The Federal Reserve and Money Supply
Takes sections for chapters 10, 14, & 15 from the Mishkin text (9 th edition), Federal Reserve reader, and
3 key players ◦ 1. Depositors ◦ 2. Banks ◦ 3. Federal Reserve
Depositors are the most important providers of funds and they are the biggest users of funds If depositors lose confidence bank runs can occur, causing banks to lose their sources of funds If depositors have confidence banks have an increase amount of funds
Banks are the keepers of depositors funds As before our deposits are their biggest liabilities, but their greatest assets
Balance Sheet is the most important document to understand the banking system It is made up of two broad categories ◦ Liabilities (Sources of Funds) ◦ Assets (Uses of Funds) Listed from most liquid to least liquid
Liabilities are simply the sources of funds ◦ Checkable deposits Payable on demand Considered to be an asset for depositor (us) Lowest cost of sources for banks we want easy access to liquidity Only 6% of total liabilities (per the Fed) ◦ Nontransaction deposits CDs Owners cannot write checks against such accounts Primary source of bank funds (53% of bank liabilities)
Liabilities Cont. ◦ Discount Loans / Fed Fund (31% of liabilities) Discount loans are loans from the Federal Reserve (also known as advances) Typically 1%-pt above the fed funds rate Banks typically do not want to borrow from the Fed unless absolutely necessary! Fed Funds loan (overnight loans) Federal funds are overnight borrowings by banks to maintain their bank reserves at the Federal Reserve Transactions in the federal funds market allow banks with excess reserve balances to lend reserves to banks with deficient reserves These loans are usually made for one day only (‘overnight’). ◦ Bank Capital (10% of liabilities)
Typically referred to as the uses of funds The interest payments earned on them are what enable banks to make profits.
Reserve Requirements ◦ These are deposits plus currency that is physically held by banks. ◦ Reserves are made up by required reserves and excess reserves Required Reserves: For every dollar of checkable deposits at a bank (a fraction must be kept as reserves) Excess Reserves: The most liquid of all bank assets and the bank can use them to make other loans to banks (through the fed funds market) or other loans. Cash Items in Collection Process ◦ Checks in process of being cleared from another bank
Correspondent banking ◦ Common in small banks ◦ Small banks hold deposits in larger banks in exchange for a variety of services, including check collection, foreign exchange transactions and securities purchases. Securities ◦ Most banks are not allowed to hold stock ◦ Tend to hold state and local bonds because then local government would do business with them Loans ◦ Loans are least liquid ◦ The lack of liquidity and relatively high default risk offers banks the highest source of profits.
AssetsLiabilities Required Reserves 25,000Deposits100,000 Excess Reserves75,000Bank Capital15,000 Securities15,000 Most important notion is that ASSETS must equal LIABILITIES When a bank receives additional deposits, it gains an equal amount of reserves ◦ When it loses deposits, it loses an equal amount of reserves If there is a $100, deposit, with a required reserve of 25%, show what will happen: Note that the 75,000 can be loaned out to other banks or consumers Note that bank cannot lend out more than it’s excess reserve amount
Central bank of the US ◦ Considered to be the most important bank in the world ◦ Controls the so-called monetary base (broadest definition of money Currency in circulation + reserves in banks All national banks are required to be members/participants of the Fed. ◦ Local banks are not. Independent of govt and private sector ◦ Board of Governors have 14 year terms ◦ Fed does not cater to pressure from banks (say to lower interest rates or push for deregulation) ◦ Extremely profitable (avg earnings of $40 bil a year!)
The Federal Reserve Bank of the United States (FED) ◦ Controls the money supply for the US through the use of monetary policy Federal Open Market Operations (FOMOs) the buying and selling for T-Bonds to banks, investors, public, etc… The Fed has one main goal: Price Stability ◦ Low/stable inflation Inflation creates fear/uncertainty in the economy, which affects economic growth
1. Low Unemployment ◦ Resources are maximized, misery index is low, consumer spending (in the US at least) is relatively high and stable ◦ 3 Types of unemployment A. Frictional workers trying to find job that meets their skill set B. Structural workers are mismatched with skill set C. Cyclical students working during the holiday season 2. Economic Growth 3. Stability in the Financial Market (Liquidity!!!) 4. Interest Rate Stability
Monetary Liabilities ◦ Important Assets must equal liabilities ◦ Currency in circulation: in the hands of the public ◦ Reserves: bank deposits at the Fed and vault cash Federal Reserve System AssetsLiabilities Government securitiesCurrency in circulation Discount loansReserves
Assets ◦ Government securities: holdings by the Fed that affect money supply and earn interest Positive relationship between govt securities and money supply ◦ Discount loans: provide reserves to banks and earn the discount rate Positive relationship between discount loans and money supply. These are considered to be liabilities for a member bank!
2 ways that the Fed changes the monetary base in the economy ◦ 1. Open Market Purchases Fed buys bonds Increases money in the economy (interest rates fall) ◦ 2. Open Market Sales Fed sells bonds Decreases money in the economy (interest rates rise)
The effect of an open market purchase on the monetary base is always the same whether the seller of the bonds. An Open Market Purchase takes in securities and gives out cash The liquidity effect of an OMP is directly correlated with the reserve ratio ◦ Higher reserve ratio lower liquidity ◦ Lower reserve ratio higher liquidity
Net result is that reserves have increased by $100 No change in currency Monetary base has risen by $100 Banking SystemFederal Reserve System AssetsLiabilitiesAssetsLiabilities Securities-$100Securities+$100Reserves+$100 Reserves+$100
Net result is that reserves have decreased by $100 No change in currency Monetary base has decreased by $100 An Open Market Sale takes in cash and gives out securities Banking SystemFederal Reserve System AssetsLiabilitiesAssetsLiabilities Securities+$100Securities+$100Reserves+$100 Reserves-$100
1. OMOs occur at the Fed’s whim (no political influence) 2. OMOs are flexible and precise 3. OMOs are easily reserved 4. OMOs can be implemented quickly
While the Fed is key on providing liquidity, it must find a delicate balance in replenishing its reserve base. ◦ Currently, the Fed uses the reserve requirement to satisfy this goal. ◦ If the reserve requirement is constantly changing, banks and the population will become worried.