Air quality and climate impacts of biofuel cultivation 1 Kirsti Ashworth, Nick Hewitt, Oliver Wild 2 Gerd Folberth 1 Lancaster Environment Centre, Lancaster.

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Presentation transcript:

Air quality and climate impacts of biofuel cultivation 1 Kirsti Ashworth, Nick Hewitt, Oliver Wild 2 Gerd Folberth 1 Lancaster Environment Centre, Lancaster University 2 Met Office Hadley Centre

VOCs Cultivation OZONEAEROSOLS CLIMATEAIR QUALITY

Methodology

Biofuel scenarios Scenario DescriptionArea Control CMIP5 SSTs - IGBP vegetation dataset

Biofuel scenarios Scenario Description Area (Mha) Control AMIP SSTs - IGBP vegetation dataset SRCs Extra-tropics 92 Crops/grasses replaced

Biofuel scenarios Scenario Description Area (Mha) Control AMIP SSTs - IGBP vegetation dataset SRCs Extra-tropics 92 Crops/grasses replaced Oil Palm Tropics (~ 15°S to 15°N) 69 Broadleaf trees replaced

Biofuel scenarios Scenario Description Area (Mha) Control AMIP SSTs - IGBP vegetation dataset SRCs Extra-tropics 92 Crops/grasses replaced Oil Palm Tropics (~ 15°S to 15°N) 69 Broadleaf trees replaced

Biofuel scenarios Scenario Description Area (Mha) Control AMIP SSTs - IGBP vegetation dataset SRCs Extra-tropics 92 Crops/grasses replaced Oil Palm Tropics (~ 15°S to 15°N) 69 Broadleaf trees replaced + NOx Processing and fertiliser 69

Results

Global analysis SRCs Oil Palm + NOx

Global analysis SRCs Oil Palm + NOx Fossil fuel replaced 1 %

SRCs Oil Palm + NOx Fossil fuel replaced 1 % Δ isoprene+ 1% Global analysis

SRCs Oil Palm + NOx Fossil fuel replaced 1 % Δ isoprene+ 1% Climate impacts Global analysis

SRCs Oil Palm + NOx Fossil fuel replaced 1 % Δ isoprene+ 1% Climate impacts-- Global analysis

SRCs Oil Palm + NOx Fossil fuel replaced 1 % Δ isoprene+ 1% Air quality Global analysis

SRCs Oil Palm + NOx Fossil fuel replaced 1 % Δ isoprene+ 1% Air quality-- Global analysis

Regional analysis SRCs Oil Palm + NOx

SRCs Oil Palm + NOx RegionEuropeSE Asia Regional analysis

SRCs Oil Palm + NOx RegionEuropeSE Asia Planted area (Mha)6927 Regional analysis

SRCs Oil Palm + NOx RegionEuropeSE Asia Planted area (Mha)6927 Fuel yield (Mt/y)110 Regional analysis

SRCs Oil Palm + NOx RegionEuropeSE Asia Planted area (Mha)6927 Fuel yield (Mt/y)110 Total area (Mha) Regional analysis

SRCs Oil Palm + NOx RegionEuropeSE Asia Planted area (Mha)6927 Fuel yield (Mt/y)110 Total area (Mha) Δ O 3 (ppbv) +0.2 Regional analysis

SRCs Oil Palm + NOx RegionEuropeSE Asia Planted area (Mha)6927 Fuel yield (Mt/y)110 Total area (Mha) Δ O 3 (ppbv) +0.2 Peak Δ O 3 (ppbv) Regional analysis

July SEAsia NOx

July EU SRC

SRCs Oil Palm + NOx RegionEuropeSE Asia Area Δ O 3 (ppbv) +0.2 Peak Δ O 3 (ppbv) Regional analysis

SRCs Oil Palm + NOx RegionEuropeSE Asia Area Δ O 3 (ppbv) +0.2 Peak Δ O 3 (ppbv) Veg Regional analysis

SRCs Oil Palm + NOx RegionEuropeSE Asia Area Δ O 3 (ppbv) +0.2 Peak Δ O 3 (ppbv) Veg Δ O 3 (ppbv) Regional analysis

SRCs Oil Palm + NOx RegionEuropeSE Asia Area Δ O 3 (ppbv) +0.2 Peak Δ O 3 (ppbv) Veg Δ O 3 (ppbv) Peak Δ O 3 (ppbv) Regional analysis

Conclusions

Any questions?

Workshop Biogenic VOC emissions models and their applications May 17 th -18 th, Lancaster More info and to register: