Spatial Statistics Applied to point data

Centrographic Statistics Most basic type of descriptor for spatial distributions, includes: Mean Center Median Center Standard Deviation Standard Distance Standard Deviational Ellipse Two dimensional correlates to basic statistical moments of a single-variable distribution Modified from one dimensional to two dimensional

Mean Center Simply the mean of X and Y Also called center of gravity Sum of differences between the mean X and all other X is zero (same for Y)

Weighted Mean Center Produced by weighting each coordinate by another variable (e.g., population) Points associated with areas can have the characteristics of those areas included

Standard Deviation of X and Y A measure of dispersion Does not provide a single summary statistic of the dispersion

Standard Distance Deviation Represents the standard deviation of the distance of each point from the mean center Is the two dimensional equivalent of standard deviation Where:

Standard Distance Deviation Because it is an average distance from the mean center, it is represented as a single vector

Standard Deviation Ellipse While the standard distance deviation is a good single measure of the dispersion of the incidents around the mean center, it does not show the potential skewed nature of the data (anisotropy). The standard deviation ellipse gives dispersion in two dimensions

Standard Deviational Ellipse

Testing the Differences

Crime Analysis with Centrographic Statistics A good “free” software product for doing some basic spatial statistics is Crimestat Review of Crimestat Figures 4.19 – 4.26 Seeing the relationship between mean center, standard distance, and standard deviational ellipse Centrographic Statistics in Monroe County

Point Pattern Analysis The spatial pattern of the distribution of a set of point features. Spatial properties of the entire body of points are studied rather than the individual entities Points are 0 dimensional objects, the only valid measures of distributions are the number of occurrences in the pattern and respective geographic locations

Descriptive Statistics of Point Features Frequency: number of point features occurring on a map

Types of Distribution Three general patterns Random any point is equally likely to occur at any location and the position of any point is not affected by the position of any other point. There is no apparent ordering of the distribution Uniform every point is as far from all of its neighbors as possible Clustered many points are concentrated close together, and large areas that contain very few, if any, points

Quadrat Analysis Based on a measure derived from data obtained after a uniform grid network is drawn over a map of the distribution of interest The frequency count, the number of points occurring within each quadrat is recorded first These data are then used to compute a measure called the variance The variance compares the number of points in each grid cell with the average number of points over all of the cells The variance of the distribution is compared to the characteristics of a random distribution

RANDOM UNIFORM CLUSTERED

Quadrat Analysis A random distribution would indicate that that the variance and mean are the same. Therefore, we would expect a variance-mean ratio around 1 Values other than 1 would indicate a non- random distribution.

Weakness of Quadrat Analysis Quadrat size and orientation If the quadrats are too small, they may contain only a couple of points. If they are too large, they may contain too many points Some have suggested that quadrat size should be twice the size of the mean area per point Or, test different sizes (or orientations) to determine the effects of each test on the results

Weakness of Quadrat Method Actually a measure of dispersion, and not really pattern, because it is based primarily on the density of points, and not their arrangement in relation to one another Results in a single measure for the entire distribution, so variations within the region are not recognized

Nearest-Neighbour Analysis Unlike quadrat analysis uses distances between points as its basis. The mean of the distance observed between each point and its nearest neighbour is compared with the expected mean distance that would occur if the distribution were random

RANDOM UNIFORM CLUSTERED

Advantages of Nearest Neighbor over Quadrat Analysis No quadrat size problem to be concerned with Takes distance into account Problems Related to the entire boundary size Must consider how to measure the boundary Arbitrary or some natural boundary May not consider a possible adjacent boundary