Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations An Overview of Cumbria for Impact Housing Thursday 19 th June 2008 Dr. Dan Bloomer, Senior Policy Officer – Information and Intelligence

Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Overview – 7 themes Life expectancy Demographic Change Health Educational and skills Wages and employment Satisfaction and Community Cohesion Mental Health and Suicide

Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Theme 1: Life Expectancy

Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Life expectancy at birth – England & Wales Source: ONS

Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Life expectancy at birth – England & Wales Source: ONS 5.5 yrs 4.3 yrs 2.1 yrs 3.2 yrs

Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Life expectancy at birth – Cumbria (04-06) Source: ONS

Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Life expectancy in Cumbria Source: ONS

Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Life expectancy – a summary Life expectancy is increasing nationally for both men and women The gap between life expectancy for men and women is shrinking There are significant variations in life expectancy around Cumbria Level are lowest for men in Barrow and for women in Allerdale and Copeland Life expectancy in Eden and South Lakeland are amongst the highest in the country

Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Theme 2: Demographic Change

Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Mid Year Estimates of Cumbria’s Population ONS

Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Cumbria’s Population by Age Group Mid Year Estimates

Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Cumbria’s Population by Age Group ONS Population Forecasts

Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Cumbria – Net Internal (E&W) Migration, GP Registrations

Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Cumbria Population – Longer Term Trends ONS “Known”Forecasted

Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Population Profile – Cumbria vs England ONS “Known”Forecasted

Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Demographic change – a summary Cumbria’s population is growing but more slowly than nationally Overall growth masks demographic changes within the total population District trends vary. Eden’s population in fast growth, Barrow’s and Copeland’s populations declining These trends are forecast to continue Migration is a key control on past and future demographic structure

Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Theme 3: Health

Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Limiting long term illness - numbers Source: ONS

Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Limiting long term illness - proportions Source: ONS

Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Healthy life expectancy – Cumbria (2001) Source: ONS EnglandEdenCarlisleBarrowAllerdaleCopeland South Lakeland

Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations 20.1% 24.7% 99.7k137.0k Change in LLTI, Source: ONS

Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Health and levels of satisfaction Source: QoL Survey 2006

Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Alcohol related hospital admissions - under 18s PCT 3 rd in England 2 nd in England

Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Teenage Pregnancy rates ONS

Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Health – a summary Cumbria has higher levels of limiting long term illness than nationally The picture varies around the county – higher proportion in Barrow Similarly “healthy” life expectancy varies across Cumbria Eden and South Lakeland out perform England Demographic change can be expected to drive health changes Health status related to levels of satisfaction

Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Theme 4: Education and Skills

Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Qualification levels Source: APS

Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations GCSE attainment - Cumbria Source: DCSF Av diff ‘92-’94 = 8.3% Av diff ‘04-’06 = 11.9%

Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Range of GCSE Attainment Source: DCSF County av = 45.7% England av = 46.8%

Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Education and skills – a summary Cumbria has fewer people with no qualifications than nationally However county also has lower proportion of its workforce qualified to degree level More “lower level” qualifications Education attainment in the county is increasing Gap between attainment by boys and girls is increasing Significant range of attainment across the county’s secondary schools

Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Theme 5: Wages and Employment

Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Additional slide(s): National analysis of sectors paying low wages

Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Additional slide(s): Assessment of the performance of these sectors in Cumbria

Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Additional slide(s): Worklessness/economic activity in Cumbria

Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Wages and employment – a summary tbc

Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Theme 6: Satisfaction and Community Cohesion

Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Issues – safer & stronger communities Source: BVGUSS

Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Crime vs fear of crime Source: BCS

Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Level of crime needs reducing Can influence decisions in your local area

Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations General Happiness in Cumbria QoL Survey 2006

Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Satisfaction with local area QoL Survey 2006

Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Satisfied vs Not Satisfied by Age QoL Survey 2006

Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Satisfied vs Not Satisfied by Qualifications QoL Survey 2006

Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Satisfied vs Not Satisfied by Health QoL Survey 2006

Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Satisfied vs Not Satisfied by Fruit & Veg Consumption QoL Survey 2006

Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Satisfied vs Not Satisfied by Smoking QoL Survey 2006

Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Satisfied vs Not Satisfied by Alcohol Consumption QoL Survey 2006

Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Satisfied vs Not Satisfied by Exercise QoL Survey 2006 ModerateVigorous

Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Satisfaction & Community Cohesion – a summary Crime and important issue, although in decline Minority of residents are, in general, unhappy (3%) More people are dissatisfied with their local area (8%) More satisfied people tend to… o …be older (esp over 65) o …be better qualified (esp NVQ 3+) o …be more healthy o …eat more fruit and vegetables o …not smoke, but drink more o …and take vigorous, not moderate, exercise

Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Theme 7: Mental Health and Suicide

Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Mental Health Problems Source: Kings Fund

Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Mental Health Problems Source: Kings Fund Costs: 2007 = £15bn 2026 = £35bn

Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Suicide in Cumbria by age Source: Cumbria PCT

Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Suicide in Cumbria Average of 56 suicides in Cumbria each year (11.6 per 100,000 population) Suicide levels in Cumbria are higher than in E&W Men are more likely to commit suicide than women Carlisle and Allerdale have suicide rates higher than national average (Carlisle = double) Causes: disability; illness (physical or mental); alcohol and drug misuse; stress (e.g. job loss, bereavement) – often a combination Source: Cumbria PCT

Building pride in Cumbria Do not use fonts other than Arial for your presentations Mental health & suicide – a summary Forecasted increase in numbers of people suffering from mental health problems Increases driven largely through a growth in the size of the overall population Increases in level of dementia, however, driven by the aging of the population Higher rates of suicide than the national average Much more common in men than women