What needs to happen to cope with increased flood risk British Council: Rumania Turkey VC Merylyn Hedger Climate Change Policy Manager.

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Presentation transcript:

What needs to happen to cope with increased flood risk British Council: Rumania Turkey VC Merylyn Hedger Climate Change Policy Manager

Outline Why increased flood risk? Solutions and Responses Barriers to overcome

Rhine at Mainz, Germany... two extremes in one year ! August 14th, 2003 Gauge: 1.63 m Minimum 1949: 1.10 m January 6th, 2003 Gauge: 6.30 m Maximum 1882: 7.70 m

Elbe Flood 2002 Road between Bitterfeld and Eilenburg, Saxony

River flooding events About 100 (river) floods: 700 fatalities, displacement of half a million people and 25 billion EUR in insured economic losses Data-source: EEA, 2004

Precipitation change: HadCM3 A2a Global mean temperature change Enter: Global climate change... Source: Arnell (2004)

Projected precipitation changes in 2080 Precipitation is projected to increase in northern Europe but decrease in southern Europe More frequent droughts and intense precipitation events are likely Data-source: Hadley Centre HadCM3 model, B2 scenario

Responses flood warning schemes different land management build defences reduce greenhouse gases

National/Regional press advertising

Stencil and Phonebox (Bi-lingual)

Room for rivers – floodplain reactivation Investigation extended to 30 possible retention areas Driving forces of developing new approach Growing demands in the floodplains for an increased flood safety Changing land use preferences upon integration with the EU extensive farming will be preferred instead of intensive on some 1 million hectares of land growing awareness of nature conservation (i. e. renaturalisation of river corridors) Different flood safety to meet different flood risks

Paull Holme Strays - the first tide enters the site

Paull Holme Strays: the breach

Graphics Slides Graphs, tables and photographs can give focus, colour and interest to your presentation - if used sparingly. Do not mix graphics and explanatory text on the same slide - anything which distracts from the main focus, or reduces the space available for the graphic element should be avoided. Generally, photographs should be shown in full screen and any graphs originated within PowerPoint rather than pasted in from elsewhere. In all cases, keep detail to the absolute minimum needed to show a trend or movement. In all slides using graphics, you should make every effort to preserve the dynamic white border at upper, left and lower edges of slide. This version of the slide template, without horizon, should only be used for graphics and not for text. Graphics Slides Graphs, tables and photographs can give focus, colour and interest to your presentation - if used sparingly. Do not mix graphics and explanatory text on the same slide - anything which distracts from the main focus, or reduces the space available for the graphic element should be avoided. Generally, photographs should be shown in full screen and any graphs originated within PowerPoint rather than pasted in from elsewhere. In all cases, keep detail to the absolute minimum needed to show a trend or movement. In all slides using graphics, you should make every effort to preserve the dynamic white border at upper, left and lower edges of slide. This version of the slide template, without horizon, should only be used for graphics and not for text. 200 years of Rising Sea Levels at Canvey Island The same building in 2002: the defences, raised following the 1953 flood and raised further in the 1980s are now level with the roof eaves The Lobster Smack in 1902: the defences were described at the time as being practically invulnerable ??? 2100 defences

The future view for London?

Addressing the causes: reducing fossil fuel emissions

Problems to address Political will- need to get public support- How?? People need more information- what sorts? Where should priorities for action be??