Savings, Assets, and Social Protection in the 21 st Century Prepared for the Ten Years in the War on Poverty Symposium September 2010 Chronic Poverty Research.

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Savings, Assets, and Social Protection in the 21 st Century Prepared for the Ten Years in the War on Poverty Symposium September 2010 Chronic Poverty Research Centre Manchester, United Kingdom Ray Boshara New America Foundation

Savings and the Poor Savings by the Poor – nothing new Rutherford: The poor have always saved; they are too poor not to manage their money well Rutherford: The poor have always saved; they are too poor not to manage their money well Experience of credit unions, banks, NGOs and, increasingly, governments Experience of credit unions, banks, NGOs and, increasingly, governments Greater demand for savings services (CGAP, 2006) When savings accounts in financial institutions serving the poor outnumber microloan accounts seven to one, one thing is certain: microfinance clients want savings services. When savings accounts in financial institutions serving the poor outnumber microloan accounts seven to one, one thing is certain: microfinance clients want savings services. There is lots of evidence suggesting that poor people would rather save, turning small amounts into a lump sum, than borrow a lump sum and then pay it back. There is lots of evidence suggesting that poor people would rather save, turning small amounts into a lump sum, than borrow a lump sum and then pay it back. Nicholas Kristoff, New York Times: Sparking a Savings Revolution op-ed (Dec 2009) Nicholas Kristoff, New York Times: Sparking a Savings Revolution op-ed (Dec 2009) Savings linked to cash transfers Cash transfers / social payments traditionally made in person in cash, or via food aid Cash transfers / social payments traditionally made in person in cash, or via food aid Growing use (now 25%) of government-to-person (G2P) payment systems (via electronic cards or bank accounts) presents a great opportunity to link to savings Growing use (now 25%) of government-to-person (G2P) payment systems (via electronic cards or bank accounts) presents a great opportunity to link to savings Child allowances are also good opportunities to link to savings Child allowances are also good opportunities to link to savings Savings linked to conditional cash transfers (Zimmerman and Moury, 2009) Mexico, Peru, India, Argentina, Bangladesh, Columbia, Ecuador, Guatemala, Indonesia, Nigeria, U.S., Philippines, Turkey, Brazil, Dominican Republic Mexico, Peru, India, Argentina, Bangladesh, Columbia, Ecuador, Guatemala, Indonesia, Nigeria, U.S., Philippines, Turkey, Brazil, Dominican Republic Programs are new and evidence limited – but can CCTs linked to savings reduce poverty and promote greater investment in human capital? Programs are new and evidence limited – but can CCTs linked to savings reduce poverty and promote greater investment in human capital? Savings leading to productive assets

Savings for Productive Assets Public, non-profit, and private strategies to enable poor, low- income, and moderate-income persons to save and accumulate long-term, productive assetsa home, post-secondary education, investments, land, a small business, and a nest-egg for retirement. Public, non-profit, and private strategies to enable poor, low- income, and moderate-income persons to save and accumulate long-term, productive assetsa home, post-secondary education, investments, land, a small business, and a nest-egg for retirement. Michael Sherraden, Assets and the Poor (1991): Michael Sherraden, Assets and the Poor (1991): 1.Economically, assets are the key to economic security. 2.Asset ownership is associated with positive social, civic, behavioral and psychological effects not necessarily associated with income. Lack of income means you dont get by; lack of assets means you dont get ahead. Assets are hope in concrete form. Long-term, inter-generational perspective Long-term, inter-generational perspective Informed by Amartya Senassets as the economic proxy for Sens notion of capabilities. Informed by Amartya Senassets as the economic proxy for Sens notion of capabilities.

Global Context of Asset Development 3 billion people worldwide lack access to basic financial services (CGAP, 2006). By region: 3 billion people worldwide lack access to basic financial services (CGAP, 2006). By region: RegionAccounts per 100 people Asia and the Pacific 17 Middle East and North Africa13 Sub-Saharan Africa 4 Europe and Central Asia 5 Latin America and Caribbean 3 Overall13 The worlds richest 2 percent hold over half of the entire worlds wealth, while the bottom 50 percent hold only one percent (World Institute for Development Economics Research, 2006) The worlds richest 2 percent hold over half of the entire worlds wealth, while the bottom 50 percent hold only one percent (World Institute for Development Economics Research, 2006) Many countries have public policies that actively build wealth for at least the upper-half of the population. The goal of asset development is inclusion in those policy systems, or the creation of policies that build wealth for the worlds poor. Many countries have public policies that actively build wealth for at least the upper-half of the population. The goal of asset development is inclusion in those policy systems, or the creation of policies that build wealth for the worlds poor.

Value Added of Assets Approach to Combating Poverty U.S. & advanced economies Income is defining feature of anti-poverty policiesIncome is defining feature of anti-poverty policies Assets ignoredand often penalized, while subsidized for non-poorAssets ignoredand often penalized, while subsidized for non-poor Assets approach: remove barriers to and offer incentives for accumulating savings and assets by the poorAssets approach: remove barriers to and offer incentives for accumulating savings and assets by the poor Social Protection and Sustainable Livelihoods (Moser, 2006) Social Protection: Focus on protecting the poor and vulnerable against negative risks and shocksSocial Protection: Focus on protecting the poor and vulnerable against negative risks and shocks Sustainable Livelihoods: Sustaining activities required for means of livingSustainable Livelihoods: Sustaining activities required for means of living Assets approach: Creation of positive opportunities for sustainable asset accumulationAssets approach: Creation of positive opportunities for sustainable asset accumulationMicrofinance Microfinance: recent and growing focus on savingsMicrofinance: recent and growing focus on savings Assets approach:Assets approach: Savings that lead to assets Savings that lead to assets Asset ownership is associated with positive outcomes not necessarily associated with income Asset ownership is associated with positive outcomes not necessarily associated with income

Sample Assets Projects and Policies (see GlobalAssetsProject.org) At birth, children Policies: Singapore, South Korea, Canada, UK, Israel Policies: Singapore, South Korea, Canada, UK, Israel Programs/Pilots: Childrens Development Bank (Asia), World Vision Ethiopia, Programs/Pilots: Childrens Development Bank (Asia), World Vision Ethiopia, Products: Hatton National Bank (Sri Lanka), Barclays Bank (Uganda, Ghana) Products: Hatton National Bank (Sri Lanka), Barclays Bank (Uganda, Ghana)Youth SUUBI project (Uganda) SUUBI project (Uganda) Bayelsa State Government (Nigeria) Bayelsa State Government (Nigeria) YouthSave project (Kenya, Nepal, Colombia, Ghana) YouthSave project (Kenya, Nepal, Colombia, Ghana) Adults Assets Africa (Uganda) Assets Africa (Uganda) China (Western Xin Jiang region) China (Western Xin Jiang region) Taipei (Taiwan) Taipei (Taiwan)

Findings Thus Far Can the poor save? How they save, and what difference does it make? How they save (Schreiner et al., 2002; Sheraden and Barr, 2005; Brown, 2009) How they save (Schreiner et al., 2002; Sheraden and Barr, 2005; Brown, 2009) Who saves matters little, but who has access to institutional savings structures (or savings plans) matters a lotWho saves matters little, but who has access to institutional savings structures (or savings plans) matters a lot Incentives matter, but not as much as we thoughtIncentives matter, but not as much as we thought Defaults matterDefaults matter Convergence of Sherradens institutional determinants of savings and behavioral economicsConvergence of Sherradens institutional determinants of savings and behavioral economics What difference does it make? What difference does it make? Holding assets appears to lead to positive social, behavioral, psychological, civic and other outcomes for children and adultsHolding assets appears to lead to positive social, behavioral, psychological, civic and other outcomes for children and adults What leads to what effect: the account, the savings, amount of savings, level of savings, type of asset, and level of assets?What leads to what effect: the account, the savings, amount of savings, level of savings, type of asset, and level of assets? Can savings and asset development strategies promote financial inclusion?Can savings and asset development strategies promote financial inclusion?

Research on Asset Effects Holding assets at 23 is associated with later positive outcomes such as better labor market experience, marriages, health and political interest. (Bynner & Paxton, 2001) Holding assets at 23 is associated with later positive outcomes such as better labor market experience, marriages, health and political interest. (Bynner & Paxton, 2001) The presence of the asset appears to matter more than the monetary value of the asset. (Bynner & Paxton, 2001) The presence of the asset appears to matter more than the monetary value of the asset. (Bynner & Paxton, 2001) The presence of small wealth at critical times can have transformative effects on the life course. (Shapiro, 2004) The presence of small wealth at critical times can have transformative effects on the life course. (Shapiro, 2004) Parental wealth is positively associated with cognitive development, physical health, and socio-emotional behavior of children – even in very poor families. (Williams, 2003) Parental wealth is positively associated with cognitive development, physical health, and socio-emotional behavior of children – even in very poor families. (Williams, 2003) The Suubi project in Uganda has demonstrated that owning a Child Development Account instills a future orientation powerful enough to motivate orphans to avoid the risky behavior that can lead to AIDS. (Ssewamala, 2009) The Suubi project in Uganda has demonstrated that owning a Child Development Account instills a future orientation powerful enough to motivate orphans to avoid the risky behavior that can lead to AIDS. (Ssewamala, 2009) found that children of low-saving, low- income parents are significantly less likely to be upwardly mobile than children of high-saving, low-income parents. (Cooper and Luengo-Prado, 2009) found that children of low-saving, low- income parents are significantly less likely to be upwardly mobile than children of high-saving, low-income parents. (Cooper and Luengo-Prado, 2009) Low-income, single mothers assets are positively associated with childrens educational attainment. (Zahn and Sherraden, 2003) Low-income, single mothers assets are positively associated with childrens educational attainment. (Zahn and Sherraden, 2003) Assets lead to positive attitudes and behaviors, and positive attitudes and behaviors lead to assets may be a glimpse of a virtuous cycle wherein household development is a reinforcing feedback loop. (Yadama and Sherraden, 1996) Assets lead to positive attitudes and behaviors, and positive attitudes and behaviors lead to assets may be a glimpse of a virtuous cycle wherein household development is a reinforcing feedback loop. (Yadama and Sherraden, 1996) Households with access to assets are better able to provide for their basic needs and make important investments in future generations through health care, education, and training, while those lacking assets are more vulnerable to poverty. (Chowa, Ansong, and Masa, 2010) Households with access to assets are better able to provide for their basic needs and make important investments in future generations through health care, education, and training, while those lacking assets are more vulnerable to poverty. (Chowa, Ansong, and Masa, 2010) U.S. youth with accounts in their names are seven times more likely to actually attend college than those lacking accounts, among those who intend to attend college at an early age. (Elliot and Beverly,2010) U.S. youth with accounts in their names are seven times more likely to actually attend college than those lacking accounts, among those who intend to attend college at an early age. (Elliot and Beverly,2010) Children who grow up in homes with assets have lower rates of teen pregnancy, fewer behavioral problems, better self esteem, more confidence, and a future orientation (Shanks, 2009) Children who grow up in homes with assets have lower rates of teen pregnancy, fewer behavioral problems, better self esteem, more confidence, and a future orientation (Shanks, 2009)

Assets and Social Protection Holding assets has positive social returns Holding assets appears to lead to positive social, behavioral, psychological, civic and other outcomes for children and adultsHolding assets appears to lead to positive social, behavioral, psychological, civic and other outcomes for children and adults Social protection policies increasingly delivered through asset accounts (Sherraden, 1996) Increasing use of individual asset accounts to achieve social policy goals worldwideIncreasing use of individual asset accounts to achieve social policy goals worldwide Growing use of commercial financial services to manage these accountsGrowing use of commercial financial services to manage these accounts Significant risk that the poor will be excluded, given lack of accounts, access, savings, and financial know-howSignificant risk that the poor will be excluded, given lack of accounts, access, savings, and financial know-how Financial capital increasingly necessary for achieving other forms of capital (Mahajan, 2006) Over the past few centuries, all forms of capital human, physical, natural, social have become financialized: they have prices and titles permitting exchange, and thus have become tradableOver the past few centuries, all forms of capital human, physical, natural, social have become financialized: they have prices and titles permitting exchange, and thus have become tradable Financial capital becomes central to acquiring all other types of capitalFinancial capital becomes central to acquiring all other types of capital Thus, enhancing access to financial assets is key to helping the poor realize economic security and opportunityThus, enhancing access to financial assets is key to helping the poor realize economic security and opportunity

Conclusion Further research and demonstration Accounts for all To participate in social policy transformation, and to be able to receive payments from public, NGO, and private sourcesTo participate in social policy transformation, and to be able to receive payments from public, NGO, and private sources To receive and leverage cash transfers – conditional and unconditionalTo receive and leverage cash transfers – conditional and unconditional Challenges: lack of formal identity, limited access to formal financial servicesChallenges: lack of formal identity, limited access to formal financial services Savings for all If more and more capital is financialized, then poor need more capitalIf more and more capital is financialized, then poor need more capital Challenges: account challenges, plus making the business case for expanding savings to the poorChallenges: account challenges, plus making the business case for expanding savings to the poor Assets for all Assets are key to breaking inter-generational poverty transmissionAssets are key to breaking inter-generational poverty transmission Assets have multiple economic and social benefits to households, nationsAssets have multiple economic and social benefits to households, nations How can asset development strategies help achieve the Millennium Development Goals?