TWO countries do you believe played the most constructive role? Arab/Palestinian Israelis 5 Arab Countries

Arab Awakening In retrospect, do you believe that the international intervention in Libya was: The right thing to do The wrong thing to do Arab/Palestinian Israelis5 Arab Countries

Arab Awakening When you watch events in Syria, are your sympathies mostly with the government or the rebels seeking government change? Rebels Government Arab/Palestinian Israelis5 Arab Countries

Arab Awakening When you watch events in Yemen, are your sympathies mostly with the government or the rebels seeking government change? Rebels Government Arab/Palestinian Israelis5 Arab Countries

Arab Awakening When you watch events in Bahrain, are your sympathies mostly with the government or the rebels seeking government change? Rebels Government Arab/Palestinian Israelis5 Arab Countries

When you reflect on the Arab Spring, are you more optimistic or more pessimistic than before about the future of the Arab world? More optimistic Feeling no change More pessimistic Arab Awakening Arab/Palestinian Israelis5 Arab Countries

As you look ahead toward the Presidential elections in Egypt, which of the following leaders would you like the next President to look like most? Obama Erdogan Mandela Ahmadinejad Putin King Abdullah (KSA) Chavez Sarkozy Nasrallah Arab Awakening Arab/Palestinian Israelis5 Arab Countries