Agricultural Production Systems Simulator (APSIM) Simulates: v yield of crops, pastures, trees, weeds... v key soil processes (water, N, P, carbon, pH) v surface residue dynamics & erosion v range of management options v crop rotations + fallowing + mixtures v short or long term effects v one or two dimensions v high software engineering standards v BUT, not yet pests nor diseases
APSIM - developmental goals v Production and profit u sought to retain yield prediction in relation to management options and environment (c/f - CERES, CROPGRO models) v Fate of the soil resource u sought valid long-term simulation of key soil processes (c/f - CENTURY, EPIC) v Impacts off-farm u predict loss of soil, water, nutrients off-site (c/f - EPIC)
APSIM - some statistics v Development team u 7 programmers / model support staff u 12 scientist / modellers v User base u 180 licensed users u 9 countries, 4 continents v Product Suite u ca. 450,000 lines of code u 4 languages u 38 modules u 12 interfaces or major tools
Developing our knowledge & capability - APSIM modules Crop/pasture/tree wheatsorghum sugarcanechickpea mungbeansoybean barleygroundnut maizesunflower hemplucerne fababeancanola lupinmucuna cowpeaPinus radiata Eucalyptus sp. cotton - CSIRO PI pearl millet - ICRISAT pigeonpea - ICRISAT Soil SoilWat SWIM SoilN SoilP SoilpH Solute Residue Manure - ICRISAT Management Sowing Tillage Irrigate Fertilize Intercrop/mixture competition
Multiple user interfaces – e.g. APSFront interface
APSIM has been used to simulate … Some examples
Pigeonpea qualitative photoperiod response …physiological processes
…plant organs Tiller leaf area in millet
…crop growth & development Growth & development of pigeonpea
Cowpea Observed Predicted 1:1 line Grain (g/m2) Biomass (g/m2) Chickpea y = 0.87x R 2 = Observed Predicted Mungbean y = x R 2 = yields 1:1 line regression Predicted Observed Predictionnregression lineR 2 slopeintercept wheat grain maize grain ( 0.04) -5.5 ( 240)0.85 chickpea grain ( 0.07)163 ( 172)0.76 mungbean grain ( 0.10)-27.2 ( 128)0.72 cowpea grain ( 0.08)-31.6 ( 34.6)0.91 stylo biomass ( 0.06) ( 171)0.78 …yield of experimental crops
…yield of commercial crops v APSIM tested against data from commercial farms v Crops include cotton, sorghum, mungbean, wheat, chickpea
… yield of smallholder crops Maize response to N in MalawiMaize response to N & manure in Kenya Maize response to N at Makoholi
… N response in smallholder crops Testing simulation of maize response to N at Makoholi over 7 seasons
… seasonal perspectives How representative were the seasons at Makoholi?
… yield of crops in rotation Lines = predicted Symbols = observed Wheat-Sorghum Long Fallow rotation
WheatSorgham … soil water of crops in rotation Wheat-Sorghum Long Fallow rotation
93 Wheat, Lucerne measured in lysimeter … ET of crops in rotation
… legume rotation effects Maize response (TBM) to fertiliser N following pigeonpea, India
… consequence of crop rotations $GMdrainage wheat-wheat-mungbean- sorghum-chickpea rotation
… soil organic matter changes Farming systems on a vertisol at Dalby, Qld.
…crop-weed competition Maize – volunteer stylo
…response to manure application High & low quality manure applied to maize
… response to N, P fertilizer & manure Maize response to P rates in Kenya Response to N, P and manure, India
… “on-farm” constraints Response to 36 kg N/ha
Enabling landholder assessment of the productivity and risk of commercial agroforestry investment on grain farms in Australia’s medium to low rainfall regions … agroforestry systems
… change in wheat production under climate change
… but can you use such technical information with farmers?
YES…but the information needs to be made relevant to farmers’ realities
Source: Peter Carberry CSIRO, Australia Click the back button on your browser to return to the main menu