® OPEN SOURCE INTELLIGENCE & RELEVANT INFORMATION: EXECUTIVE BRIEFING (CINC BRIEF) Robert D. Steele, OSS CEO

Whats on the other side of the hill? ® All the business of war, and indeed all the business of life, is to endeavor to find out what you dont know by what you do; thats what I called guessing what was at the other side of the hill. Duke of Wellington quoted in John Wilson Croker, The Croker Papers (1884)

FOUR CORE IDEAS: A-C Teams need OSINT in real-time. IC is not in the OSINT business. CINCs have to program for OSINT. OSINT can make a difference in tactical effectiveness, operational planning, and acquisition management. ®

OSINT DEFINITIONS Open Source Data Open Source Information Open Source Intelligence Validated Open Source Intelligence Only the in-house analyst can do this. ®

BURUNDI EXERCISE: 6 Phone Calls Top Ten Journalists/Top Ten Academics Tribal Orders of Battle and AOs Pol-Mil Overviews Soviet 1:100,000 Combat Charts 100% Commercial Imagery <3 Years Old ®

COMPETING OSINT MODELS SI/TK Selective Importation System High/Firewall Just Enough, Just in Time Default to Validated OSINT SI/TK Validated OSINT ®

INFORMATIONINFORMATION TIME Actionable Intelligence The New Intelligence Gap: the difference between what you can know and what you can use! OSINT is as complex as the other disciplines… NEW INTELLIGENCE GAP Available Information ®

HIC/MRC STRATEGIC NUCLEAR AND CONVENTIONAL MILITARY WAR SOLIC/LEA UNCONVENTIONAL LOW INTENSITY CONFLICT AND GANG WARFARE IW/ECON INFORMATION WAR/ CRIME & ECONOMIC ESPIONAGE MINDWAR RELIGIOUS, POLITICAL AND ENVIRONMENTAL REFUGEES PROLIFERATION/ MIGRATION JIHAD/ GREENPEACE TERRORISM/ GLOBAL CRIME INFOWAR/ ECONOMIC ESPIONAGE FOUR THREAT/IO TYPES ®

THOUGHTFUL OPINIONS The Intelligence Community has to get used to the fact that it no longer controls most of the information. The Honorable Richard Kerr, former Deputy Director of Central Intelligence …(IC) should not satisfy requests for analysis when such analysis could be readily accomplished using publicly available sources… Aspin-Brown Comission on Intelligence, page 17 Youre on your own! ®

® OSINT SUPPORT TO THE A TEAM Strategic Planning Operational Coordination Tactical Employment Acquisition Design History Context Current Awareness Key Personalities/Motivators Imagery & Image Maps Translation Support Strategic Generalizations Critical Technologies

OSINT AND THE CINC TODAY IC limited in global coverage capability. Fewer closed societies and denied areas. IT revolution empowering operators. OSINT can address 80% of mission area information requirements. ®

FUSIONFUSION ANALYSISANALYSIS FILTERSFILTERS UN IOs NGOs Business Community Predictive Modeling Internet JTF Embassy Host & Adjacent Govts Remote Sensing ® PACOMS Virtual Information Center J-8s Idea!

Policy Intelligence Military Intelligence Law Enforcement Intelligence Coalition Intelligence Business Intelligence/OSINT Mass & Niche Media Intelligence Citizen Intelligence--Intelligence Minuteman Basic, Advanced, & Corporate Education LONG-TERM BUILDING BLOCKS ®

® Peacekeeping Intelligence … the concept of UN intelligence promises to turn traditional principles on their heads. Intelligence will have to be based on information that is collected primarily by overt means, that is by methods that do not threaten the target state or group and do not compromise the integrity or impartiality of the UN. Hugh Smith as cited by Sir David Ramsbotham Political- Legal Socio- Economic Ideo- Cultural Techno- Demographic Natural- Geographic

INFORMATION UNIVERSE Relevant and Irrelevant -- Open and Secret Decision-Maker Integration, Reflection & Decision RANDOMRANDOM SECRETSECRET EXISTING INPUT normal staff process, counterparts, family/friends OPEN SOURCE INPUT Internet & private sector fee-for-service Information Management Staff Collection Management, Fusion, Analysis & Presentation ®

REQUIREMENTS OFFICER/ COLLECTION MANAGER INTERNET SPECIALIST COMMERCIAL ONLINE SPECIALIST PRIMARY RESEARCH SPECIALIST EXTERNAL SERVICES SPECIALIST EDITOR/ANALYST PRESENTATION MANAGER Leverage!!! ®

GENERIC OSINT BUDGET ®

OSINT: THE CINCS WILD CARD Earmarked funding not available yet. OSINT ConOps still lacking. Robust private sector options are there. CINC can leverage C4ISR JBC, JROC. ®