City of Pasadena Introduction to 2011 Redistricting 10/5/2011 Page 1
Current Demographics Based on 2010 Census data and the American Community Survey: Population ◦ 2010 Census total: 137,122 3,186 (2.4 %) growth since 2000 33.7 % Hispanic 38.8 % Non-Hispanic white 10.6 % African American 15.4 % Asian American ◦ 2010 Census Voting Age Population 29.8 % Hispanic 41.9 % Non-Hispanic White 10.5 % African American 16.2 % Asian American Citizen Voting Age Population ◦ From Census ACS and Dept. of Justice Special Tabulation data: 24 % Hispanic 13 % African American 11 % Asian American 49 % Non-Hispanic White Voter Registration by Surname ◦ 19 % Hispanic ◦ 8 % Asian-American/Filipino Voter Turnout by Surname ◦ 16 % Hispanic ◦ 7 % Asian-American/Filipino 10/5/2011 Page 2
HISPANIC/LATINO POPULATION Voting Age Population 10/5/2011 3
HISPANIC/LATINO POPULATION Citizen Voting Age Population 10/5/2011 4
AFRICAN-AMERICAN POPULATION Voting Age Population 10/5/2011 5
ASIAN-AMERICAN-AMERICAN POPULATION Voting Age Population 10/5/2011 6
POPULATION DENSITY Population per square mile 10/5/2011 7
CURRENT DISTRICT DEVIATIONS Existing District # Deviation Percent Deviation 10/5/2011 8
Current District Demographics 10/5/2011 9
Rules: Federal Laws Equal Population among districts ◦ Total population: not voting age population, citizens, or voters ◦ Different for 2011: all deviations must be explained. Being within +/- 5 % is no longer enough. This is why NDC recommends all 2011 clients formally adopt criteria. Federal Voting Rights Act ◦ Section 2 – Ensure equal power to elect candidates of choice ◦ Section 5 – Avoid retrogression (does not apply to Pasadena) ◦ No racial gerrymandering For a more in-depth analysis, see the City Attorney’s earlier presentation. 10/5/
Sec. 2 Federal Voting Rights Act Requires “Protected Class” populations have an “equal opportunity to elect the candidates of their choice” No “packing” No “cracking” No racial gerrymandering allowed ◦ Focus on communities and neighborhoods, not race/ethnicity 10/5/
Rules: Traditional Criteria Reasons identified and approved by the US Supreme Court as justifiable reasons for small population deviations: Communities of interest Visible (Natural & man-made) boundaries ◦ Make it easy for residents of a district to understand its borders (and to engage their neighbors in precinct walking or other election activities) Compactness & contiguity ◦ Also makes it easier for voters to understand their district’s borders. Continuity in office ◦ Redistricting, an administrative process, should not tell the voters they can no longer elect a candidate they have previously elected (which is what happens when two or more incumbents are “paired.” Population growth ◦ Growth is much less certain in 2011 than it was in 2011, so this is harder to justify than it was in Preserve Core of existing districts ◦ Don’t move voters around unless needed to achieve one of the other goals. 10/5/
Process (1 of 3) 1. Prepare ◦ Conduct initial demographic analysis ◦ Adopt schedule ◦ Launch project website ◦ Launch public participation online redistricting system ◦ Adopt criteria ◦ Develop initial draft plans to jump-start discussion 10/5/
Process (2 of 3) 2. Outreach ◦ Educate, engage and empower the public, including: Individuals Community Groups, including “protected class”-focused organizations The media ◦ What are your community’s “communities of interest”? Which want to be united? Which want to be divided? ◦ How well do the current and draft plans meet those goals? ◦ Participation kits take the public input beyond just “yes” and “no” 10/5/
Process (3 of 3) 3. Decide ◦ Plan debate and adoption 4. Implement ◦ Plan implementation Coordinated with the County Registrar 10/5/
Tools (1 of 2) Traditional Redistricting Tools Census data 2. Project website 3. Media & community education 4. GIS software 5. Information on redistricting, the Voting Rights Act, and how the public can participate 6. Provide paper & Excel public participation kits 7. address for public questions and public comment 10/5/
Tools (2 of 2) New Tools for American Community Survey data 3. Live, interactive maps of plans 4. Google Maps and Google Earth plan files 5. Online redistricting 6. Local GIS data Zoning, homeowner associations, housing developments, neighborhood associations, key facilities, school attendance areas, aerial imagery, etc. 10/5/