Advanced Data Based Decision Making Kimberly Ingram, Ph.D. Professional Development Coordinator Oregon Dept. of Education February 2008 Southern Oregon.

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Presentation transcript:

Advanced Data Based Decision Making Kimberly Ingram, Ph.D. Professional Development Coordinator Oregon Dept. of Education February 2008 Southern Oregon PBS Network Conference

Agenda Part 1 Look at your SET data – Is your Correction Feature at 80% If Yes, the next few slide will be very meaningful In No, the next few slides will be meaningful and we need to discuss ways to enhance that Feature – “corrections Packet” Examine Data Decision Rules for School-wide Interventions Targeted Group Interventions Individualized Interventions Practice Data-based Decision-Making Additional Data for further prevention efforts Ethnicity reports Special education Part 2 – Prepare for First Day of School

Core Philosophy of SW-PBS The Approach Invest in Prevention Build a Predictable, Positive and Safe Social Culture Define, teach, monitor, reward positive behavior. Consistent Correction system No “ONE” strategy: Three- tiered systems approach Primary, Secondary, Tertiary Use of data for active decision-making Sustainability established right from the beginning The Implementation Process Administrative leadership Team-based implementation Repeated self-assessment and action planning for high fidelity implementation Adapt procedures to “fit” the local school, community, values Build on existing strengths Never stop doing what works Always look for the smallest change that produces the largest effect

Primary Prevention/Universal Interventions: School/Classroom- Wide Systems for All Students, Staff, & Settings Secondary Prevention: Specialized Group Systems for Students with At-Risk Behavior Tertiary Prevention: FBA  BSP for Students with High-Risk Behavior ~80% of Students 0-1 Referrals ~15% 2-5 ODR ~5% CONTINUUM OF SCHOOL-WIDE POSITIVE BEHAVIOR SUPPORT

SYSTEMS PRACTICES INFORMATION Supporting Staff Behavior Supporting Decision Making Supporting Student Behavior School-wide Positive Behavior Support

Improving Decision-Making Problem Solution From To Problem Solving Solution Information

Using Data for On-Going Problem Solving Start with the decisions not the data Use data in “decision layers” (Gilbert, 1978) Is there a problem? (overall rate of ODR) Localize the problem (location, problem behavior, students, time of day) Get specific Use data to guide asking of “the right questions” Don’t drown in the data It’s “OK” to be doing well Be efficient

Using Discipline Data for Decision Making

Use Referral data to Inform Intervention In order to maximize school resources, it is important to know where the majority of behavior problems are occurring Prevention measures, such as: Re-teaching expectations increasing supervision and monitoring increased use of acknowledgments, or environmental restructuring are often the best interventions for misbehavior especially when referrals are not successfully addressing the problem

Using Discipline Data There are many different data systems for tracking, organizing, and presenting discipline data: You can either make your current system work for you, or SWIS (School Wide Information System) is one of the best systems for flexibility in manipulating data and ease of presenting data to maximize the use of your data eSIS has some similar graphing abilities (Big 5, and a few others). It is not as flexible as SWIS, however, it can still offer excellent data for decision-making

Key features of data systems that work. The data are accurate and valid The data are very easy to collect (1% of staff time) Data are presented in picture (graph) format Data are current (no more than 48 hours old) Data are used for decision-making The data must be available when decisions need to be made (weekly?) Difference between data needs at a school building versus data needs for a district The people who collect the data must see the information used for decision-making.

Using Data for Decision Making

PBS Teams use data for School-wide, universal, interventions Targeted group, secondary, interventions Individual, tertiary, interventions

Nonclassroom Setting Systems Classroom Setting Systems Individual Student Systems School-wide Systems School-wide Positive Behavior Support Systems

SW v. Individual Majors + MinorsMajors Only #%#% %4410% %102% >5>5307%41%

What about CLEO? 12 By Dec – Jun By Sep – Dec Suspensions/Expulsions Per Year EventsDaysEventsDays In School Suspensions0022 Out of School Suspensions Expulsions0000

CLEO: # By/Day/Month

CLEO: # By by Type

CLEO: # BI by Location

1. School-wide systems if… Elementary: > 1 ODR per day per month per 300 students (majors only) Middle: > 1 ODR per day per month per 100 students (majors only) >40% of students received 1+ ODR >2.5 ODR/student Modify universal interventions (proactive school- wide discipline) to improve overall discipline system Teach, precorrect, & positively reinforce expected behavior

SWIS summary (Majors Only) 1974 schools; 1,025,422 students; 948,874 ODRs Grade Range Number of Schools Mean Enrollment per school Mean ODRs per 100 per school day K (sd=.37) (1 / 300 / day) (sd=1.36) (1/ 100 / day) (sd=.83) (1/ 107 / day) K-(8-12) (sd=1.14) (1/ 120 / day

SWIS TM summary (Majors Only) 1668 schools, 838,184 students Grade Range Number of Schools Number of Students Mean ODRs per 100 per school day K ,932 Mean = (sd=.50) ,129 Mean = (sd=1.06) ,325 Mean = (sd=1.37) K-(8-12)23990,198 Mean = (sd=1.56)

Interpreting Office Referral Data: Is there a problem? Absolute level (depending on size of school) Middle, High Schools (> 1 per day per 100) Elementary Schools (> 1 per day per 300) Trends Peaks before breaks? Gradual increasing trend across year? Compare levels to last year Improvement?

Elementary School with 250 students

Average Referrals per Day per Month Middle School of 600 students

Middle School with 500 students

Middle school with 500 students

Middle School with 500 students

Is there a problem? Middle school with 500 students (Dec)

Is there a problem? Middle School with 500 students

Is there a problem? Middle School with 500 students (Dec 04-05)

Is there a problem? Middle School with 500 students (Feb 3, 04-05)

2. Classroom system if… >60% of referrals come from classroom >50% of ODR come from <10% of classrooms Several teachers not writing referrals at all Enhance universal &/or targeted classroom management practices Examine academic engagement & success Teach, precorrect for, & positively reinforce expected classroom behavior & routines

3. Non-classroom systems if… >35% of referrals come from non- classroom settings >15% of students referred from non- classroom settings Enhance universal behavior management practices teach, precorrect for, & positively reinforce expected behavior & routines increase active supervision (move, scan, interact)

Referrals by Location

Middle School

Elementary School

Referrals by Time

4. Targeted group interventions if…. >10-15 students receive >5 ODR Provide functional assessment- based, but group- based targeted interventions Standardize & increase daily monitoring, opportunities & frequency of positive reinforcement

5. Individualized action team system if ODR <10 students continue rate of referrals after receiving targeted group support Provide highly individualized functional-assessment- based behavior support planning

Referrals by Student

Student Referral Report DateStaffTimeLocation Problem Behavior Motivation Others Involved Admin Decision 103/10/ :15PMPlygdAgg/FightUnknown motPeersParent 203/01/ :30PM Unknown loc DisresptDKPeersParent 302/10/ :30PMClassAgg/FightUnknown motUnknownOOffice AD 412/18/ :30AMClassAgg/FightUnknown motPeers Out-sch susp 512/08/ :00AMClass Other behav Unknown motNone Out-sch susp 612/08/ :15PMClassDisresptOb p attnNoneOffice AD 711/20/ :00AM Unknown loc Agg/FightUnknown motPeers Out-sch susp 811/20/ :30AMClassAgg/FightUnknown motPeers Out-sch susp

School Example A middle school getting ready to implement targeted group interventions. They had been implementing school-wide interventions for one school year.

Some Questions ABC Middle School had re: student needs How many students in the middle of the triangle? How many need at the top of the triangle? How many students in the targeted group have 2, 3, 4, 5, thru 25 referrals? What types of behaviors are targeted group students and tip of triangle students engaging in? What percent of students in targeted and tip are Sped? What percent of students in targeted and tip met AYP the previous year?

ABC Middle School 541 students 1314 total number of referrals for SY Pre and Post Set completed Team attended 4 PBS trainings throughout year and implemented along the way Team leader attended district leadership meeting consistently throughout year

Triangle Data 0-1 referral: 381 (65% of students) 2-5 referrals: 124 (21% of students) 6+ referrals: 82 (14% of students)

Break down of all referrals (1314) by behaviors Disrespect: 354 Disruption: 310 Tardy: 274 Inappropriate Language: 80 Fighting/Aggression: 73 Skip: 56 Harassment: 37 Theft: 28 Other: 82 Miscellaneous (drugs, lying, prop. damage, weapons, vandalism): 20

‘At-Risk’ Group = 2-5 referrals 409 referrals generated by this group (31% of all referrals) Students with 2 referrals: 46 3 referrals: 37 4 referrals: 22 5 referrals: 19 _______ Total 124 students [12 (10%) on IEPs]

Sample of Behaviors from ‘At-Risk’ Group – 8 students total, 4 boys/4 girls, 2 on IEPs, Tardy: 9 Disruption: 8 Disrespect: 3 Other (gum chewing): 3 Aggression/Fighting: 1 Combustible: 1 Tobacco: 1 Weapons: 1 Drugs: 1 _________ Total = 28 referrals

‘ Tip of Triangle’ – 6+ referrals 859 referrals generated by this group (65% of all referrals) Students with 6 referrals: 11 7 referrals: 11 8 referrals: 9 9 referrals: 9 10 referrals: referrals: 4 12 referrals: 7 Students with 13 referrals: 3 14 referrals: 5 15 referrals: 5 17 referrals: 3 18 referrals: 2 19 referrals: 1 24 referrals: 1 _________ Total = 82 students [18 (22%) on IEPs]

ABC MS – SPED Students and AYP 78 students in special education (14% of student body) 39 students (50%) of sped students with 2 or more ODRs 38 students (97%) of sped students with 2 or more ODRs did not meet AYP in 1 or more subjects

Additional Information Ethnicity Reports Available on SWIS and eSIS Special Education

Ethnicity Reports Rationale The power of information The risks and ethics of dis-proportionality Format Multiple reports are needed for decision- making SWIS currently provides the numbers and output.

Ethnicity Reports Key Questions What proportion of enrolled students in school are from each ethnicity? What proportion of referrals are contributed from students in each ethnicity? What proportion of students with at least one referral are from each ethnicity? What proportion of students within each ethnicity have received at least one office discipline referral? Ethnicity #1 Ethnicity #2Ethnicity #3

Data are good…but only as good as systems in place for PBS Collecting & summarizing Analyzing Decision making, action planning, & sustained implementation

Monthly s (December) Dear Staff, Thought I’d send this along before we go home ‘till Through 11/30/98 there were 179 referrals involving 62 students (6.7%). 858 students (99.3%) have no referrals. 27 students (2.9%) are responsible for 80% of all referrals through 11/30. The top 13 have earned 59% of the referrals. Thank you for your efforts this fall in helping to carry a positive surge in momentum through the year’s end. Have a refreshing break. Happiest Holiday Wishes!

Monthly s (February) Ever have that feeling like you wondered if someone had gotten the license plate of the truck that hit you? February had a bit of that feel to it. Approximately 1/3 of the year’s referrals to date (143 out of 457) took place in February…In perspective, the month was truly out of character with the rest of the year. Thank you for your perseverance. 85% of our students continue their good work and have no referrals. The 457 referrals (9/98-2/99) are down 22% from the 581 referrals last year. In April we will be seeking staff input through our EBS survey to help build a focus for next school year. Keep up your good work- -

Summary Transform data into “information” that is used for decision-making Present data within a process of problem solving. Use the trouble-shooting tree logic Big Five first (how much, who, what, where, when) Data should be collected to answer specific questions Ensure the accuracy and timeliness of data.