The Celtic Tiger (1) Multinational Investment: 70% of Irish exports, low corporate profits tax (2)Property Price bubble: construction accounting for almost quarter of national income by late 2000s Rising household and bank debt; 6 main Irish banks borrowed €15 billion from abroad in 2003, figure had risen to €100 billion by 2007
Causes Lax regulation of cross-border lending across EU ECB low interest rate policies Structural bias of EMU? Irish government incentives
Government response September 2008 bank guarantee: “the Irish people woke up to find that the… government had put up the entire Irish State as collateral for the crushing liabilities of six private banks” (McCabe) NAMA Short-term liquidity loans to banks
The price Spending cuts and tax increases of €4,600 per person, and more to come National income down 15% Unemployment almost 15%, high emigration Investment slump Austerity underpinned by IMF-EU ‘bail out’ (December 2010)
The scale and nature of the debt Almost 300% of national income (debt audit finding) Over 75% due to private bank debt – not (initially) a crisis of public debt Anonymous bondholders An illegitimate and undemocratic debt
Limited protest Emigration Media Election (February 2011) Trade union leadership
Stirrings of resistance Rise in Left vote Citizens’ initiatives Calls for a referendum Occupy Dame Street