Reinsurance Market Overview

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Presentation transcript:

Reinsurance Market Overview June 2003

Non-life and Life Premiums by Country $U.S. Billions (2001) Total Prem Mkt Share Developed Countries North America 485.0 464.4 949.4 39.4% Western Europe 284.1 455.6 739.7 30.7% Japan 89.1 356.7 445.8 18.5% Australia & Nz 14.4 21.2 35.6 1.5% Subtotal 872.6 1,297.9 2,170.5 90.1% South & East Asia 41.7 96.8 138.5 5.8% Latin America & Caribbean 27.6 13.6 41.2 1.7% Central & Eastern Europe 13.9 8.8 22.7 .9% Middle East/Central Asia 7.0 3.9 10.9 .5% Africa 6.3 18.2 24.5 1.0% Subtotal 96.5 141.3 237.8 9.9% World 969.1 1,439.2 2,408.3 100% Emerging Countries Source: Sigma

Worldwide P & C Reinsurance Demand $107 Billion Source: A.M. Best

Market Share of Global Reinsurance Industry Source: Standard & Poor’s

Top 10 Largest Global Reinsurers Ranked by 2001 Net Premiums Written % Change Company 2001 2000 Munich Re Group $16,610,700 $15,276,600 8.7 Swiss Re Group 15,429,100 14,478,800 6.6 Berkshire Hathaway 9,991,000 8,591,000 16.3 Employers Re Group 7,047,000 7,924,000 -11.1 Hannover Ruck Group 6,287,200 4,994,300 25.9 Lloyd’s of London 5,746,100 3,952,900 45.4 Gerling Global Re Group 4,408,300 4,117,000 7.1 SCOR Re Group 3,651,300 2,809,800 30.0 Allianz Re Group 3,118,500 3,726,500 -16.3 Axa Re Group 2,489,100 1,424,700 74.7 Source: Standard & Poor’s (Oct 2002) (000’s)

Top 10 Largest Global Reinsurers Shareholders’ Funds % Change Company 2001 2000 Munich Re Group $14,920,200 $19,437,000 -23.2 Swiss Re Group 13,505,900 14,139,400 -4.5 Berkshire Hathaway 29,549,000 39,580,000 -25.3 Employers Re Group 6,362,000 6,025,000 5.6 Hannover Ruck Group 1,481,100 1,481,500 0.0 Lloyd’s of London 6,140,500 8,268,400 -25.7 Gerling Global Re Group 680,100 1,452,300 -53.2 SCOR Re Group 1,167,500 1,212,800 -3.7 Allianz Re Group 51,886,300 53,414,300 -2.9 Axa Re Group 1,307,800 1,628,200 -19.7 Source: Standard & Poor’s (Oct 2002) (000’s)

Top 10 Largest Global Reinsurers Combined Ratio’s Company 2002 2001 2000 Munich Re Group 122.4% 135.1% 115.3% Swiss Re Group 104.0 124.0 117.0 Berkshire Hathaway 100.0 138.0 110.7 Employers Re Group 163.6 139.3 115.8 Hannover Ruck Group 103.0 107.8 106.6 Lloyd’s of London 98.6 140.0 N/A Gerling Global Re Group 131.5 112.7 SCOR Re Group 120.1 124.0 121.0 Allianz Re Group 127.3 108.9 Axa Re Group 127.1 120.6 Source: Standard & Poor’s (Oct 2002)

Combined Ratio U.S. P & C vs. Reinsurance Industry

U.S. Reinsurance Composite- One Year Loss Development / NPE

Worldwide Property Catastrophe Losses Source: Sigma

S&P Rating Migrations Among the Top 150 Reinsurers* No. of reinsurers * Ranked by net premiums written.

AM Best Rating Distribution-2001 Domestic Property/Casualty Personal Lines Commercial Lines Rating Category Reinsurers Total P/C 12% 49 25 86 14 100% 1040 Negative A++, A+ 11% 10% 47% A, A- 44 53 47 B++, B+ 27 23 6 Secure 82 87 100 Vulnerable 18 13 Total 100% 100% 100% Total Group Ratings 433 577 30 Rating Outlook Negative Negative Mixed Source: AM Best Co. data as of December 2001.

AM Best Rating Distribution-2002 Domestic Property/Casualty Personal Lines Commercial Lines Rating Category Reinsurers Total P/C A++, A+ 11% 7% 30% 9% A, A- 47 57 54 53 B++, B+ 23 23 13 23 97 87 Secure 81 85 3 13 Vulnerable 19 15 100% 30 Mixed 551 Total Rating Outlook Total Group Ratings 417 998 Source: AM Best Co. data as of December 2002.

2002 US Reinsurance Recoverables Reinsurance Recoverables on: Paid Losses $18,205 M Unpaid Losses 89,303 M IBNR Losses 95,831 M Unearned Premiums 32,861 M Sub-total 236,200 M Funds Withheld -28,106 M Total Recoverable $208,591 M Source: A.M. Best Co.

2002 US Reinsurance Recoverables Reinsurance Recoverables $209 B Admitted Assets $1,034 B Reins. Recov / Ad. assets 20% Industry Surplus $287 B Reins. Recov / Surplus 72% Source: A.M. Best Co.

Security Assessment

Trend oriented compared to peer norms Quantitative Factors Profitability Liquidity Leverage Capital adequacy Ratings Trend oriented compared to peer norms

Qualitative Factors Management experience Spread of risk — catastrophic exposure Asset quality & diversity Adequacy of reinsurance program Exposure to uncollectible reinsurance Adequacy of loss reserves Capital structure

Profitability Measures One & Five Year Combined ratio Operating ratio Pre-tax income to NPE Investment yield Return on PHS Unassigned funds to assets Long term capital growth

Reinsurance Combined Ratios Worldwide

US Reinsurance Composite Return on Equity (Surplus)

Liquidity Measures Quick liquidity Current liquidity Overall liquidity Operating cash flow High risk assets to PHS

U.S. Reinsurance Composite Invested Assets / Liabilities

U.S. Reinsurance Composite Nonaffiliated Invested Assets

Leverage Measures Net premiums to surplus Liabilities to surplus Net leverage Reinsurance recoverables to surplus Gross leverage Capital Adequacy Ratio Financial leverage

U.S. Reinsurance Composite Leverage Source: AM Best

U.S. Reinsurance Composite RBC Composite Weighted Average

U.S. Reinsurance RBC Composite Companies - 2002

Reinsurance Market Overview June 2003