Why invest in shares?. This presentation is given by a representative of Colonial First State Investments Limited AFS License 232468 (Colonial First State).

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Presentation transcript:

Why invest in shares?

This presentation is given by a representative of Colonial First State Investments Limited AFS License (Colonial First State). The presenter does not receive specific payments or commissions for any advice given in this presentation. The presenter, other employees and directors of Colonial First State receive salaries, bonuses and other benefits from it. Colonial First State receives fees for investments in its products. For further detail please read our Financial Services Guide (FSG) available at colonialfirststate.com.au or by contacting our Investor Service Centre on All products are issued by Colonial First State Investments Limited ABN Prospectuses or Product Disclosure Statements (PDSs) describing the products are available from Colonial First State. The relevant prospectus or PDS should be considered before making a decision about any product. This presentation does not take into account your individual objectives, financial situation or needs. You should assess whether the information is appropriate for you and consider talking to a financial adviser before making an investment decision. The information is taken from sources which are believed to be accurate but Colonial First State accepts no liability of any kind to any person who relies on the information contained in the presentation. Disclaimer

Investing in the previous year’s best performing asset class 31-Dec-82International Shares$10, Dec-83Australian Shares$13, Dec-84International Shares$12, Dec-85International Shares$22, Dec-86Australian Shares$32, Dec-87Australian Fixed Interest$29, Dec-88Australian Shares$32, Dec-89International Shares$38, Dec-90Australian Fixed Interest$32, Dec-91Australian Shares$40, Dec-92Australian Fixed Interest$39, Dec-93Australian Shares$45, Dec-94Australian Cash$48, Dec-95International Shares$58, Dec-96Australian Shares$61, Dec-97International Shares$69, Dec-98International Shares$72, Dec-99International Shares$85, Dec-00Australian Listed Property$87, Dec-01Australian Listed Property$99, Dec-02Australian Listed Property$111, Dec-03Australian Listed Property $121,440 Cumulative returns for each year to 31 December Data based on index returns, all distributions reinvested. Source: UBS Warburg Australia Bank Bill Index (91 day Commonwealth Treasury Note Index pre Jan 1989), UBS Warburg Australian Composite Bond Index 0+ Years (CBBI All Series All Mats Accumulation pre Oct 1989), S&P/ASX 200 Property Accumulation Index (ASX Property Trusts Accumulation Index pre April 2000), S&P/ASX 300 Accumulation Index, (ASX All Ordinaries Accumulation Index pre April 2000), MSCI World Net Index ($A). IRESS, RIMES Asset ClassValue

Investing in the previous year’s worst performing asset class 31-Dec-82 Australian Shares $10, Dec-83 Australian Cash $16, Dec-84 Australian Shares $18, Dec-85 Australian Listed Property $26, Dec-86 Australian Cash $36, Dec-87 Australian Shares $41, Dec-88 International Shares $48, Dec-89 Australian Listed Property $61, Dec-90 Australian Shares $67, Dec-91 Australian Cash $90, Dec-92 Australian Shares $96, Dec-93 Australian Cash $139, Dec-94 Australian Shares $147, Dec-95 Australian Cash $177, Dec-96 International Shares $190, Dec-97 Australian Cash $269, Dec-98 Australian Cash $282, Dec-99 Australian Listed Property $297, Dec-00 International Shares $350, Dec-01 International Shares $316, Dec-02 International Shares $230, Dec-02 International Shares $228,960 Cumulative returns for each year to 31 December Data based on index returns, all distributions reinvested. Source: UBS Warburg Australia Bank Bill Index (91 day Commonwealth Treasury Note Index pre Jan 1989), UBS Warburg Australian Composite Bond Index 0+ Years (CBBI All Series All Mats Accumulation pre Oct 1989), S&P/ASX 200 Property Accumulation Index (ASX Property Trusts Accumulation Index pre April 2000), S&P/ASX 300 Accumulation Index, (ASX All Ordinaries Accumulation Index pre April 2000), MSCI World Net Index ($A). IRESS, RIMES Asset ClassValue

What are the two main investment risks ? 1.Loss of capital 2.Not meeting your investment objectives

IncomeCapital Value Source: IRESS, S&P ASX All Industrials used prior to July S&P ASX 300 Industrials used after July Reserve Bank of Australia, ‘Bank Deposits $5,000-$100,000 1 year rates’ Shares can provide capital growth & income Return on investment of $100,000 in Shares vs Term Deposits

What has inflation done to $100,000? $ $38,925 $100,000 Source: IRESS. Data to 31st December 2003

Shares or cash? Return Rolling one year returns *35% Australian shares; 25% Global Shares; 10% Aust Property Securities; 25% Aust Fixed Interest; 5% Cash Source: UBS Warburg Australia Bank Bill Index (91 day Commonwealth Treasury Note Index pre Jan 1989), UBS Warburg Australian Composite Bond Index 0+ Years (CBBI All Series All Mats Accumulation pre Oct 1989), S&P/ASX 200 Property Accumulation Index (ASX Property Trusts Accumulation Index pre April 2000), S&P/ASX 300 Accumulation Index, (ASX All Ordinaries Accumulation Index pre April 2000), MSCI World Net Index ($A). IRESS/RIMES

Shares or cash? Rolling five year returns Return *35% Australian shares; 25% Global Shares; 10% Aust Property Securities; 25% Aust Fixed Interest; 5% Cash Source: UBS Warburg Australia Bank Bill Index (91 day Commonwealth Treasury Note Index pre Jan 1989), UBS Warburg Australian Composite Bond Index 0+ Years (CBBI All Series All Mats Accumulation pre Oct 1989), S&P/ASX 200 Property Accumulation Index (ASX Property Trusts Accumulation Index pre April 2000), S&P/ASX 300 Accumulation Index, (ASX All Ordinaries Accumulation Index pre April 2000), MSCI World Net Index ($A). IRESS/RIMES

Shares or cash? Rolling ten year returns Return *35% Australian shares; 25% Global Shares; 10% Aust Property Securities; 25% Aust Fixed Interest; 5% Cash Source: UBS Warburg Australia Bank Bill Index (91 day Commonwealth Treasury Note Index pre Jan 1989), UBS Warburg Australian Composite Bond Index 0+ Years (CBBI All Series All Mats Accumulation pre Oct 1989), S&P/ASX 200 Property Accumulation Index (ASX Property Trusts Accumulation Index pre April 2000), S&P/ASX 300 Accumulation Index, (ASX All Ordinaries Accumulation Index pre April 2000), MSCI World Net Index ($A). IRESS/RIMES

Shares or cash? Rolling twenty year returns *35% Australian shares; 25% Global Shares; 10% Aust Property Securities; 25% Aust Fixed Interest; 5% Cash Return Source: UBS Warburg Australia Bank Bill Index (91 day Commonwealth Treasury Note Index pre Jan 1989), UBS Warburg Australian Composite Bond Index 0+ Years (CBBI All Series All Mats Accumulation pre Oct 1989), S&P/ASX 200 Property Accumulation Index (ASX Property Trusts Accumulation Index pre April 2000), S&P/ASX 300 Accumulation Index, (ASX All Ordinaries Accumulation Index pre April 2000), MSCI World Net Index ($A). IRESS/RIMES

Interest rates Source: Bloomberg, RBA Cash rate June Dec-92Dec-94Dec-96Dec-98Dec-00Dec-02Dec-04

The imputation impact 3.91%3.25%After tax yield 3,9143,254 After tax return 861,496 Tax payable 1,714 -Less Imputation credit 1,8001,496 Tax 31.5% 5,7144,750 Gross/taxable return 1,714 -Imputation credit - 4,750 Interest % 4,000 - Dividend Yield - 4%, Fully Franked 100,000 Investment SharesCash 31.50%Marginal tax rate: 2.94%2.45%After tax yield 2,9432,446 After tax return 1,0572,304 Tax payable 1,714 -Less Imputation credit 2,7712,304 Tax 48.5% 5,7144,750 Gross/taxable return 1,714 -Imputation credit - 4,750 Interest % 4,000 - Dividend Yield - 4%, Fully Franked 100,000 Investment SharesCash Marginal tax rate: * Assumes a corporate tax rate of 30%, cash return of 4.75%, dividend yield of 4%

Conclusion  Investment markets are unpredictable  Cash is often not the best long term investment strategy  The impact of tax & inflation is important in investing  Investing for the long term smooths returns