Warren Lasher Director, System Planning October 4, 2014 Our Energy Future.

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Presentation transcript:

Warren Lasher Director, System Planning October 4, 2014 Our Energy Future

2 What Does ERCOT, Inc. Do? The Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) manages the flow of electric power on the transmission system. We are responsible for the reliability and adequacy of the transmission grid. ERCOT also performs financial settlement for the competitive wholesale bulk- power market and administers retail switching for 6.7 million premises in competitive choice areas. October 4, 2014 Earth, Wind, & Fire Energy Summit

3 The ERCOT Region is one of 3 interconnections in North America. The ERCOT grid: - 75% of Texas land -85% of Texas load -38,000 miles of transmission lines generation units -68,305 MW peak demand (set 8/3/2011) The ERCOT Region Regional Import Capacity: 1,256 MW of Asynchronous Tie Capacity (820 MW with Eastern Interconnection) October 4, 2014Earth, Wind, & Fire Energy Summit

4 Record Peak Day Generation Output Generation on August 3, 2011 Generation match load must at all times… October 4, 2014Earth, Wind, & Fire Energy Summit

5 August 2013 Generation Output October 4, 2014Earth, Wind, & Fire Energy Summit

6 Typical April Generation Output October 4, 2014Earth, Wind, & Fire Energy Summit

7 ERCOT Region Generation October 4, 2014Earth, Wind, & Fire Energy Summit

8 Wind Generation Development in ERCOT October 4, 2014Earth, Wind, & Fire Energy Summit Wind Generation Records (Instantaneous) 10,296 MW, March 26, 2014, 8:48 p.m. −Non-Coastal Wind Output = 8,863 MW −Coastal Wind Output = 1,433 MW −Supplying 28.78% of the 35,768 MW Load −Installed Commercial Capacity = 11,055 MW 39.40% Wind Penetration, March 31, 2014, 2:12 a.m. −Total Wind Output = 9,699 MW −Total Load = 24,618 MW

9 CREZ Transmission Update – January 30, 2014 As of January 30, 2014, the CREZ transmission projects were complete. The transmission plan is designed to serve approximately 18.5 GW: –~3600 right-of-way miles of 345 kV –$6.9 billion project cost Lines are open- access; use not limited to wind October 4, 2014Earth, Wind, & Fire Energy Summit Project details available at:

10 Generation Development in ERCOT Fuel Type Initial Screening Study Projects (MW) Full Interconnection Study Projects (MW) Completed Projects (MW)Total (MW) Natural Gas9,51716,2526,79232,561 Coal00270 Wind2,87513,6508,85225,377 Solar5883, ,061 Storage05940 Total12,98033,70416,17962,863 October 4, 2014Earth, Wind, & Fire Energy Summit Current ERCOT Interconnection Queue

11 Price is dropping rapidly Can be installed close to load centers Can be installed very quickly Advantages of Solar Generation October 4, 2014Earth, Wind, & Fire Energy Summit Small solar facilities (5 – 10 MW) have economy of scale. So they can be spread throughout the grid, increasing reliability and decreasing congestion. With wind generation, economy of scale is achieved at ~100 MW. Thermal generation facilities typically are 100 – 800 MW per unit.

12 ERCOT Region Generation October 4, 2014Earth, Wind, & Fire Energy Summit

13 EPA Clean Power Plan Proposal The EPA’s proposed state goals are based on four possible strategies for reducing carbon dioxide emissions. –Increase resource efficiency –Switch from coal generation to natural gas –Increase generation from renewable resources and maintain nuclear output –Expand energy efficiency programs At a high level, a successful implementation plan will include a combination of measures that reduce carbon dioxide emissions from the generating fleet and decrease the growth of future energy demand. Earth, Wind, & Fire Energy Summit October 4, 2014

14 View of the Future October 4, 2014 Increasingly Electric Solar Generation (much of it near the customer) Electric Transportation Energy Storage (Batteries, Compressed Air, others) DC Power Micro-grids Customer (Load Demand) Participation Earth, Wind, & Fire Energy Summit

15 CREZ Reactive Study Questions? October 4, 2014Earth, Wind, & Fire Energy Summit