CORDEX Scope, or What is CORDEX?  Provide a set of regional climate scenarios (including uncertainties) covering the period 1950-2100, for the majority.

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Presentation transcript:

CORDEX Scope, or What is CORDEX?  Provide a set of regional climate scenarios (including uncertainties) covering the period , for the majority of the populated land- regions of the globe.  Make these data sets readily available and useable to the impact and adaptation communities.  Provide a generalized framework for testing and applying regional climate models and downscaling techniques for both the recent past and future scenarios.  Foster coordination between regional downscaling efforts around the world and encourage participation in the downscaling process by local scientists/organizations

Working Group on Regional Climate CORDEX Produce scenarios Produce scenarios Provide data for VIA Provide data for VIA Test downscaling Test downscaling Encourage local participation Encourage local participation User community interaction? User community interaction? Climate services? Climate services? Seasonal prediction? Seasonal prediction? Regional observations? Regional observations? Climate science communication? Climate science communication? Best practices? Best practices? ??? Note: CORDEX ≠ CMIP-child/lite/…

CORDEX Goals (on CORDEX web site) To quality-control data sets of RCD-based information for the recent historical past and 21st century projections, covering the majority of populated land regions on the globe. The RCD information samples uncertainties in Regional Climate Change associated with varying Global Climate Model (GCM) simulations, varying greenhouse gas (GHG) concentration scenarios, natural climate variability and different downscaling methods. The CORDEX downscaling activities are based on the latest set of GCM climate scenarios and predictions produced within the 5th Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) To quality-control data sets of RCD-based information for the recent historical past and 21st century projections, covering the majority of populated land regions on the globe. The RCD information samples uncertainties in Regional Climate Change associated with varying Global Climate Model (GCM) simulations, varying greenhouse gas (GHG) concentration scenarios, natural climate variability and different downscaling methods. The CORDEX downscaling activities are based on the latest set of GCM climate scenarios and predictions produced within the 5th Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) To build a common set of Regional Climate Model (RCM) domains for dynamical downscaling and define a standard set of variables, frequency and format for output and archival at a number of CORDEX data centers To build a common set of Regional Climate Model (RCM) domains for dynamical downscaling and define a standard set of variables, frequency and format for output and archival at a number of CORDEX data centers To coordinate a range of RCM simulations for the defined domains, forced by analyses of observations (currently ERA-Interim) to provide a benchmark framework for model evaluation and assessment. This exercise should include also statistical downscaling (SD) methods To coordinate a range of RCM simulations for the defined domains, forced by analyses of observations (currently ERA-Interim) to provide a benchmark framework for model evaluation and assessment. This exercise should include also statistical downscaling (SD) methods To develop Regional Analysis and Evaluation Teams to: Evaluate the ensemble of RCD simulations Develop a suitable set of regional-specific metrics for RCD evaluation Collect suitable observational data to evaluate high-resolution RCD simulations Design experiments to investigate the added-value of RCDs and target future priorities in RCD research To develop Regional Analysis and Evaluation Teams to: Evaluate the ensemble of RCD simulations Develop a suitable set of regional-specific metrics for RCD evaluation Collect suitable observational data to evaluate high-resolution RCD simulations Design experiments to investigate the added-value of RCDs and target future priorities in RCD research To engage with the broad RCD community in its activities and discussions To engage with the broad RCD community in its activities and discussions To support and inform the climate impact assessment and adaptation groups interested in utilizing CORDEX RCD material in their research. To support and inform the climate impact assessment and adaptation groups interested in utilizing CORDEX RCD material in their research.

Working Group on Regional Climate Terms of Reference To facilitate coordination of WCRP research activities relevant to the provision of regional climate information and related climate services To facilitate coordination of WCRP research activities relevant to the provision of regional climate information and related climate services To integrate the user and decision maker context into the design and development of regional climate science through two-way communication and co-production activities To integrate the user and decision maker context into the design and development of regional climate science through two-way communication and co-production activities To facilitate, in co-operation with other relevant international organisations, the provision of good practice guidance for potential users on the identification, selection, processing, application and interpretation of regional climate information To facilitate, in co-operation with other relevant international organisations, the provision of good practice guidance for potential users on the identification, selection, processing, application and interpretation of regional climate information To provide advice to WCRP regarding research activities needed to support and improve regional climate science and prediction To provide advice to WCRP regarding research activities needed to support and improve regional climate science and prediction To provide recommendations to WCRP regarding the provision and communication of information for regional impact assessment, decision making and climate services as related to, for example, water, health, food and disaster risk reduction. This includes helping to ensure that observing networks are optimized, maintained over the long term and adapted to user needs To provide recommendations to WCRP regarding the provision and communication of information for regional impact assessment, decision making and climate services as related to, for example, water, health, food and disaster risk reduction. This includes helping to ensure that observing networks are optimized, maintained over the long term and adapted to user needs

Working Group on Regional Climate Terms of Reference To oversee and promote specific WCRP regional climate research initiatives including the Coordinated Regional Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX), and other activities as may be established in the future, either independently or in collaboration among the WCRP Projects or with other sister research programmes To oversee and promote specific WCRP regional climate research initiatives including the Coordinated Regional Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX), and other activities as may be established in the future, either independently or in collaboration among the WCRP Projects or with other sister research programmes To strengthen the role of regional climate science within the WCRP with research results communicated effectively to, or where possible designed in partnership with, climate service institutions. This may include preparation of web-based information, publication of reports, organization of targeted workshops, encouraging the building of research partnerships, etc... It should also be informed by and support research on climate science communication To strengthen the role of regional climate science within the WCRP with research results communicated effectively to, or where possible designed in partnership with, climate service institutions. This may include preparation of web-based information, publication of reports, organization of targeted workshops, encouraging the building of research partnerships, etc... It should also be informed by and support research on climate science communication To liaise, as appropriate, with other organisations or bodies developing scenarios of environmental and socioeconomic conditions, and to facilitate the assessment of (and develop a set of best pratices with respect of) the consistency and plausibility of regional climate projections in the context of integrated scenario development To liaise, as appropriate, with other organisations or bodies developing scenarios of environmental and socioeconomic conditions, and to facilitate the assessment of (and develop a set of best pratices with respect of) the consistency and plausibility of regional climate projections in the context of integrated scenario development To foster communication between the WCRP and the GFCS and Future Earth, and to serve as the point of contact between the WCRP and regional climate information/service entities (e.g. WMO Regional Climate Centers, the Climate Services Partnership (CSP), etc...) To foster communication between the WCRP and the GFCS and Future Earth, and to serve as the point of contact between the WCRP and regional climate information/service entities (e.g. WMO Regional Climate Centers, the Climate Services Partnership (CSP), etc...) To liaise as appropriate with other relevant international weather, oceanographic, climate and global change research programmes and communicate science priorities to relevant funding agencies, NGOs and development agencies To liaise as appropriate with other relevant international weather, oceanographic, climate and global change research programmes and communicate science priorities to relevant funding agencies, NGOs and development agencies