Cesar Queiroz, Ph.D. Consultant, former World Bank Highways Adviser Arusha, Tanzania, 16-20 September 2013 Road Network Evaluation Tools: Overview, Main.

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Presentation transcript:

Cesar Queiroz, Ph.D. Consultant, former World Bank Highways Adviser Arusha, Tanzania, September 2013 Road Network Evaluation Tools: Overview, Main Concepts, Applications

RONET Overview, Main Concepts, Background and Applications Infrastructure and economic development Optimization defined A common concern: how to optimize maintenance and rehabilitation What is required for an agency to use RONET? RONET structure RONET applications Next steps

Infrastructure “The built environment in which we live” (Ausubel and Herman) The physical framework upon which the economy operates and our standard of living depends (ASCE)

Infrastructure comprises Public utilities: power, telecommunications, piped water supply, sanitation and sewerage, solid waste collection and disposal, piped gas Public works: roads, dams, canals, railways, ports, waterways, airports, buildings

Developing and Developed Countries Developing countries include low- and middle- income economies Developed (advanced, industrial, rich) countries denote high-income economies The World Bank’s main criterion for classifying economies is gross national income (GNI) per capita, previously referred to as gross national product (GNP)

Classification of Economies EconomiesGNI per capita Low-income $1,035 or less Middle-Income$1,036 to $12,615 Lower$1,036 to $4,085 Upper$4,086 to $12,615 High-income$12,616 or more Source:

Examples of Gross National Income GNI, $/cap

Examples of Gross National Income GNI, $/cap

Economic Development and Infrastructure GNI ($/pop) Source: Queiroz and Gautam GNI = 1.39 PRD R squared: countries

Road Agency Budget Total Road Transport Costs User Costs Budget, Costs $ Too Large Too PoorOptimalToo Good Optimal Too Small Road Condition Optimal Road Condition

RONET, developed by Rodrigo Archondo-Callao for SSATP, helps decision makers to:  Monitor network condition  Plan allocation of resources  Assess consequences of macro policies  Design Road Asset Management Systems Road Network Evaluation Tools

Availability: RONET is available free of charge on the World Bank website at: General use: RONET can be used in any city, country or region, provided that appropriate data are available Version 2.00 – latest version, published in 2009 Road Network Evaluation Tools

RONET Version 2.00

What is Required for an Agency to Take Advantage of Tools Such as HDM-4 and RONET? Updated road inventory and condition data, e.g., length of roads in each category, pavement structure, road roughness Traffic data, e.g., volumes by vehicle category, weight of heavy vehicles Road user cost data, e.g., price of new vehicles, fuel consumption and cost Unit cost of road works, e.g., rehabilitation ($/km), new construction ($/km)

Total 5 X 5 X 5 X 5 = 625 Road Classes Road Network Length Matrix

Main road condition indicator used by models such as RONET and HDM A standard scale used throughout the world to quantify the roughness of roads The IRI summarizes the roughness qualities that impact vehicle response (such as vehicle vibration) It relates to overall vehicle ride, operating cost, dynamic wheel loads, and overall surface condition International Roughness Index (IRI)

The International Road Roughness Experiment, Brasilia, Brazil, 1982 Reference: World Bank Technical Paper No. 45, “The International Road Roughness Experiment: Establishing Correlation and a Calibration Standard for Measurements,” available at: Development of IRI

International Roughness Index

IRI is determined by measuring the profile along the wheel paths of the road, and then filtering the profiles through a quarter-car mathematical model to simulate the suspension deflection of a passenger car Its uses include assessing road condition and as a construction specification IRI Meaning and Uses

“ProVAL” - Profile Viewing and AnaLysis - an engineering software used to view and analyze pavement profiles, including IRI calculations Sponsored by the US Federal Highway Administration (FHWA) Available free of charge from: IRI Calculation from Road Profiles

21 “RoadRuf” – a tool for computing IRI, available from the University of Michigan at: pageID=62 RoadRuf includes an interactive X-Y plotter and a spectrum analyzer A sample program for calculating IRI is available at: IRI Calculation from Road Profiles

RONET uses simplified incremental road deterioration model for paved roads: traffic loading (YE4) pavement modified structural number and subgrade bearing capacity (SNC) pavement age (t) environmental coefficient (m) existing condition (IRI a ) RONET Paved Road Deterioration Model

Expressed as a polynomial function of roughness for each vehicle category Developed using World Bank RUCKS (Road User Costs Knowledge System) model URUC - unit road users’ cost ($/vehicle-km) IRI - pavement longitudinal roughness (m/km) a 0, a 1, a 2, a 3 - model coefficients that depend on input data (e.g., new vehicle, fuel and tire costs) Road User Costs Model

Very good: IRI less than 2.5 m/km Good: IRI from 2.5 m/km to 3.5 m/km Fair: IRI from 3.5 m/km to 5.5 m/km Poor: IRI from 5.5 m/km to 10.5 m/km Very poor: IRI higher than 10.5 m/km Example of IRI and Road Condition

Riverside Freeway, SR 91, CA

31 Five or less network types can be defined by the user based on functional classification, region, terrain type, or environmental type Types of Road Network

32 RONET uses five surface types. The country specific characteristics of the surface types are user defined Surface Types

Traffic categories vary by surface type

34 Very Good: requires only routine maintenance (RM) Good: requires RM plus preventive maintenance or spot regravelling or repairs Fair: requires RM plus periodic maintenance Poor: requires RM plus strengthening or partial reconstruction Very Poor: requires RM plus full reconstruction Road Condition Categories

35 Length of road sections (per category, traffic, condition) comprising the network Unit cost of road works Selected country data (e.g., discount rate, fuel cost, salaries, vehicle fleet, traffic growth rate) RONET Main Input Data

Current Asset Value Calculation

Performance Assessment What are the consequences of different budget scenarios?

RONET evaluates alternative maintenance and rehabilitation road works standards for each road class Road Work Standards CodeStandard AVery high BHigh CMedium DLow EVery low FDo minimum GDo nothing Defined in RONET at: Capital Road Works Standards Configuration

Asphalt Mix Roads Standards

Optimal Standard Least Total Society Costs RONET determines optimal standard per road class

Budget Scenarios Optimal + 2Two standards above optimal standard per road class Optimal + 1One standard above optimal standard per road class OptimalOptimal standard per road class Optimal – 1One standard below optimal standard per road class Optimal – 2Two standards below optimal standard per road class Optimal – 3Three standards below optimal standard per road class Do MinimumDo minimum on all road classes Do NothingDo nothing on all road classes CustomUser defined standard per network type and traffic category

An Example of Consequences to the Road Agency

Consequences to Road Users

Consequences to Society

Consequences to Road Network Condition: Roughness (IRI in m/km)

Road Works Details (M$) Other Tables for: ($/km-year) ($/veh-km) (km/year) per surface class and surface type

Road User Charges

Review RONET’s User Guide RONET familiarization interactive exercise Obtain as realistic as possible information on a road network of each participating country Develop an optimum road network M&R program for the selected network Prepare a brief report and present the results Next steps

Cesar Queiroz SSATP/World Bank Consultant Former World Bank Highways Adviser Tel Washington, DC, USA

RONET Team Exercise Road Network Two-lane Equivalent: Length, condition and traffic levels This example of calculation is for primary roads. Please follow the example and obtain the lengths per cell for secondary and tertiary roads.

Cesar Queiroz, former World Bank Highways Adviser, is an international consultant on roads and transport infrastructure. His main expertise is in public-private partnerships, road management and development, performance-based contracts, port reform and rehabilitation, improving governance, quality assurance and evaluation, research, teaching and training. Between 1986 and 2006, he held several positions with the World Bank, including Lead Highway Engineer and Principal Highway Engineer. Prior to joining the World Bank, Cesar was the deputy director of the Brazilian Road Research Institute in Rio de Janeiro. He holds a Ph.D. in civil engineering from the University of Texas at Austin, a M.Sc. in production engineering from the Federal University of Rio de Janeiro, and a B.Sc. in civil engineering from the Federal University of Juiz de Fora, Brazil. Cesar has published two books and more than 130 papers and articles. His recent assignments include infrastructure advisory services to Russia, Brazil, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Ukraine, Philippines, Uganda, Sri Lanka, India, Egypt, Colombia, Laos, Mozambique, Saudi Arabia, Tunisia, Sweden and Norway. He is currently a visiting professor at the University of Belgrade, Serbia, and has lectured on PPP at George Washington University since 1996, and at the International Law Institute since 2007.