Macroinvertebrate Bioassessment Tools Aquatic Life/Nutrient Workgroup August 11, 2008
Discussion Topics Reference and stressed site status O/E (RIVPACS) preliminary results MMI (multimetric index) preliminary results Bioclasses
Reference Site Review Two part process: Calculated GIS-based human disturbance values and established criteria cutoffs Calculated GIS-based human disturbance values and established criteria cutoffs Reviewed and critiqued aerial images at EPA using Global Explorer Reviewed and critiqued aerial images at EPA using Global Explorer 11 additional ref sites added to fill obvious spatial gaps and large rivers in plains and xeric bioregions
Reference Sites 168 reference sites finalized in April (90 mnts, 39 plains, 39 xeric) 4 xeric, 4 plains and 1 mnts sites removed later All USFS sites (n=16) retained – midges ID’ed down to genus 12 additional sites w/ low taxa counts could be removed (USU and TT testing)
Reference Sites
Stressed Site Review Flagged human disturbance values (GIS derived) that exceeded “acceptable” conditions and further reviewed with Google Earth images Sites exhibiting clear characteristics of stressed condition retained after image review
Stressed Sites Goal: identify unquestionably stressed sites – no marginal ones 74 stressed sites finalized in June 31 mnts, 23 plains & 20 xeric
Stressed Sites
O/E Model Progress Predictor variables calculated OTU’s assignments redefined Improved resolution Improved resolution Replicate #’s organized & sample IDs selected Reference sites reviewed by Utah St staff 6 sites suggested for removal based on additional aerial image review – WQCD agreed 6 sites suggested for removal based on additional aerial image review – WQCD agreed
O/E Preliminary Modeling USU modeling based on 143 ref sites and 282 taxa (OTU's) Rare taxa not used (106 taxa remained) Cluster analysis/ordination Used presence/absence of taxa among sites Used presence/absence of taxa among sites Investigating 2 alternate groupings: 3 classes – Ecoregions 3 classes – Ecoregions 13 classes – Bioclasses 13 classes – Bioclasses
O/E Preliminary Modeling Spatial distribution of samples coded by 3 bug-defined classes
Performance Plot Sites coded by bioregion Good agreement between what the model predicts at a site and what is observed
O/E Preliminary Modeling Spatial dist. of samples coded by 13 bug-defined classes
Performance Plot Sites are coded by the group assignments Different types of streams vary in predicted and observed richness r 2 = 0.85
MMI Preliminary Modeling Tetra Tech keeping in sync with Utah State work Same OTU designations, predictor variables, reference sites and samples used Same OTU designations, predictor variables, reference sites and samples used Retained rare taxa – Tetra Tech investigating further
Preliminary Findings Tetra Tech’s ordination similar to Utah State’s Geographic ecoregions not a perfect fit Geographic ecoregions not a perfect fit Biology is sensitive to the natural gradients in temp. and water amount across the landscape Bioclasses may work better than ecoregions
Bioclasses Not defined by geographic regions Defined more by broad habitat characteristics Doesn’t lend itself to drawing lines on a map
Bioclass Example Primary predictors appear to be summer water temperature and amount of water Amt of water = ƒ (watershed area, precipitation) Stream temp = ƒ (amount of water, elevation, latitude)
Bioclasses Two sites, close together geographically, can be in two very different bioclasses Mainstem (large watershed) vs. tributary (small) Mainstem (large watershed) vs. tributary (small) We do some of that already with mainstems separated from “all tribs,” but not consistently
Example How we might identify bioclass membership Bioclass xyz >100 km 2 Watershed Area <250 km 2 > 1250 m Elevation <2000 m >ddd.ddLongitude<eee.ee
Upcoming Work Tetra Tech will try further classifications by removing rare taxa Critically reviewing how to standardize analysis & treatment of data Move deeper into the modeling processes O/E – predictive modeling O/E – predictive modeling O/E – estimating probability of capture (pc) & E O/E – estimating probability of capture (pc) & E MMI – metric calculations MMI – metric calculations
Questions? Drunella doddsi Baetis tricaudatus Mayfly
Information Utah State website on Predictive Models: x?tabindex=2&tabid=27 x?tabindex=2&tabid=27 Bioassessment tool info and PowerPoint presentations: