1 Break out group 1- Greenhouse gas emission targets for 2030 (methodological aspects) Issues discussed: Methodologies most suited for the EU for assessing.

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Presentation transcript:

1 Break out group 1- Greenhouse gas emission targets for 2030 (methodological aspects) Issues discussed: Methodologies most suited for the EU for assessing dangerous anthropogenic climate change Possible global long-term climate change targets for the EU (other targets than the 6EAP target of +2C global temperature increase?) Global greenhouse gas and carbon dioxide concentration levels consistent with global climate change target(s) Possible convergence of per capita emissions and by which year Possible emission targets for industrialized countries and for EU25 for 2030 Fulfilling the target through domestic action and through international emission trading

2 Break out group 1- Recommendations (1) Need to compare countries perspectives (with measures 2010) with the top-down EEA scenarios for 2010 The 6-EAP target of a maximum 2 degrees global temperature increase should not be exceeded in the Sustainable Emission Pathway scenario The rate of temperature increase per decade, proposed by WBGU, of 0.2 °C/decade could be added as an additional target No other climate change targets have been proposed Base the EEA scenario methodology on peer-reviewed literature The EEA methodology for deriving global efforts should be transparent on assumptions and compared with similar studies in order to present the broad range of options under discussion

3 Break out group 1- Recommendations (2) EEA should focus the analyses on the commitment of Europe, and the action to be taken by Europe The temperature targets mentioned are consistent with a concentration target of a maximum of 450 ppm CO2 (550 ppm CO2eq), assuming a low to average climate sensitivity Assumptions on trading should reflect the most cost- effective solutions for reaching the EU commitments inside and outside Europe in line with the current Kyoto mechanisms Land-use change and forestry emissions and removals should be treated according to the Kyoto definitions Long term projections should not be limited to a single scenario