Climate Change: The Non-Zero Sum Game of the CO 2 Monster Willie Soon May 20 th, 2010 AABE Climate Change Policy Panel Columbus Ohio

(1) ClimateGate and IPCC: Magical CO 2 control knob does not exist

IPCC Conference

CO 2 Concentration (ppmv) YEAR CO 2 is rising rapidly!

CO 2 Concentration (ppmv) Air Temperature Anomaly (°C) YEAR …But global temperature isn’t rising!

Real world data do not support the ocean heat accumulation in the computer models! Bob Tisdale (February 2 nd, 2010-corrected version) Model predictions Real-world data

“Writing in 2005, Hansen, Willis, Schmidt et al. suggested that GISS model projections had been verified by a solid decade of increasing ocean heat (1993 to 2003). This was regarded as further confirmation the IPCC’s AGW hypothesis. Their expectation was that the Earth’s climate system would continue accumulating heat more or less monotonically. Now that heat accumulation has stopped (and perhaps even reversed), the tables have turned. The same criteria used to support their hypothesis, is now being used to falsify it.” William diPuccio, May 5 th, 2009

“No amount of experimentation can ever prove me right; a single experiment can prove me wrong.” Albert Einstein

(2) The CO 2 Monster: CO 2 is not an air pollutant

Center for the study of CO 2 and Global Change

“So who in the ocean is affected by this [acidification; ‘Osteoporosis of the sea’]? — Dr. Jane Lubchenco, Under Secretary of Commerce for Oceans and Atmosphere and NOAA Administrator, December 2, 2009, testimony on “The Administration’s View on the State of Climate Science” (1:30-1:55 of her recorded testimony ) Any plants or animals that have a shell or skeleton made of calcium carbonate [or chalk]. The hard parts of many familiar animals such as oysters, clams, corals, lobsters, crabs … are made of calcium carbonate. ”

Normal CO 2 (400 ppm) High CO 2 (~7 times larger) Dr. Justin Ries, University of North Carolina-Chapel Hill

Normal CO 2 (400 ppm) High CO 2 (~7 times larger) Dr. Justin Ries, University of North Carolina-Chapel Hill

(3) The Sun and the climate change story

Refrigerator Perry “Climate” King Kong “SUN” Willie Soon “CO 2 ”

Solar versus CO 2 radiative forcing over the past 150 years Here is how the IPCC claims that CO 2 dominates! NET radiative forcing at the top of atmosphere (W/m 2 ) IPCC (2007)

Solar versus CO 2 radiative forcing over the past 150 years Why the Sun is a more important climate driver! Estimated radiative forcing at the top of atmosphere (W/m 2 ) IPCC (2007)

The Sun is shining on Washington DC?

Solar versus CO 2 radiative forcing over the past 150 years Why the Sun is a more important climate driver! Estimated radiative forcing at the top of atmosphere (W/m 2 ) IPCC (2007)

(4) CO 2 emission control agenda: NOT a zero-sum proposition

Bill Gates’s Annual Letter (January 25, 2010): “The final communiqué of the Copenhagen Summit, held last December, talks about mobilizing $10 billion per year in the next three years and $100 billion per year by 2020 for developing countries, which is over three quarters of all foreign aid now given by the richest countries. I am concerned that some of this money will come from reducing other categories of foreign aid, especially health. If just 1 percent of the $100 billion goal came from vaccine funding, then 700,000 more children could die from preventable diseases.”

The CO 2 Monster: Why It is Not the BIG BAD WOLF! ClimateGate+IPCC proved conclusively the thorough corruptions of climate science in the service of a confused mix of socio-political agendas related to energy, economics, environment and ecology A “magical” CO 2 knob for controlling weather and climate simply DOES NOT EXIST. CO 2 is not an “air pollutant” – It is food for plants and marine life!