How Do Economists Really Think About the Environment? Don Fullerton Robert N. Stavins.

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Presentation transcript:

How Do Economists Really Think About the Environment? Don Fullerton Robert N. Stavins

Communication Among Scholars Fullerton and Stavins posit a series of prevalent myths regarding how economists think about the natural environment. They explain how each myth might have originated from statements by economists that were meant to summarize a more qualified analysis. In this way, they hope to explain how economists really do think about the natural environment.

Myth 1 "Economists believe that the market solves all problems“  The "first theorem of welfare economics" states that private markets are perfectly efficient on their own, with no interference from government, so long as certain conditions are met.  This theorem, easily proven, is exceptionally powerful, because it means that no one needs to tell producers of goods and services what to sell to which consumers.

Conditions Are Strict By clarifying the conditions under which markets are efficient, the theorem also identifies the conditions under which they are not.  Private markets are perfectly efficient only if there are no public goods, no externalities, no monopoly buyers or sellers, no increasing returns to scale, no information problems, no transactions costs, no taxes, no common property, and no other "distortions" that come between the costs paid by buyers and the benefits received by sellers.  Those conditions are obviously very restrictive,and they are usually not all satisfied simultaneously.

Externalities Environmental economists are interested in pollution and other externalities, where some consequences of producing or consuming a good or service are external to the market, that is, not considered by producers or consumers.  With a negative externality, such as environmental pollution, the total social cost of production may thus exceed the value to consumers.  If the market is left to itself, too many pollution- generating products get produced.

Open Access Resources Similarly, natural resource economists are particularly interested in common property, or open access resources, where anyone can extract or harvest the resource freely.  In this case, no one recognizes the full cost of using the resource; extractors consider only their own direct and immediate costs, not the costs to others of increased scarcity (called "user cost" or "scarcity rent" by economists).  The result, of course, is that the resource is depleted too quickly.

Myth 2 "When economists do see a market problem, they always recommend a market solution.“  Economists tend to search for instruments of public policy that can fix one market essentially by introducing another.  If pollution imposes large external costs, for example, the government can establish a market for rights to emit a limited amount of that pollutant.

Market for Emission Permits A market for tradable emission permits can be expected to work fine, so long as there are many buyers and sellers, and all are well informed.  The government's role is to enforce the rights and responsibilities of permit ownership, so that each ton of emissions is matched by the ownership of one emission permit.  Then the market for the output will also work fine, since the producer has to pay a price for each permit that reflects the social cost of the associated pollution.

Efficient? This tradable-permit approach has much to recommend it, and can be just the right solution in some cases, but it is still a "market."  Therefore the outcome will be efficient (by the same welfare theorem) only if certain conditions are met.  Research indicates that these conditions are sometimes met, and sometimes not (Hahn and Hester, 1989).

Acid Rain To reduce acid rain in the United States, the Clean Air Act Amendments of 1990 require electricity generators to hold a permit for each ton of sulfur dioxide (SO 2 ) they emit.  A robust market for the permits has emerged, in which well- defined prices are broadly known to many potential buyers and sellers.  Through continuous emissions monitoring, the government is able to keep track of SO2 emissions from each plant.  Equally important is that penalties are significantly greater than incremental abatement costs and hence are sufficient to ensure compliance.  Overall, this market works fairly well (Schmalensee et al., 1998); acid rain deposition is being reduced by 50 percent, and in a cost-effective manner.

Damages May Rise at an Increasing Rate Many environmental problems might not be addressed appropriately by tradable-permit systems or other market-based policy instruments.  One example is a hazardous air pollutant such as benzene that does not mix in the airshed and can therefore cause localized "hot spots."  Since a firm can buy permits and increase local emissions, permit trading does not ensure that each location will meet a specific standard.  Moreover, the damages caused by local concentrations may increase nonlinearly. If so, then even a permit system that reduces total emissions might allow trades that move those emissions to a high-impact location and thus increase total damages.

Myth 3 "When non-market solutions are considered, economists still use only market prices to evaluate them.“  Economists typically favor using market prices, whenever possible, to carry out environmental evaluations. Prices reveal how members of society actually value the scarce amenities and resources under consideration.  Unlike other social scientists, economists are generally wary of asking people how much they value something, since respondents may have incentives to behave strategically and therefore not to provide unbiased assessments of their own valuations.

Economists Consider All Scarce Resources Economists are concerned with more than the financial value of things.  The financial flows that make up the gross national product represent only a fraction of all economic flows. The scope of accounting may be defined by that which is financial, but the scope of economics is much broader.  It encompasses the allocation and utilization of all scarce resources. For example, the economic value of the human-health damages of environmental pollution is greater than the sum of health-care costs and lost wages (or lost productivity). It includes what lawyers would call "pain and suffering."

Non-Use Value The economic value of some parcel of the Amazon rain forest is not limited to its financial value as a repository of future pharmaceutical products or as a location for eco-tourism.  That so-called "use value" may only be a small part of the properly defined economic valuation.  For decades, economists have recognized the importance of "non-use value" of environmental amenities such as wilderness areas or endangered species.

Adding Apples and Oranges Why then do economists insist on trying to convert all of these disparate values into monetary terms? Not because dollars have any particular standing conceptually, but simply because a common unit of measure is needed to be able to "add apples and oranges."  How else can we combine the benefits of ten extra miles of visibility plus some amount of reduced morbidity, and then compare these total benefits with the total cost of installing scrubbers to clean stack gases at coal-fired power plants? Economists use these monetary equivalents in their calculations simply because a better set of common units is not available.

Myth 4 "These economic analyses are concerned only with efficiency rather than distribution.“  An improvement in economic efficiency can be determined by a simple and unambiguous criterion--an increase in total net benefits.  What constitutes an improvement in distributional equity, on the other hand, is inevitably the subject of considerable dispute.

Redistribution Goals? Environmental regulations are neither effective nor efficient tools for achieving redistributional goals. Some economic studies consider only efficiency issues, and some consider only distributional issues, but the best analyses recognize the scope of their contributions and their limits. Although benefit-cost analyses often emphasize the overall relation between benefits and costs, a good analysis will also identify important distributional consequences.

Conclusions 1 So where does this leave us?  First, despite their apparent reputation, economists do not necessarily believe that the market solves all problems.  Indeed, many economists—ourselves included--make a living out of analyzing "market failures" such as environmental pollution.  These are situations in which laissez faire policy leads not to social efficiency, but to inefficiency.

Conclusions 2 Second, when economists identify market problems, they do not always recommend market solutions.  Admittedly, our profession's tendency is to consider first the feasibility of market solutions, because of their potential cost-effectiveness. “Hot-spots" makes clear that market-based approaches to environmental protection are no panacea.

Conclusions 3 Third, when market or non-market solutions to environmental problems are being assessed, economists do not limit their analysis to financial considerations.  The scope of economic analysis is much broader than financial flows.  The only reason that monetary equivalents are used in benefit-cost calculations is that a more convenient set of units is simply not available.

Conclusions 4 Fourth, although the efficiency criterion is by definition aggregate in nature, economic analysis can tell us much about the distribution of both the benefits and the costs of environmental policy.