Steel Industry Overview Régulo Salinas Cancún, México October 2007.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
A Decade of “Pain” to follow a Decade of “Gain?” CANACERO September 11, 2013.
Advertisements

Demand Side Economics For The Pacific Liner Trades Presented by Doug Coates Principal, Manalytics International The Society of Naval Architects and Marine.
Dan Meyer Northern Editor September 6, 2006 Trends in Global Markets for North American Hardwoods.
Presentation for conference of Nowy Przemysł, Mittal Steel Poland Vijay Bhatnagar – Chief Executive Officer Conference of Nowy Przemysł Katowice,
Mr Kleber Silva – Executive Vice President, Head of Iron Ore - ArcelorMittal group December ArcelorMittal in Algeria at a glance UK- Algeria Investment.
DP COMPANHIA SIDERÚRGICA DE TUBARÃO José Armando Campos CST 2 nd International Meeting on Ironmaking 1 st International Symposium on Iron Ore Vitória/ES.
Structure of Presentation Where are we Now? Influences in 2006 Forecasts for 2006 Managing Volatility/Risk SBB Presentation at MEsteel-SBB Dubai.
Hans Timmer World Bank March 1, 2011 Transformational Changes in the Global Economy Trade, finance and commodities after the crisis.
NASPD June 12, 2004 Jim Cowan Maverick EVP/COO. Maverick Overview Market capitalization$1.0 billion Sales Revenue$1.3 billion HeadquartersSt. Louis, MO.
Industrials Sector Jason Kraynak and Wade Guzdanski.
Lauro Henrique Rezende Investments Executive Officer Brazil Day 2003.
1 Russian Steel Industry Domestic growth and export capacities May 2011.
Tenth Annual Latin America Conference New York - March 2002.
October 11, 2007 From NAFTA to an Integrated North American Steel Market Rafael Rubio NASPD Fall Conference Cancun, Mexico October 11, 2007.
Changes, Drivers, and Challenges in the North American Steel Industry Thomas A. Danjczek President Steel Manufacturers Association November 8, 2012 Scottsdale,
PORTFOLIO AND SELECT COMMITTEES ON FINANCE March 2006.
NAFTA Region – Economic and Steel Market Conditions and Outlook OECD Steel Workshop New Delhi, India -- May 16-17, 2006.
The European Market for Adhesives and Sealants October 20, 2010ARAC conference1 FEICA Bernard Ghyoot Secretary General.
PORTFOLIO AND SELECT COMMITTEES ON FINANCE June 2006.
SME September 14, 2004 Washington, DC “THE NEW STEEL…THE NEW STEEL INDUSTRY” Lawrence W. Kavanagh American Iron & Steel Institute.
MEXICO by Kapil C. Singh Roll no. 52 Trade, Commerce and Business.
2015 METALWORKING CAPITAL SPENDING SURVEY & FORECAST © 2014 Gardner Business Media, Inc. All Rights Reserved 1of METALWORKING.
OPENING REMARKS AND PRESENTATION OF THE RUSSIAN ADVERTISING MARKET SERGEY VASILIEV, CEO – VIDEO INTERNATIONAL GROUP EGTA’S ANNUAL MARKETING & SALES MOSCOW,
Economic and Manufacturing Outlook Presented by: Dan Meckstroth, Ph.D. Vice President and Chief Economist
The Global Economic Environment Global Marketing.
1 현대, 동부제철 가동이 한중일 시장에 미치는 영향 이은영 DBS Vickers Securities 애널리스트.
Trade & Economic Impacts of Animal Disease Outbreaks Parr Rosson Professor & Director Center for North American Studies Texas A&M University.
Globalisation of forest products markets Marc Boutin Quebec Lumber Manufacturers ’ Association October 2, 2001QLMA.
International Trade Dr. David J. Molina Economics 4850/5850.
BASIC FIGURES OF TURKISH STEEL INDUSTRY AND RECENT CHANGES DUE TO SEMI-FINISHED PRODUCTS INTERNATIONAL MARKETS 2 nd IRAN STEEL EXPORT PERSPECTIVES CONFERENCE.
Current Drivers Impacting Steel Competitiveness UPDATE – January 2007 Thomas A. Danjczek, President Steel Manufacturers Association January 23, 2007 Valve.
Ben Smit 6 November 2002 Prospects for the World & SA economies.
Christian Rubach March 6, 2007 Page 1 Crude Steel Production 2006 Source: IISI.
Group Handout Atlas Copco Group – September 30 th 2000 The face of interaction.
Giulio Mazzalupi Atlas Copco Group - Q4 Results Stockholm, February 12, 2001.
QUESTION 1 : THE PROSPECT OF THE MARKET AND RESPECTIVE SECTOR IN THE SHORT RUN AND LONG RUN From the Independent market research report by FROST & SULLIVAN:
Iron Ore self-sufficiency as an advantage of Iranian Steel Exporters
The world steel market balance and price in 2009 SE UPE Co. Developed by UPE Co., Ukraine The DELPHICA project.
EUROMETAL – European Federation of Steel, Tube and Metal Distribution and Trading Federation registered in Switzerland Federation Seat: Güterstrasse 78,
World economic turmoil and Ukraine’s steel sector in 2009 Presented by Dr. Vlasjuk V. Director UPE Co., Ukraine.
Global Steel and Met Coal
World Steel Market and Ukrainian metallurgy in 2010
Q2 Results Stockholm, July 19, 2001
2009 Metallurgical Minerals International Conference
Global Electric Hoist Market Research Report
Automotive Bearing Market - Trends & Forecasts to 2020.
Global Door and Window Market : Trends, Forecast, and Opportunity Analysis 1.
Global Ground and Precipitated Calcium Market : Trends, Forecast, and Opportunity Analysis 1.
Global Home Security Market : Trends, Forecast, and Opportunity Analysis 1.
Global HVAC Equipment Market : Trends, Forecast, and Opportunity Analysis 1.
Global Industrial Pipe Market Report : Trends, Forecast and Competitive Analysis 1.
Global Low-E Glass Market : Trends, Forecast, and Opportunity Analysis 1.
Mining Equipment Market Report : Trends, Forecast and Competitive Analysis 1.
The Changing World Order
Construction Market Report : Trends, Forecast and Competitive Analysis 1.
Epoxy Resin in the Global Composites Industry : Trends, Forecast, and Opportunity Analysis 1.
Global Composites Market Report : Trends, Forecast and Competitive Analysis 1.
Global Economy is Expected to Grow by 3,4 % in 2017
Global LED Driver Market Report : Trends, Forecast and Competitive Analysis 1.
Global LPG Cylinder Market Report : Trends, Forecast and Competitive Analysis 1.
Global MDI based Polyurethane Market Report : Trends, Forecast and Competitive Analysis 1.
Growth Opportunities for Phenolic Resin Report : Trends, Forecast and Competitive Analysis 1.
Global Tennis Equipment Market : Trends, Forecast, and Opportunity Analysis 1.
Lubricants in the Global Plastic Processing Market Report : Trends, Forecast and Competitive Analysis 1.
Nickel in the Global Automotive Market Report : Trends, Forecast and Competitive Analysis 1.
Zinc Stearate Market Report : Trends, Forecast and Competitive Analysis 1.
Artificial Intelligence Market Report : Trends, Forecast and Competitive Analysis 1.
PVC Compound Market Report : Trends, Forecast and Competitive Analysis 1.
Zinc Market Report : Trends, Forecast and Competitive Analysis 1.
Published by :Accurize Market Research Pvt. Ltd. Copyright © 2019 Accurize Market Research Global Precision Electric Motors.
Presentation transcript:

Steel Industry Overview Régulo Salinas Cancún, México October 2007

2 Global Steel Industry Resumed its Growth After Decades of Stagnation and Low Profitability World Crude Steel Production Sources: IISI, World Steel in Figures 2007; Geographic Information Systems Production Volume (Million tons) , Production per Capita (Kg / Capita) Compound Annual Growth Rate (Average % for 5 year periods) 06* * 2006/2005

3 China has Been the Main Driver Behind Growth, Changing the Industry Structure 11% 10% 9% 34% 13% 4% 3% 16% North America CIS Japan Other China EU 25 Central & South America India 1,244 Million Tonnes 19% 22% 16% 5% 11% 3% 23% 1% India North America USSR Western Europe China Other Japan Central & South America World Crude Steel Production 644 Million Tonnes Source: IISI, World Steel in Figures 1976,

4 The Other Driver Behind Growth & Profitability has been Industry Consolidation Source: Bloomberg, Completed Deals Number of Steel Industry M & A’sAmount (US$ Billions)

5 Global Steel Price Cycle Shows Two Eras * Constant dollars (July 2007) ** 2006 cost plus iron-ore price increase (9.5% abril 07) Supply Driven Privatization Cost Based Demand Driven Consolidation Price Based Source: CRU / WSD HRC US*HRC Europe*China HRC Estimated Costs (w/o General Expenses) Asian Crisis Russian Crisis Steel Crisis China + Global GDP Sep ’07 = 573 (USA) US$ / ton ** HRC CIS*

6 Growing Regional Steel Concentration Source: IISI Top 5 producer’s share in 2006 production * Million tonnes per year Total US / Canada110 * Total Latin America63 Total Others Asia105 Total Europe166 Total China349 Total Japan112 Total CIS 113

7 Global Concentration Lagging Behind Other Metals, Suppliers and Key Customers 81% 66% 49% 40% 38% 28% 20% Iron OreNickelAluminaAluminumCopperZincSteel Sources:Morgan Stanley Research, 16 Feb 2007 IISI, World Steel in Figures 2006 JD Power Industry Concentration, Top 5 Producers (%) 72% Automotive Top 7

8 Impact Of Industry Consolidation will Become More Apparent in Coming Years  Scale economies and synergies  Better balanced steel inventories  Optimization of Cost / Production / Logistics  Global production / Local customer service  Optimal plant location  Optimal use of resources — capital, physical, labor  Faster response to market volatility and trends  Better balance with suppliers and customers  Increased competition among large, efficient producers Tactical Level Strategic Level

9 Mexico’s Steel Demand e** * Compound Average Growth Rate Source: Canacero Imports / ASC 23% Production Imports Apparent Steel Consumption ** 2007: Jan-July annualized CAGR*: ’96-’07e: 6.4% Mexico’s Apparent Steel Consumtion (MM tons)

10 Mexican Steel Imports * * 2007: Jan-July annualized Source: Canacero Flat Products Long Products Total Steel Products Imports (Million tons)

11 Mexican Market Structure 50% 37% 13% Steel Products Demand in Mexico 2007* (%) Flat Products Long Products * Seamless pipe, structural shapes, rails, Etc. ** January – July annualized Other **

12 Raw Steel Production in Mexico 2006 Raw Steel Production 16.3 million tons Source: Canacero Ahmsa 21% Sicartsa (Mittal) 5% Other 24% Mittal Steel Lazaro Cardenas 24% Ternium Hylsa 20% Tamsa 6%

13 Automotive Domestic appliances Motors Containers Metallic furniture Machinery & equipment Other Mexican Commercial Market Structure Steel Mills Imports Service Centers Traders / Retailers Construction Industrial Consumers Agriculture and others

14 WSD 2006 World Cost Curve (Hot Rolled Band Operating Costs before overhead) Source: World Steel Dynamics Efficient, low cost operations

15 U.S. Forecasted Price Upturn to be Reflected in Mexico US HRC Price Actual: CRU September 07 Projections: CRU Quarterly Oct 07 GFMS September 07 US$ / ton E 03 AJOE 04 AJOE 05 AJOE 06 AJOE 07 AJOE 08 AJ Forecast CRU GFMS

16 Positive Domestic Economic Perspectives (%) Mexico’s GDP Manufacturing GDP Construction Basic metals industry Metallic products, machinery & equipment Inflation (Dec-Dec) Interest Rate (28 days) Exchange Rate (Dec, $/dollar) Source: Harbor Intelligence, August 2007

17 Total Economic Perspectives Source: Harbor Intelligence, August 2007

18 Economic Perspectives by Sector Source: Harbor Intelligence, August 2007

19 Economic Perspectives in Manufacturing Source: Harbor Intelligence, August 2007